Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#311
Expected Predictive Rating-12.2#340
Pace76.0#20
Improvement-0.8#234

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#307
First Shot-2.9#258
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#313
Layup/Dunks+2.1#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#293
Freethrows-0.5#204
Improvement+4.1#24

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#287
First Shot-1.7#230
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#329
Layups/Dunks+0.9#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#220
Freethrows-2.3#326
Improvement-4.9#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 4.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 6
Quad 20 - 60 - 12
Quad 30 - 50 - 17
Quad 45 - 105 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 304   Rider L 67-68 58%     0 - 1 -12.1 -13.5 +1.4
  Nov 08, 2024 300   Boston University W 74-60 56%     1 - 1 +3.3 +6.1 -1.1
  Nov 12, 2024 200   Portland St. L 76-85 35%     1 - 2 -14.1 -10.5 -1.9
  Nov 16, 2024 211   Idaho St. L 66-78 37%     1 - 3 -17.6 -16.1 -0.5
  Nov 22, 2024 303   Southern Utah L 67-72 58%     1 - 4 -16.1 -12.5 -3.3
  Nov 24, 2024 267   Idaho W 68-61 49%     2 - 4 -1.8 -12.6 +10.8
  Dec 03, 2024 75   @ Arizona St. L 53-90 5%     2 - 5 -26.7 -18.1 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 55   @ San Diego St. L 57-74 3%     2 - 6 -3.8 -8.6 +5.6
  Dec 10, 2024 289   Long Beach St. L 70-76 55%     2 - 7 -16.3 +0.4 -17.4
  Dec 14, 2024 259   @ Fresno St. L 65-73 27%     2 - 8 -10.5 -9.1 -1.3
  Dec 21, 2024 42   UC San Diego L 64-82 4%    
  Dec 28, 2024 88   Grand Canyon L 55-68 9%     2 - 9 -6.9 -17.7 +11.9
  Dec 30, 2024 288   Pacific W 75-65 55%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -0.3 -2.4 +2.2
  Jan 02, 2025 56   Santa Clara L 80-81 7%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +6.5 +9.3 -2.8
  Jan 04, 2025 89   @ Oregon St. L 54-81 6%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -18.4 -15.5 -4.3
  Jan 08, 2025 10   @ Gonzaga L 80-93 1%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +8.8 +11.5 -2.0
  Jan 11, 2025 28   St. Mary's L 56-103 4%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -35.0 -1.9 -38.7
  Jan 16, 2025 119   Washington St. L 61-65 20%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -4.1 -11.7 +7.4
  Jan 18, 2025 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-77 13%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -4.0 +2.4 -6.6
  Jan 23, 2025 272   @ Portland L 82-92 30%     3 - 16 1 - 7 -13.5 +2.8 -16.1
  Jan 25, 2025 64   @ San Francisco L 69-81 4%     3 - 17 1 - 8 -0.9 +2.7 -3.6
  Jan 30, 2025 216   Pepperdine L 90-98 37%     3 - 18 1 - 9 -13.7 -0.7 -11.8
  Feb 01, 2025 157   Loyola Marymount L 62-78 26%     3 - 19 1 - 10 -18.5 -13.7 -3.9
  Feb 06, 2025 288   @ Pacific L 69-71 34%     3 - 20 1 - 11 -6.8 +2.5 -9.5
  Feb 08, 2025 56   @ Santa Clara L 70-93 3%     3 - 21 1 - 12 -10.0 +1.5 -11.2
  Feb 13, 2025 216   @ Pepperdine L 81-88 20%     3 - 22 1 - 13 -7.2 +1.8 -8.6
  Feb 15, 2025 64   San Francisco L 61-84 9%     3 - 23 1 - 14 -17.4 -11.4 -4.7
  Feb 22, 2025 89   Oregon St. L 73-83 13%     3 - 24 1 - 15 -6.9 -1.2 -5.8
  Feb 27, 2025 119   @ Washington St. L 86-93 10%     3 - 25 1 - 16 -1.6 +2.7 -3.5
  Mar 01, 2025 272   Portland W 82-80 50%     4 - 25 2 - 16 -7.0 -0.5 -6.6
  Mar 06, 2025 288   Pacific W 81-77 44%     5 - 25 -3.5 -0.2 -3.5
  Mar 07, 2025 157   Loyola Marymount L 74-100 19%     5 - 26 -25.7 -0.3 -24.2
Projected Record 5 - 27 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.3%
Lose Out 95.7%