Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#193
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#226
Pace71.0#98
Improvement+7.2#6

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#173
First Shot-0.6#193
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#127
Layup/Dunks-1.5#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#238
Freethrows+0.8#112
Improvement+0.2#168

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#232
First Shot-1.0#200
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#263
Layups/Dunks-1.1#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#156
Freethrows-1.3#274
Improvement+7.0#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 32 - 42 - 4
Quad 419 - 821 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 187   Texas St. W 71-66 58%     1 - 0 +1.3 -4.6 +5.7
  Nov 10, 2023 205   @ Illinois-Chicago L 71-86 42%     1 - 1 -14.8 -1.6 -12.6
  Nov 18, 2023 306   Northern Illinois L 93-98 73%     1 - 2 -13.2 +3.2 -15.8
  Nov 19, 2023 216   @ Georgia St. L 77-88 44%     1 - 3 -11.3 +4.7 -16.2
  Nov 22, 2023 216   Georgia St. L 90-93 OT 64%     1 - 4 -8.5 -3.6 -4.3
  Nov 25, 2023 190   Tulsa W 84-82 OT 59%     2 - 4 -2.1 +0.0 -2.3
  Nov 28, 2023 263   Ball St. W 90-64 72%     3 - 4 +18.2 +19.8 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2023 133   Arkansas St. W 77-66 45%     4 - 4 +10.7 -3.3 +13.5
  Dec 07, 2023 337   @ Central Arkansas L 71-75 77%     4 - 5 -13.5 -2.6 -11.0
  Dec 10, 2023 184   Winthrop L 68-85 57%     4 - 6 -20.6 -5.5 -15.6
  Dec 13, 2023 241   Texas San Antonio W 93-84 68%     5 - 6 +2.4 +8.3 -6.5
  Dec 18, 2023 161   Murray St. W 80-66 53%     6 - 6 +11.6 +3.0 +8.2
  Dec 21, 2023 207   Jacksonville St. L 60-90 63%     6 - 7 -35.0 -17.1 -16.2
  Dec 28, 2023 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 81-75 75%     7 - 7 1 - 0 -2.9 +0.8 -4.0
  Dec 30, 2023 293   @ Tennessee St. L 82-90 61%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -12.5 +4.0 -16.1
  Jan 04, 2024 292   SIU Edwardsville W 88-80 78%     8 - 8 2 - 1 -1.7 +6.9 -8.9
  Jan 06, 2024 321   Eastern Illinois L 88-90 83%     8 - 9 2 - 2 -13.9 +8.8 -22.6
  Jan 13, 2024 215   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-77 44%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -5.3 -1.7 -3.6
  Jan 18, 2024 331   @ Southern Indiana W 77-75 75%     9 - 10 3 - 3 -6.8 -5.1 -1.9
  Jan 25, 2024 356   Lindenwood W 80-66 93%     10 - 10 4 - 3 -4.2 +4.1 -7.6
  Jan 27, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 66-61 92%     11 - 10 5 - 3 -12.0 -11.7 -0.3
  Feb 01, 2024 292   @ SIU Edwardsville L 66-68 61%     11 - 11 5 - 4 -6.5 -5.3 -1.3
  Feb 03, 2024 321   @ Eastern Illinois W 71-47 69%     12 - 11 6 - 4 +17.3 +5.8 +14.5
  Feb 06, 2024 215   Tennessee Martin W 77-57 64%     13 - 11 7 - 4 +14.5 +3.4 +12.1
  Feb 08, 2024 279   @ Western Illinois W 63-60 56%     14 - 11 8 - 4 -0.3 -3.6 +3.5
  Feb 15, 2024 128   Morehead St. W 69-68 44%     15 - 11 9 - 4 +1.0 +3.3 -2.2
  Feb 17, 2024 331   Southern Indiana W 80-62 87%     16 - 11 10 - 4 +4.0 +4.3 +0.4
  Feb 22, 2024 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 83-61 83%     17 - 11 11 - 4 +10.2 +10.2 +0.8
  Feb 24, 2024 356   @ Lindenwood W 82-73 85%     18 - 11 12 - 4 -4.0 +5.0 -8.9
  Feb 29, 2024 293   Tennessee St. W 85-60 78%     19 - 11 13 - 4 +15.3 +7.3 +7.5
  Mar 02, 2024 334   Tennessee Tech W 81-43 87%     20 - 11 14 - 4 +23.9 +9.4 +17.8
  Mar 08, 2024 279   Western Illinois W 82-57 66%     21 - 11 +19.1 +11.3 +8.5
  Mar 09, 2024 128   Morehead St. L 55-69 34%     21 - 12 -11.4 -8.5 -5.1
Projected Record 21 - 12 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%