Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#82
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#61
Pace62.9#316
Improvement+0.0#197

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#199
First Shot-2.0#236
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#112
Layup/Dunks+1.8#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#267
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#323
Freethrows+2.6#44
Improvement+0.5#166

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#24
First Shot+5.9#33
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#62
Layups/Dunks+6.2#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#261
Freethrows+1.7#70
Improvement-0.6#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 24 - 05 - 4
Quad 39 - 314 - 7
Quad 411 - 125 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 322   NC Central W 75-58 95%     1 - 0 +4.5 -4.0 +8.9
  Nov 08, 2024 27   @ Marquette L 63-82 15%     1 - 1 -1.3 -3.8 +3.4
  Nov 11, 2024 324   Stony Brook W 94-56 95%     2 - 1 +25.4 +13.5 +12.2
  Nov 13, 2024 217   Central Michigan L 69-70 88%     2 - 2 -6.9 -6.3 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 166   @ East Carolina L 77-78 2OT 67%     2 - 3 +1.3 -3.3 +4.7
  Nov 20, 2024 361   Coppin St. W 93-55 98%     3 - 3 +18.6 +21.6 -0.4
  Nov 29, 2024 165   @ James Madison W 66-61 66%     4 - 3 +7.4 -2.3 +10.1
  Dec 03, 2024 201   UNC Asheville W 74-52 87%     5 - 3 +16.8 +1.0 +17.2
  Dec 07, 2024 133   Tulane W 76-64 77%     6 - 3 +11.1 +6.9 +5.0
  Dec 17, 2024 1   @ Duke L 47-68 3%     6 - 4 +7.4 -8.2 +13.2
  Dec 22, 2024 281   Penn W 85-53 93%     7 - 4 +22.3 +6.7 +16.2
  Dec 28, 2024 248   Mount St. Mary's W 64-56 90%     8 - 4 +0.6 -8.0 +8.9
  Dec 31, 2024 145   Davidson W 69-57 79%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +10.1 +4.7 +7.3
  Jan 04, 2025 154   @ Rhode Island L 59-62 63%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +0.2 -8.9 +8.9
  Jan 08, 2025 225   Richmond W 64-58 88%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -0.2 +0.5 +0.4
  Jan 11, 2025 198   Massachusetts W 77-70 86%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +2.2 +3.8 -1.6
  Jan 15, 2025 77   @ Dayton W 67-59 38%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +18.0 +10.2 +9.3
  Jan 18, 2025 117   George Washington W 80-77 2OT 73%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +3.2 -5.0 +7.8
  Jan 21, 2025 112   @ St. Bonaventure W 75-62 51%     14 - 5 6 - 1 +19.4 +12.9 +7.3
  Jan 29, 2025 104   Loyola Chicago W 58-53 OT 70%     15 - 5 7 - 1 +6.3 -9.3 +15.9
  Feb 01, 2025 145   @ Davidson W 64-60 62%     16 - 5 8 - 1 +7.6 -0.3 +8.4
  Feb 05, 2025 117   @ George Washington W 53-50 54%     17 - 5 9 - 1 +8.7 -14.7 +23.5
  Feb 08, 2025 154   Rhode Island W 82-67 80%     18 - 5 10 - 1 +12.7 +15.3 -1.1
  Feb 11, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis W 76-74 OT 49%     19 - 5 11 - 1 +9.0 +7.9 +1.1
  Feb 15, 2025 80   Saint Joseph's W 58-57 60%     20 - 5 12 - 1 +5.2 -0.4 +5.8
  Feb 22, 2025 36   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-70 18%     20 - 6 12 - 2 +0.4 -5.3 +4.2
  Feb 26, 2025 227   Fordham W 74-64 88%     21 - 6 13 - 2 +3.7 -4.7 +8.3
  Mar 01, 2025 127   @ Duquesne L 68-85 57%     21 - 7 13 - 3 -12.1 +0.7 -13.3
  Mar 05, 2025 212   La Salle W 69-62 87%     22 - 7 14 - 3 +1.3 -2.2 +3.9
  Mar 08, 2025 225   @ Richmond W 64-60 76%     23 - 7 15 - 3 +3.3 +1.0 +2.8
  Mar 14, 2025 117   George Washington W 80-65 64%     24 - 7 +18.0 +15.7 +3.5
  Mar 15, 2025 80   Saint Joseph's W 74-64 49%     25 - 7 +17.0 +8.0 +9.4
  Mar 16, 2025 36   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-68 25%     25 - 8 +8.6 +3.7 +4.4
Projected Record 25 - 8 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.7% 0.7% 11.8 0.2 0.5 99.3 0.7%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 11.8 0.2 0.5 99.3 0.7%