Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
281 Texas Southern 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 6 15 - 16 12 - 6 -6.1      -5.1 301 -1.1 208 69.0 161 -7.2 291 -6.5 4
282 Grambling St. 100.0%   16   17 - 14 14 - 4 17 - 15 14 - 4 -6.2      -5.2 304 -1.0 205 63.5 313 -4.3 243 -3.0 1
288 Southern 0.0%   15 - 14 12 - 6 15 - 14 12 - 6 -6.6      -7.0 330 +0.3 160 69.2 150 -5.3 267 -6.0 3
303 Alcorn St. 0.0%   13 - 18 13 - 5 13 - 18 13 - 5 -8.0      -0.3 189 -7.6 357 66.8 233 -7.3 292 -5.3 2
315 Bethune-Cookman 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 7 15 - 16 11 - 7 -8.9      -6.2 320 -2.7 250 72.0 81 -7.7 299 -7.4 5
317 Jackson St. 0.0%   15 - 17 11 - 7 15 - 17 11 - 7 -9.1      -4.1 285 -4.9 330 70.6 108 -6.5 282 -8.0 6
323 Alabama St. 0.0%   10 - 19 8 - 10 10 - 19 8 - 10 -10.0      -9.8 354 -0.3 183 67.9 192 -10.9 329 -11.9 9
328 Alabama A&M 0.0%   11 - 22 9 - 9 11 - 22 9 - 9 -11.2      -9.3 350 -1.9 234 74.3 49 -10.8 325 -10.8 7
340 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   9 - 18 8 - 10 9 - 18 8 - 10 -12.8      -3.8 274 -9.0 360 77.2 17 -12.3 339 -11.9 8
342 Prairie View 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -13.1      -8.6 348 -4.5 312 75.1 34 -12.2 338 -16.0 10
345 Florida A&M 0.0%   5 - 22 4 - 14 5 - 22 4 - 14 -13.4      -9.2 349 -4.2 305 69.6 137 -15.4 353 -16.9 11
362 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   1 - 30 1 - 17 1 - 30 1 - 17 -20.9      -13.6 362 -7.2 352 63.0 325 -26.3 362 -25.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Texas Southern 3.0 100.0
Grambling St. 1.0 100.0
Southern 3.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 2.0 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 5.0 100.0
Jackson St. 5.0 100.0
Alabama St. 8.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 7.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.0 100.0
Prairie View 10.0 100.0
Florida A&M 11.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Grambling St. 14 - 4 100.0
Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Alcorn St. 13 - 5 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 7 100.0
Jackson St. 11 - 7 100.0
Alabama St. 8 - 10 100.0
Alabama A&M 9 - 9 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8 - 10 100.0
Prairie View 5 - 13 100.0
Florida A&M 4 - 14 100.0
Mississippi Valley 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern
Grambling St. 100.0% 100.0
Southern
Alcorn St.
Bethune-Cookman
Jackson St.
Alabama St.
Alabama A&M
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Prairie View
Florida A&M
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 100.0% 100.0% 37.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 37.5% 0.4 62.5 37.5
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0