Preseason Rankings
Brown
Ivy League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#185
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.2#73
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 12.2% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.6 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 52.4% 73.9% 45.5%
.500 or above in Conference 57.3% 69.5% 53.5%
Conference Champion 9.0% 13.9% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 5.2% 10.9%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round7.6% 12.0% 6.3%
Second Round1.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 49 - 313 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 110   @ Colgate L 70-77 24%    
  Nov 11, 2023 295   Loyola Maryland W 74-65 81%    
  Nov 14, 2023 288   @ New Hampshire W 68-65 61%    
  Nov 19, 2023 18   @ USC L 64-81 6%    
  Nov 24, 2023 194   Delaware W 72-71 52%    
  Dec 01, 2023 208   Bryant W 80-76 65%    
  Dec 03, 2023 264   @ Maine W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 06, 2023 190   @ Rhode Island L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 10, 2023 46   @ Providence L 65-79 12%    
  Dec 22, 2023 266   Siena W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 29, 2023 255   @ Stony Brook W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 02, 2024 108   Vermont L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 09, 2024 68   Yale L 66-72 32%    
  Jan 15, 2024 219   @ Harvard L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 20, 2024 157   Cornell W 80-78 55%    
  Jan 27, 2024 243   @ Dartmouth W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 02, 2024 203   Penn W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 03, 2024 130   Princeton L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 10, 2024 303   Columbia W 79-69 80%    
  Feb 16, 2024 130   @ Princeton L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 17, 2024 203   @ Penn L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 23, 2024 303   @ Columbia W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 24, 2024 157   @ Cornell L 77-81 35%    
  Mar 01, 2024 219   Harvard W 70-65 66%    
  Mar 02, 2024 243   Dartmouth W 76-69 70%    
  Mar 09, 2024 68   @ Yale L 63-75 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 3.0 2.4 1.2 0.3 9.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.9 5.4 2.5 0.4 14.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 7.0 5.3 1.4 0.1 16.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.5 7.7 4.5 0.8 0.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 7.3 3.6 0.4 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.7 2.5 0.2 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.3 3.9 1.6 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.0 5.4 8th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.8 5.4 8.3 11.1 13.6 14.1 13.4 11.5 8.5 5.6 2.8 1.2 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
12-2 84.8% 2.4    1.8 0.6 0.0
11-3 53.5% 3.0    1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 20.0% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
9-5 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.0% 9.0 5.0 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 77.8% 70.5% 7.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 24.7%
13-1 1.2% 47.8% 44.6% 3.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 5.7%
12-2 2.8% 30.6% 29.6% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0 1.4%
11-3 5.6% 22.4% 22.2% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.3 0.2%
10-4 8.5% 17.5% 17.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.0
9-5 11.5% 10.6% 10.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 10.3
8-6 13.4% 7.4% 7.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 12.4
7-7 14.1% 4.8% 4.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 13.5
6-8 13.6% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.2
5-9 11.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
4-10 8.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.3
3-11 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.3
2-12 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
1-13 1.2% 1.2
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 8.0% 7.9% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.3 92.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%