Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#166
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#155
Pace66.2#224
Improvement-0.6#224

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#158
First Shot-1.0#202
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#92
Layup/Dunks+1.4#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#328
Freethrows+2.6#43
Improvement+0.7#153

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
First Shot-0.7#203
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#214
Layups/Dunks-0.4#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#320
Freethrows+1.3#89
Improvement-1.4#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 4
Quad 34 - 86 - 12
Quad 411 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 317   Coastal Carolina W 63-59 86%     1 - 0 -8.2 -4.8 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 82   George Mason W 78-77 2OT 33%     2 - 0 +5.0 +3.3 +1.6
  Nov 21, 2024 123   Jacksonville St. L 78-86 39%     2 - 1 -5.6 +7.5 -13.3
  Nov 22, 2024 350   Stetson W 71-64 88%     3 - 1 -6.1 -7.9 +2.0
  Nov 23, 2024 172   Illinois-Chicago W 72-55 51%     4 - 1 +16.3 +5.2 +12.7
  Nov 29, 2024 329   N.C. A&T W 93-69 88%     5 - 1 +10.6 +16.4 -5.4
  Dec 03, 2024 113   UNC Wilmington L 53-67 46%     5 - 2 -13.3 -19.6 +5.8
  Dec 07, 2024 70   @ South Carolina L 68-75 15%     5 - 3 +3.9 +14.1 -11.5
  Dec 11, 2024 121   North Alabama L 67-74 50%     5 - 4 -7.3 -7.6 +0.2
  Dec 17, 2024 252   Florida International W 75-64 76%     6 - 4 +3.3 +2.2 +1.0
  Dec 21, 2024 271   Gardner-Webb L 79-84 79%     6 - 5 -14.0 -0.4 -13.5
  Dec 31, 2024 188   @ South Florida L 69-75 44%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -5.0 -4.0 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2025 114   Florida Atlantic L 76-78 46%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -1.4 -2.4 +1.1
  Jan 08, 2025 162   Temple W 80-79 60%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -2.0 +1.4 -3.4
  Jan 11, 2025 54   @ Memphis L 70-74 10%     7 - 8 1 - 3 +9.4 +0.1 +9.6
  Jan 14, 2025 81   North Texas L 60-69 33%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -4.8 +0.8 -7.1
  Jan 18, 2025 125   @ Wichita St. W 75-72 30%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +8.0 +10.0 -1.8
  Jan 21, 2025 250   @ Tulsa W 85-76 OT 56%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +7.1 +11.2 -4.2
  Jan 25, 2025 188   South Florida W 64-55 65%     10 - 9 4 - 4 +4.5 -1.9 +7.5
  Feb 01, 2025 162   @ Temple L 94-98 OT 39%     10 - 10 4 - 5 -1.5 +9.6 -10.6
  Feb 05, 2025 192   Rice L 60-73 66%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -17.6 -15.5 -2.1
  Feb 08, 2025 185   @ Texas San Antonio W 80-79 44%     11 - 11 5 - 6 +2.2 +10.6 -8.3
  Feb 11, 2025 100   UAB W 82-75 42%     12 - 11 6 - 6 +8.6 +13.0 -3.6
  Feb 15, 2025 237   @ Charlotte W 75-59 54%     13 - 11 7 - 6 +14.5 +15.3 +2.3
  Feb 19, 2025 133   @ Tulane L 81-86 31%     13 - 12 7 - 7 -0.4 +8.5 -8.8
  Feb 23, 2025 185   Texas San Antonio W 96-89 OT 65%     14 - 12 8 - 7 +2.7 +11.3 -9.2
  Mar 02, 2025 237   Charlotte W 78-76 74%     15 - 12 9 - 7 -5.0 +0.9 -6.0
  Mar 06, 2025 133   Tulane W 73-64 52%     16 - 12 10 - 7 +8.1 +3.2 +5.4
  Mar 09, 2025 114   @ Florida Atlantic L 53-81 27%     16 - 13 10 - 8 -21.9 -16.2 -7.1
  Mar 13, 2025 185   Texas San Antonio W 70-65 54%     17 - 13 +3.5 -1.4 +5.1
  Mar 14, 2025 100   UAB L 77-94 32%     17 - 14 -12.6 -0.6 -11.5
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%