Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Big 12
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#75
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#68
Pace70.5#112
Improvement-6.2#354

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#79
First Shot+3.1#94
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#132
Layup/Dunks-2.7#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#77
Freethrows+0.9#123
Improvement-0.7#219

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#80
First Shot+1.5#126
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#31
Layups/Dunks+2.5#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#225
Freethrows+1.8#64
Improvement-5.5#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 101 - 10
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 13
Quad 23 - 57 - 18
Quad 32 - 19 - 19
Quad 44 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 211   Idaho St. W 55-48 89%     1 - 0 +1.4 -18.6 +20.4
  Nov 08, 2024 56   Santa Clara W 81-74 40%     2 - 0 +17.2 +12.0 +5.3
  Nov 10, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 80-88 10%     2 - 1 +13.8 +14.2 -0.3
  Nov 14, 2024 88   Grand Canyon W 87-76 56%     3 - 1 +17.1 +13.5 +2.9
  Nov 17, 2024 131   St. Thomas W 81-66 79%     4 - 1 +14.2 +5.8 +8.6
  Nov 20, 2024 177   Cal Poly W 93-89 85%     5 - 1 +0.2 +5.7 -6.0
  Nov 28, 2024 41   New Mexico W 85-82 32%     6 - 1 +15.5 +16.8 -1.4
  Nov 29, 2024 28   St. Mary's W 68-64 25%     7 - 1 +18.8 +7.6 +11.4
  Dec 03, 2024 311   San Diego W 90-53 95%     8 - 1 +25.2 +6.1 +16.7
  Dec 14, 2024 2   Florida L 66-83 6%     8 - 2 +8.2 -1.7 +11.2
  Dec 21, 2024 198   Massachusetts W 78-62 82%     9 - 2 +13.9 +4.1 +9.5
  Dec 31, 2024 19   @ BYU L 56-76 14%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -0.8 -6.5 +4.0
  Jan 04, 2025 76   Colorado W 81-61 61%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +24.7 +10.7 +13.6
  Jan 08, 2025 18   @ Kansas L 55-74 14%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +0.2 -4.4 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 26   Baylor L 66-72 OT 32%     10 - 5 1 - 3 +6.4 -1.9 +8.3
  Jan 14, 2025 71   Central Florida L 89-95 58%     10 - 6 1 - 4 -0.6 +11.9 -12.2
  Jan 18, 2025 48   @ Cincinnati L 60-67 27%     10 - 7 1 - 5 +6.9 +0.2 +6.3
  Jan 21, 2025 47   @ West Virginia W 65-57 26%     11 - 7 2 - 5 +22.1 +10.4 +12.7
  Jan 25, 2025 11   Iowa St. L 61-76 21%     11 - 8 2 - 6 +1.2 -2.3 +3.4
  Jan 28, 2025 76   @ Colorado W 70-68 40%     12 - 8 3 - 6 +12.2 +4.3 +7.9
  Feb 01, 2025 13   Arizona L 72-81 22%     12 - 9 3 - 7 +6.8 +0.4 +6.9
  Feb 04, 2025 59   Kansas St. L 70-71 53%     12 - 10 3 - 8 +5.9 +8.8 -3.0
  Feb 09, 2025 93   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-86 47%     12 - 11 3 - 9 -4.6 -0.7 -2.7
  Feb 12, 2025 8   @ Texas Tech L 106-111 2OT 9%     12 - 12 3 - 10 +17.2 +21.2 -3.1
  Feb 15, 2025 74   TCU L 70-74 61%     12 - 13 3 - 11 +0.8 -1.9 +3.0
  Feb 18, 2025 4   Houston L 65-80 12%     12 - 14 3 - 12 +5.5 +11.6 -8.1
  Feb 23, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. W 66-54 32%     13 - 14 4 - 12 +24.4 +5.7 +19.4
  Feb 26, 2025 19   BYU L 81-91 28%     13 - 15 4 - 13 +3.7 +6.6 -2.3
  Mar 01, 2025 69   @ Utah L 73-99 37%     13 - 16 4 - 14 -15.0 +5.0 -19.8
  Mar 04, 2025 13   @ Arizona L 100-113 11%     13 - 17 4 - 15 +8.3 +31.1 -22.2
  Mar 08, 2025 8   Texas Tech L 57-85 19%     13 - 18 4 - 16 -11.3 -4.8 -9.3
  Mar 11, 2025 59   Kansas St. L 66-71 42%     13 - 19 +4.7 +4.2 +0.1
Projected Record 13 - 19 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%