Pre-tourney Rankings
Weber St.
Big Sky
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#162
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#163
Pace64.3#300
Improvement-5.5#346

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#137
First Shot+3.1#89
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#279
Layup/Dunks-0.2#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#73
Freethrows+0.8#117
Improvement-1.7#271

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#213
First Shot-3.7#300
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#28
Layups/Dunks-0.7#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#351
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#303
Freethrows+4.1#11
Improvement-3.8#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 02 - 1
Quad 35 - 67 - 7
Quad 410 - 517 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2023 21   @ St. Mary's W 61-57 8%     1 - 0 +20.1 +1.6 +18.8
  Nov 17, 2023 212   Gardner-Webb L 61-62 61%     1 - 1 -3.7 +1.3 -5.2
  Nov 18, 2023 95   Yale W 75-65 OT 29%     2 - 1 +16.0 +2.6 +13.0
  Nov 19, 2023 146   Colgate L 55-57 46%     2 - 2 -0.7 +1.1 -2.4
  Dec 05, 2023 169   @ Utah Valley L 54-70 42%     2 - 3 -13.6 -10.2 -4.5
  Dec 09, 2023 329   Cal Poly W 78-50 90%     3 - 3 +14.1 +4.3 +11.2
  Dec 13, 2023 41   @ Nevada L 55-72 11%     3 - 4 -3.1 -7.7 +3.4
  Dec 16, 2023 151   @ Wyoming W 84-71 37%     4 - 4 +16.7 +22.5 -4.1
  Dec 28, 2023 158   Montana W 93-63 60%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +27.7 +12.7 +14.2
  Dec 30, 2023 214   Montana St. W 86-64 71%     6 - 4 2 - 0 +16.6 +15.3 +2.4
  Jan 03, 2024 139   South Dakota St. W 75-73 54%     7 - 4 +1.1 +8.6 -7.2
  Jan 06, 2024 274   @ Oral Roberts W 83-78 63%     8 - 4 +1.8 +12.0 -9.9
  Jan 11, 2024 302   @ Sacramento St. L 69-71 70%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -7.3 +4.3 -11.9
  Jan 13, 2024 253   @ Portland St. L 66-69 59%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -5.2 -4.7 -0.5
  Jan 18, 2024 152   Eastern Washington L 78-80 57%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -3.7 +0.5 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2024 320   Idaho W 88-65 87%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +11.1 +17.7 -4.5
  Jan 22, 2024 158   @ Montana L 62-77 40%     9 - 8 3 - 4 -12.1 -9.0 -4.2
  Jan 27, 2024 254   Idaho St. L 64-74 77%     9 - 9 3 - 5 -17.6 -9.9 -8.2
  Feb 01, 2024 311   @ Northern Arizona W 72-70 72%     10 - 9 4 - 5 -3.9 -0.6 -3.2
  Feb 03, 2024 206   @ Northern Colorado W 82-63 50%     11 - 9 5 - 5 +19.2 +3.9 +14.9
  Feb 08, 2024 253   Portland St. W 84-72 77%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +4.6 +7.8 -3.5
  Feb 10, 2024 302   Sacramento St. W 58-53 84%     13 - 9 7 - 5 -5.5 -5.3 +1.1
  Feb 15, 2024 320   @ Idaho W 70-69 75%     14 - 9 8 - 5 -5.7 +2.7 -8.3
  Feb 17, 2024 152   @ Eastern Washington W 90-84 37%     15 - 9 9 - 5 +9.5 +13.6 -4.2
  Feb 24, 2024 254   @ Idaho St. L 62-80 60%     15 - 10 9 - 6 -20.4 -8.6 -12.9
  Feb 29, 2024 206   Northern Colorado W 85-81 OT 69%     16 - 10 10 - 6 -1.0 -2.0 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2024 311   Northern Arizona W 85-58 85%     17 - 10 11 - 6 +15.9 +9.8 +6.9
  Mar 04, 2024 214   @ Montana St. L 64-76 52%     17 - 11 11 - 7 -12.2 -4.4 -8.6
  Mar 11, 2024 214   Montana St. L 82-91 61%     17 - 12 -11.8 +5.6 -17.1
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%