Preseason Rankings
Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#333
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.1#33
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#319
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 26.4% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 17.8% 61.5% 17.7%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 80.8% 51.0%
Conference Champion 10.4% 29.7% 10.4%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 1.7% 14.6%
First Four3.8% 17.0% 3.8%
First Round3.8% 17.6% 3.8%
Second Round0.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 41 - 8
Quad 48 - 99 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 11   @ Arizona L 68-97 0.3%   
  Nov 15, 2023 111   @ Fresno St. L 60-77 5%    
  Nov 18, 2023 50   @ BYU L 65-88 2%    
  Nov 21, 2023 182   Radford L 65-75 19%    
  Nov 26, 2023 158   @ Towson L 64-78 10%    
  Nov 29, 2023 278   @ High Point L 77-84 26%    
  Dec 03, 2023 213   Longwood L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 06, 2023 292   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 18, 2023 294   @ Campbell L 67-74 29%    
  Dec 22, 2023 121   James Madison L 74-84 19%    
  Dec 27, 2023 34   @ Virginia L 52-77 2%    
  Dec 31, 2023 339   @ NJIT L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 06, 2024 342   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 08, 2024 355   Delaware St. W 76-70 68%    
  Jan 20, 2024 357   @ Coppin St. W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 27, 2024 247   Howard L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 29, 2024 248   @ Norfolk St. L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 03, 2024 345   @ South Carolina St. L 80-82 44%    
  Feb 05, 2024 306   @ NC Central L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 17, 2024 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 19, 2024 355   @ Delaware St. L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 24, 2024 247   @ Howard L 73-82 24%    
  Feb 26, 2024 248   Norfolk St. L 71-74 41%    
  Mar 02, 2024 345   South Carolina St. W 83-79 63%    
  Mar 04, 2024 306   NC Central W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 07, 2024 357   Coppin St. W 82-76 70%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.2 10.4 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 4.9 3.9 1.3 0.1 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.1 6.6 3.7 0.5 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.9 7.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.4 3.8 6.9 2.8 0.2 14.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.3 2.3 0.1 13.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.8 4.9 1.9 0.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.5 1.7 3.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 8.6 8th
Total 0.5 1.8 4.0 7.0 10.0 12.3 13.4 13.7 12.3 9.9 7.2 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
12-2 94.4% 2.2    1.8 0.3
11-3 72.1% 3.3    2.0 1.3 0.1
10-4 37.9% 2.7    1.0 1.3 0.4 0.0
9-5 10.0% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.4% 10.4 6.1 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 64.7% 64.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.9% 50.1% 50.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5
12-2 2.3% 38.9% 38.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4
11-3 4.6% 26.6% 26.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.4
10-4 7.2% 17.2% 17.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 6.0
9-5 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 9.0
8-6 12.3% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.6 11.7
7-7 13.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 13.3
6-8 13.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.3
5-9 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.2
4-10 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-11 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0
2-12 4.0% 4.0
1-13 1.8% 1.8
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 5.0 94.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%