Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#325
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#342
Pace68.4#170
Improvement+4.2#35

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#321
First Shot-7.5#346
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#100
Layup/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#184
Freethrows-3.4#352
Improvement-1.2#251

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#300
First Shot-1.8#235
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#338
Layups/Dunks-4.3#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#158
Freethrows+0.6#153
Improvement+5.4#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 47 - 137 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 132   @ Tulane L 71-88 8%     0 - 1 -12.1 -8.2 -2.3
  Nov 13, 2023 170   Stephen F. Austin L 70-96 24%     0 - 2 -29.0 -8.8 -17.6
  Nov 16, 2023 243   Maine L 65-78 27%     0 - 3 -17.1 -2.8 -14.8
  Nov 17, 2023 240   @ North Florida L 74-80 20%     0 - 4 -7.4 -2.4 -5.0
  Nov 18, 2023 273   Presbyterian L 75-78 33%     0 - 5 -8.8 +1.9 -10.9
  Nov 28, 2023 291   @ Louisiana Monroe L 70-74 28%     0 - 6 -8.4 -5.3 -3.2
  Dec 02, 2023 14   @ Baylor L 40-91 1%     0 - 7 -33.1 -25.9 -9.0
  Dec 09, 2023 230   @ Southern Miss L 74-83 18%     0 - 8 -9.9 +6.1 -16.5
  Dec 12, 2023 45   @ Boise St. L 54-95 2%     0 - 9 -27.6 -5.0 -27.7
  Dec 16, 2023 218   Rice L 51-76 32%     0 - 10 -30.5 -22.1 -10.7
  Dec 29, 2023 87   @ LSU L 55-96 4%     0 - 11 -31.8 -16.5 -12.5
  Jan 06, 2024 226   @ Lamar L 70-90 18%     0 - 12 0 - 1 -20.7 -6.8 -12.9
  Jan 08, 2024 75   McNeese St. L 59-68 9%     0 - 13 0 - 2 -4.3 -14.2 +10.3
  Jan 13, 2024 351   Incarnate Word W 97-71 73%     1 - 13 1 - 2 +9.4 +10.4 -2.5
  Jan 15, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 69-64 79%     2 - 13 2 - 2 -13.7 -20.6 +6.5
  Jan 20, 2024 343   @ New Orleans W 92-67 51%     3 - 13 3 - 2 +14.4 +10.6 +3.2
  Jan 22, 2024 310   @ SE Louisiana L 62-71 33%     3 - 14 3 - 3 -14.8 -12.0 -2.9
  Jan 27, 2024 189   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-79 27%     3 - 15 3 - 4 -15.0 +0.4 -16.1
  Jan 29, 2024 75   @ McNeese St. L 65-89 4%     3 - 16 3 - 5 -14.1 +1.1 -17.0
  Feb 03, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce W 70-57 64%     4 - 16 4 - 5 -1.1 -2.0 +2.0
  Feb 05, 2024 248   @ Nicholls St. L 66-73 20%     4 - 17 4 - 6 -8.7 +5.6 -15.8
  Feb 10, 2024 310   SE Louisiana L 59-69 52%     4 - 18 4 - 7 -21.0 -14.8 -6.8
  Feb 12, 2024 343   New Orleans W 70-59 70%     5 - 18 5 - 7 -4.8 -11.7 +6.9
  Feb 17, 2024 351   @ Incarnate Word W 81-61 54%     6 - 18 6 - 7 +8.6 +6.1 +3.4
  Feb 19, 2024 189   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-72 14%     6 - 19 6 - 8 -9.8 -7.5 -2.5
  Feb 24, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian W 86-73 62%     7 - 19 7 - 8 -0.5 +2.3 -3.2
  Mar 02, 2024 226   Lamar L 77-82 OT 33%     7 - 20 7 - 9 -10.9 -7.5 -2.8
  Mar 04, 2024 248   Nicholls St. L 62-68 37%     7 - 21 7 - 10 -12.9 -7.5 -6.1
  Mar 06, 2024 332   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 80-83 3OT 44%     7 - 22 7 - 11 -11.9 -13.4 +2.2
  Mar 10, 2024 332   Texas A&M - Commerce L 64-69 54%     7 - 23 -16.5 -6.0 -11.0
Projected Record 7 - 23 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%