Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Pace68.7#166
Improvement+2.2#93

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#283
First Shot-1.6#224
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#317
Layup/Dunks+1.1#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#348
Freethrows+2.0#55
Improvement+1.1#122

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#74
First Shot+2.8#86
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#89
Layups/Dunks+2.9#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#91
Freethrows+0.3#173
Improvement+1.1#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 36 - 56 - 13
Quad 48 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 138   @ Sam Houston St. W 79-73 OT 33%     1 - 0 +10.4 -1.5 +11.0
  Nov 15, 2023 116   @ Charlotte L 45-62 28%     1 - 1 -11.1 -22.1 +9.9
  Nov 19, 2023 230   Southern Miss W 67-65 62%     2 - 1 -1.5 -5.1 +3.6
  Nov 20, 2023 108   Cornell L 61-74 33%     2 - 2 -8.6 -10.3 +1.4
  Nov 29, 2023 119   Seattle W 78-72 47%     3 - 2 +6.5 +12.8 -5.9
  Dec 02, 2023 283   @ Utah Tech L 53-65 63%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -15.7 -18.4 +2.5
  Dec 05, 2023 162   Weber St. W 70-54 58%     4 - 3 +13.6 -0.8 +15.5
  Dec 09, 2023 137   @ Oregon St. L 71-74 32%     4 - 4 +1.5 +4.8 -3.5
  Dec 16, 2023 47   @ Utah L 62-76 11%     4 - 5 -0.7 -5.2 +4.7
  Dec 20, 2023 148   Liberty L 63-79 55%     4 - 6 -17.4 -6.5 -12.1
  Dec 29, 2023 45   @ Boise St. L 63-85 11%     4 - 7 -8.6 -2.1 -6.7
  Jan 04, 2024 195   California Baptist W 65-58 66%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +2.6 -1.5 +4.9
  Jan 06, 2024 246   Southern Utah W 80-62 74%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +11.2 +1.4 +9.6
  Jan 11, 2024 112   @ Texas Arlington L 69-83 27%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -7.8 -6.1 -0.6
  Jan 13, 2024 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 68-76 79%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -16.7 -10.7 -5.7
  Jan 18, 2024 59   @ Grand Canyon L 65-78 13%     6 - 10 2 - 4 -1.0 -6.6 +6.6
  Jan 20, 2024 283   Utah Tech W 84-71 79%     7 - 10 3 - 4 +4.1 +2.3 +0.8
  Jan 26, 2024 119   @ Seattle L 61-62 28%     7 - 11 3 - 5 +4.7 -5.0 +9.7
  Feb 01, 2024 170   @ Stephen F. Austin L 72-77 41%     7 - 12 3 - 6 -2.8 +4.8 -7.8
  Feb 03, 2024 59   Grand Canyon L 67-86 25%     7 - 13 3 - 7 -12.2 -7.5 -3.3
  Feb 08, 2024 134   Tarleton St. L 61-72 50%     7 - 14 3 - 8 -11.3 -14.0 +2.9
  Feb 10, 2024 204   Abilene Christian W 74-45 67%     8 - 14 4 - 8 +24.1 +1.2 +23.2
  Feb 15, 2024 195   @ California Baptist W 69-46 46%     9 - 14 5 - 8 +23.8 +3.8 +22.0
  Feb 17, 2024 246   @ Southern Utah W 78-75 55%     10 - 14 6 - 8 +1.4 +5.1 -3.7
  Feb 22, 2024 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-59 89%     11 - 14 7 - 8 -2.9 -6.7 +4.0
  Feb 24, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin W 71-62 61%     12 - 14 8 - 8 +6.0 +3.1 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2024 112   Texas Arlington L 65-78 45%     12 - 15 8 - 9 -12.0 -7.9 -4.0
  Mar 07, 2024 134   @ Tarleton St. W 63-60 31%     13 - 15 9 - 9 +7.9 -8.1 +16.0
  Mar 09, 2024 204   @ Abilene Christian W 74-67 48%     14 - 15 10 - 9 +7.3 +9.4 -1.5
  Mar 13, 2024 195   California Baptist L 63-74 OT 56%     14 - 16 -12.8 -8.5 -4.4
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%