Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#39
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#45
Pace71.8#75
Improvement+3.4#55

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#46
First Shot+7.2#30
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#223
Layup/Dunks+3.2#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#96
Freethrows+3.1#31
Improvement+2.3#83

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#40
First Shot+5.2#44
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#93
Layups/Dunks+0.4#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#45
Freethrows+0.3#164
Improvement+1.1#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 48.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four37.2% n/a n/a
First Round31.1% n/a n/a
Second Round11.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 9
Quad 28 - 29 - 11
Quad 35 - 014 - 11
Quad 47 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 282   Texas Southern W 78-69 97%     1 - 0 -0.8 +1.4 -2.5
  Nov 08, 2024 316   IU Indianapolis W 94-80 98%     2 - 0 +1.9 +12.4 -10.0
  Nov 12, 2024 260   Jackson St. W 94-57 96%     3 - 0 +28.9 +15.4 +12.1
  Nov 16, 2024 63   Wake Forest W 75-60 74%     4 - 0 +21.3 +12.1 +10.1
  Nov 20, 2024 256   Siena W 80-55 96%     5 - 0 +17.2 +7.4 +11.0
  Nov 25, 2024 70   South Carolina W 75-66 68%     6 - 0 +17.1 +6.2 +10.8
  Nov 27, 2024 24   Michigan L 53-78 40%     6 - 1 -9.5 -11.6 +2.4
  Dec 01, 2024 187   South Carolina St. W 71-68 94%     7 - 1 -1.4 -4.3 +2.7
  Dec 05, 2024 74   @ TCU L 72-76 60%     7 - 2 +6.3 +11.0 -4.9
  Dec 10, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 119-58 98%     8 - 2 +47.5 +31.8 +12.5
  Dec 14, 2024 48   @ Cincinnati L 65-68 46%     8 - 3 +10.9 +1.7 +9.2
  Dec 18, 2024 30   @ Connecticut L 89-94 OT 34%     8 - 4 0 - 1 +12.3 +19.4 -7.1
  Dec 21, 2024 27   Marquette L 70-72 53%     8 - 5 0 - 2 +10.2 +3.9 +6.3
  Dec 31, 2024 169   Seton Hall W 94-72 93%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +18.7 +24.2 -5.4
  Jan 03, 2025 84   @ Georgetown L 63-69 63%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +3.4 -3.3 +6.7
  Jan 07, 2025 9   St. John's L 72-82 37%     9 - 7 1 - 4 +6.3 +5.9 +1.2
  Jan 11, 2025 110   @ DePaul W 77-63 73%     10 - 7 2 - 4 +20.5 +9.4 +11.6
  Jan 14, 2025 51   Villanova W 69-63 67%     11 - 7 3 - 4 +14.3 +3.8 +10.9
  Jan 18, 2025 27   @ Marquette W 59-57 32%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +19.7 -2.3 +22.1
  Jan 22, 2025 9   @ St. John's L 71-79 OT 20%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +13.8 +8.9 +5.4
  Jan 25, 2025 30   Connecticut W 76-72 54%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +15.8 +9.2 +6.7
  Jan 29, 2025 35   @ Creighton L 77-86 37%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +7.4 +14.0 -6.8
  Feb 04, 2025 84   Georgetown W 74-69 80%     14 - 9 6 - 6 +8.9 +4.2 +4.6
  Feb 09, 2025 51   @ Villanova L 68-80 47%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +1.8 +5.8 -5.1
  Feb 12, 2025 92   @ Providence W 91-82 67%     15 - 10 7 - 7 +17.4 +16.4 +0.5
  Feb 15, 2025 110   DePaul W 85-68 86%     16 - 10 8 - 7 +18.0 +14.0 +4.4
  Feb 18, 2025 73   Butler W 76-63 77%     17 - 10 9 - 7 +18.0 -5.0 +21.7
  Feb 23, 2025 169   @ Seton Hall W 73-66 84%     18 - 10 10 - 7 +9.2 +4.4 +4.7
  Mar 01, 2025 35   Creighton W 83-61 58%     19 - 10 11 - 7 +32.9 +20.6 +13.7
  Mar 05, 2025 73   @ Butler W 91-78 59%     20 - 10 12 - 7 +23.5 +19.2 +4.1
  Mar 08, 2025 92   Providence W 76-68 83%     21 - 10 13 - 7 +10.9 +5.4 +5.7
  Mar 13, 2025 27   Marquette L 87-89 42%     21 - 11 +13.0 +19.7 -6.7
Projected Record 21 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 48.0% 48.0% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.8 29.6 11.3 52.0 48.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 48.0% 0.0% 48.0% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.8 29.6 11.3 52.0 48.0%