Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#337
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#332
Pace71.9#83
Improvement+2.2#98

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#324
First Shot-5.0#311
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#268
Layup/Dunks-7.7#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#104
Freethrows-1.5#282
Improvement-0.6#217

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#341
First Shot-2.4#260
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#357
Layups/Dunks+0.2#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#294
Freethrows+0.7#144
Improvement+2.8#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 71 - 9
Quad 46 - 147 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 190   @ Tulsa L 53-70 11%     0 - 1 -15.9 -15.9 -0.7
  Nov 13, 2023 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 83-85 63%     0 - 2 -17.4 -8.2 -8.9
  Nov 17, 2023 167   @ Vanderbilt L 71-75 9%     0 - 3 -1.6 +1.8 -3.5
  Nov 20, 2023 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-70 49%     0 - 4 -13.8 -9.5 -4.3
  Nov 22, 2023 62   @ Kansas St. L 56-100 2%     0 - 5 -32.4 -8.8 -23.2
  Nov 25, 2023 324   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 52%     0 - 6 -15.6 -3.5 -12.3
  Nov 26, 2023 343   New Orleans L 74-79 64%     0 - 7 -20.8 -11.5 -9.0
  Nov 29, 2023 180   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-90 11%     0 - 8 -25.3 -13.3 -11.1
  Dec 03, 2023 159   @ Hawaii L 76-95 9%     0 - 9 -16.1 +10.6 -28.0
  Dec 07, 2023 193   Arkansas Little Rock W 75-71 23%     1 - 9 -0.3 +2.8 -2.9
  Dec 10, 2023 321   @ Eastern Illinois W 73-70 30%     2 - 9 -3.7 +1.0 -4.6
  Dec 20, 2023 279   Western Illinois L 54-65 37%     2 - 10 -19.5 -20.0 +0.4
  Dec 28, 2023 37   @ Oklahoma L 72-88 2%     2 - 11 -1.9 +4.3 -5.7
  Dec 30, 2023 135   @ Missouri L 59-92 7%     2 - 12 -28.3 -12.8 -15.4
  Jan 06, 2024 247   @ North Alabama W 84-81 16%     3 - 12 1 - 0 +1.4 +4.4 -3.2
  Jan 11, 2024 208   Eastern Kentucky L 63-86 25%     3 - 13 1 - 1 -28.1 -14.9 -13.0
  Jan 13, 2024 312   Bellarmine W 59-57 47%     4 - 13 2 - 1 -9.2 -10.7 +1.8
  Jan 18, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb W 96-86 9%     5 - 13 3 - 1 +12.4 +17.4 -5.3
  Jan 20, 2024 222   @ Austin Peay L 71-94 14%     5 - 14 3 - 2 -23.5 -3.9 -20.3
  Jan 24, 2024 258   @ Queens L 79-96 18%     5 - 15 3 - 3 -19.4 -7.9 -9.0
  Jan 27, 2024 264   Kennesaw St. W 92-87 34%     6 - 15 4 - 3 -3.0 +6.8 -10.1
  Feb 01, 2024 228   Florida Gulf Coast L 59-82 28%     6 - 16 4 - 4 -29.0 -13.5 -16.7
  Feb 03, 2024 209   Stetson L 62-73 OT 25%     6 - 17 4 - 5 -16.2 -22.6 +7.3
  Feb 08, 2024 270   @ Jacksonville L 55-59 20%     6 - 18 4 - 6 -7.0 -14.0 +6.6
  Feb 10, 2024 240   @ North Florida W 79-77 16%     7 - 18 5 - 6 +0.6 +2.2 -1.6
  Feb 15, 2024 222   Austin Peay L 67-77 27%     7 - 19 5 - 7 -15.7 -11.7 -4.2
  Feb 17, 2024 168   Lipscomb L 68-85 19%     7 - 20 5 - 8 -19.8 -6.2 -14.7
  Feb 22, 2024 312   @ Bellarmine L 65-68 28%     7 - 21 5 - 9 -9.0 -12.2 +3.3
  Feb 24, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-95 13%     7 - 22 5 - 10 -12.9 +0.1 -11.9
  Mar 01, 2024 247   North Alabama L 78-82 31%     7 - 23 5 - 11 -10.8 +0.8 -11.7
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%