Preseason Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#212
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.5#144
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#114
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#308
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 16.0% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 58.5% 76.6% 50.2%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 82.9% 68.3%
Conference Champion 12.8% 19.3% 9.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.9% 2.9%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
First Round10.2% 15.5% 7.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Away) - 31.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 412 - 514 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 176   @ Louisiana L 74-79 31%    
  Nov 10, 2023 48   @ Michigan L 68-83 8%    
  Nov 17, 2023 210   Utah Tech W 59-56 61%    
  Nov 24, 2023 72   @ Dayton L 62-75 13%    
  Nov 29, 2023 187   Cleveland St. W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 02, 2023 285   @ Robert Morris W 72-71 55%    
  Dec 06, 2023 127   @ Ohio L 74-82 24%    
  Dec 09, 2023 319   @ Western Michigan W 76-72 62%    
  Dec 21, 2023 277   Navy W 74-67 72%    
  Dec 31, 2023 256   Oakland W 80-74 69%    
  Jan 04, 2024 183   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 07, 2024 347   IUPUI W 80-67 86%    
  Jan 10, 2024 305   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 12, 2024 131   Wright St. L 80-82 44%    
  Jan 17, 2024 256   @ Oakland L 77-78 50%    
  Jan 20, 2024 265   @ Detroit Mercy W 78-77 51%    
  Jan 25, 2024 347   @ IUPUI W 77-70 72%    
  Jan 28, 2024 183   Northern Kentucky W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 01, 2024 131   @ Wright St. L 77-85 26%    
  Feb 04, 2024 305   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-76 58%    
  Feb 08, 2024 217   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-80 61%    
  Feb 10, 2024 340   Green Bay W 79-67 83%    
  Feb 14, 2024 285   Robert Morris W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 17, 2024 187   @ Cleveland St. L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 23, 2024 217   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-83 41%    
  Feb 25, 2024 340   @ Green Bay W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 28, 2024 265   Detroit Mercy W 80-74 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.2 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 12.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.0 4.6 2.4 0.7 0.2 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 4.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.3 3.0 0.8 0.1 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.3 5.1 6.3 8.0 9.7 10.4 11.3 10.1 9.7 8.4 5.9 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.0
18-2 93.4% 2.2    1.9 0.3
17-3 81.1% 3.2    2.4 0.8 0.0
16-4 54.3% 3.2    1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 25.2% 2.1    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0
14-6 8.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 8.2 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 74.6% 71.5% 3.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.9%
19-1 1.0% 57.1% 56.7% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0%
18-2 2.3% 46.1% 46.1% 0.0% 13.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.2 0.0%
17-3 4.0% 38.4% 38.4% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.5
16-4 5.9% 26.7% 26.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 4.3
15-5 8.4% 19.8% 19.8% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 6.8
14-6 9.7% 14.5% 14.5% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 8.3
13-7 10.1% 11.1% 11.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 9.0
12-8 11.3% 7.0% 7.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 10.5
11-9 10.4% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.0
10-10 9.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.3
9-11 8.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.9
8-12 6.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.3
7-13 5.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.1
6-14 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-15 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.7 2.9 2.2 89.2 0.0%