Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
Big East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.5#30
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#34
Pace61.7#337
Improvement+0.2#185

Offense
Total Offense+10.8#13
First Shot+9.6#13
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#111
Layup/Dunks+5.5#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#29
Freethrows+1.4#93
Improvement-2.5#298

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#81
First Shot+1.0#142
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#15
Layups/Dunks+0.2#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#108
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#81
Freethrows-2.5#339
Improvement+2.7#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 2.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.3% n/a n/a
Second Round55.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 24 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 45 - 6
Quad 28 - 313 - 9
Quad 34 - 117 - 10
Quad 46 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 264   Sacred Heart W 92-56 97%     1 - 0 +27.7 +10.2 +16.1
  Nov 09, 2024 354   New Hampshire W 92-53 99%     2 - 0 +22.5 +12.9 +9.7
  Nov 13, 2024 355   Le Moyne W 90-49 99%     3 - 0 +23.9 +15.9 +12.9
  Nov 19, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 81-46 99%     4 - 0 +21.0 +0.6 +19.4
  Nov 25, 2024 54   Memphis L 97-99 OT 65%     4 - 1 +8.6 +25.2 -16.5
  Nov 26, 2024 76   Colorado L 72-73 75%     4 - 2 +6.5 +15.1 -8.8
  Nov 27, 2024 77   Dayton L 67-85 76%     4 - 3 -10.8 +1.4 -13.7
  Nov 30, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 99-45 99%     5 - 3 +35.1 +18.7 +17.4
  Dec 04, 2024 26   Baylor W 76-72 58%     6 - 3 +16.4 +19.5 -2.4
  Dec 08, 2024 43   @ Texas W 76-65 49%     7 - 3 +25.9 +18.1 +9.0
  Dec 14, 2024 10   Gonzaga W 77-71 33%     8 - 3 +25.0 +13.3 +11.8
  Dec 18, 2024 39   Xavier W 94-89 OT 66%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +15.2 +24.2 -9.1
  Dec 21, 2024 73   @ Butler W 78-74 65%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +14.5 +9.2 +5.4
  Jan 01, 2025 110   @ DePaul W 81-68 78%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +19.5 +15.2 +5.0
  Jan 05, 2025 92   Providence W 87-84 86%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +5.9 +20.2 -14.1
  Jan 08, 2025 51   @ Villanova L 66-68 53%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +11.8 +10.6 +0.7
  Jan 11, 2025 84   @ Georgetown W 68-60 69%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +17.4 +6.5 +11.5
  Jan 18, 2025 35   Creighton L 63-68 64%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +5.9 +7.7 -2.8
  Jan 21, 2025 73   Butler W 80-78 OT 82%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +7.0 +7.3 -0.3
  Jan 25, 2025 39   @ Xavier L 72-76 46%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +11.7 +10.4 +1.1
  Jan 29, 2025 110   DePaul W 72-61 89%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +12.0 +6.9 +6.4
  Feb 01, 2025 27   @ Marquette W 77-69 38%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +25.7 +18.0 +8.3
  Feb 07, 2025 9   St. John's L 62-68 43%     16 - 7 8 - 4 +10.3 +2.5 +7.7
  Feb 11, 2025 35   @ Creighton W 70-66 43%     17 - 7 9 - 4 +20.4 +8.3 +12.3
  Feb 15, 2025 169   @ Seton Hall L 68-69 OT 87%     17 - 8 9 - 5 +1.2 +3.2 -2.1
  Feb 18, 2025 51   Villanova W 66-59 73%     18 - 8 10 - 5 +15.3 +5.8 +10.6
  Feb 23, 2025 9   @ St. John's L 75-89 24%     18 - 9 10 - 6 +7.8 +14.0 -5.6
  Feb 26, 2025 84   Georgetown W 93-79 84%     19 - 9 11 - 6 +17.9 +30.1 -11.3
  Mar 01, 2025 92   @ Providence W 75-63 72%     20 - 9 12 - 6 +20.4 +16.8 +5.5
  Mar 05, 2025 27   Marquette W 72-66 59%     21 - 9 13 - 6 +18.2 +15.7 +3.4
  Mar 08, 2025 169   Seton Hall W 81-50 94%     22 - 9 14 - 6 +27.7 +17.2 +12.9
  Mar 13, 2025 51   Villanova W 73-56 63%     23 - 9 +28.0 +16.9 +14.2
  Mar 14, 2025 35   Creighton L 62-71 53%     23 - 10 +4.7 +10.6 -8.1
Projected Record 23 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 99.3% 99.3% 8.0 0.3 1.8 18.1 56.9 21.0 1.2 0.0 0.7 99.3%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.3% 0.0% 99.3% 8.0 0.3 1.8 18.1 56.9 21.0 1.2 0.0 0.7 99.3%