Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#288
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#267
Pace69.2#150
Improvement-5.2#343

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#330
First Shot-4.9#306
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#303
Layup/Dunks-0.7#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#259
Freethrows-2.3#324
Improvement-4.4#346

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#160
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#58
Layups/Dunks-0.9#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
Freethrows-0.8#237
Improvement-0.8#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 4
Quad 21 - 02 - 4
Quad 30 - 12 - 5
Quad 413 - 915 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 31   @ TCU L 75-108 3%     0 - 1 -17.7 +4.3 -19.7
  Nov 08, 2023 73   @ UNLV W 85-71 7%     1 - 1 +24.1 +19.9 +4.6
  Nov 13, 2023 5   @ Arizona L 59-97 1%     1 - 2 -15.9 -12.5 +2.0
  Nov 17, 2023 279   @ Western Illinois L 80-88 OT 37%     1 - 3 -11.3 -3.8 -6.3
  Nov 19, 2023 10   @ Illinois L 60-88 2%     1 - 4 -8.5 -14.2 +8.3
  Nov 25, 2023 299   @ Valparaiso L 59-71 44%     1 - 5 -17.1 -15.8 -1.4
  Nov 28, 2023 12   @ Marquette L 56-93 2%     1 - 6 -18.1 -9.6 -7.5
  Dec 03, 2023 30   @ Mississippi St. W 60-59 3%     2 - 6 +16.4 +0.9 +15.6
  Dec 09, 2023 310   SE Louisiana W 69-44 66%     3 - 6 +14.0 -5.6 +20.6
  Dec 16, 2023 132   @ Tulane L 81-105 14%     3 - 7 -19.1 +1.0 -17.9
  Jan 06, 2024 281   Texas Southern W 58-51 58%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -1.7 -19.3 +17.3
  Jan 08, 2024 342   Prairie View W 79-58 80%     5 - 7 2 - 0 +5.3 -3.0 +7.4
  Jan 13, 2024 345   @ Florida A&M W 74-65 66%     6 - 7 3 - 0 -1.8 +4.1 -5.2
  Jan 15, 2024 315   @ Bethune-Cookman L 81-83 OT 49%     6 - 8 3 - 1 -8.3 +0.7 -8.9
  Jan 20, 2024 282   @ Grambling St. L 62-79 38%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -20.6 -11.2 -9.2
  Jan 27, 2024 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-66 80%     7 - 9 4 - 2 -1.4 -8.0 +5.8
  Jan 29, 2024 362   Mississippi Valley W 78-54 93%     8 - 9 5 - 2 +0.5 +1.4 +0.5
  Feb 03, 2024 303   @ Alcorn St. W 71-70 45%     9 - 9 6 - 2 -4.4 -3.0 -1.3
  Feb 05, 2024 317   @ Jackson St. W 72-63 49%     10 - 9 7 - 2 +2.5 -9.8 +11.7
  Feb 10, 2024 328   Alabama A&M W 69-62 75%     11 - 9 8 - 2 -6.8 -10.8 +3.6
  Feb 12, 2024 323   Alabama St. W 73-62 72%     12 - 9 9 - 2 -1.6 +2.7 -3.7
  Feb 17, 2024 342   @ Prairie View W 77-71 65%     13 - 9 10 - 2 -4.5 +1.7 -6.2
  Feb 19, 2024 281   @ Texas Southern L 56-68 38%     13 - 10 10 - 3 -15.5 -12.9 -3.4
  Feb 24, 2024 282   Grambling St. L 57-63 58%     13 - 11 10 - 4 -14.8 -8.4 -7.4
  Mar 02, 2024 315   Bethune-Cookman L 61-67 68%     13 - 12 10 - 5 -17.5 -13.0 -4.7
  Mar 04, 2024 345   Florida A&M W 58-44 81%     14 - 12 11 - 5 -2.0 -19.4 +17.6
  Mar 07, 2024 323   @ Alabama St. W 65-57 53%     15 - 12 12 - 5 +0.6 +3.5 -1.7
  Mar 09, 2024 328   @ Alabama A&M L 56-66 58%     15 - 13 12 - 6 -18.6 -12.3 -7.2
  Mar 14, 2024 315   Bethune-Cookman L 58-73 59%     15 - 14 -23.9 -13.1 -12.0
Projected Record 15 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%