IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.4	#154
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.5	#335
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.5	#187

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.8	#142

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.6%	13.8%	7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.4	13.2	14.0

.500 or above	68.7%	78.0%	52.6%
.500 or above in Conference	76.6%	81.9%	67.4%
Conference Champion	14.9%	18.1%	9.3%
Last Place in Conference	2.0%	1.2%	3.3%

First Four	0.4%	0.3%	0.5%
First Round	11.4%	13.7%	7.5%
Second Round	1.5%	2.0%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 63.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 6	5 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 5	17 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	171	Colgate	W	67-63	63%
Nov 12, 2024	130	@ Temple	L	64-69	33%
Nov 16, 2024	173	La Salle	W	69-65	63%
Nov 19, 2024	237	@ Fairfield	W	69-68	52%
Nov 22, 2024	159	@ Fordham	L	66-69	40%
Nov 25, 2024	180	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	71-70	54%
Dec 02, 2024	169	Bryant	W	75-71	62%
Dec 14, 2024	259	@ Albany	W	75-73	58%
Dec 17, 2024	249	@ Howard	W	70-69	55%
Dec 21, 2024	67	Penn St.	L	67-72	33%
Jan 02, 2025	301	@ Campbell	W	69-64	65%
Jan 04, 2025	312	@ N.C. A&T	W	71-65	68%
Jan 09, 2025	260	@ Stony Brook	W	68-66	57%
Jan 11, 2025	124	Towson	W	62-61	53%
Jan 16, 2025	288	Elon	W	73-63	80%
Jan 20, 2025	155	Hofstra	W	67-64	60%
Jan 23, 2025	220	@ Northeastern	W	66-65	51%
Jan 25, 2025	187	Delaware	W	69-65	64%
Jan 30, 2025	216	@ Monmouth	W	68-67	50%
Feb 01, 2025	124	@ Towson	L	59-64	34%
Feb 06, 2025	247	William & Mary	W	70-63	73%
Feb 08, 2025	157	UNC Wilmington	W	67-64	60%
Feb 13, 2025	322	@ Hampton	W	73-66	70%
Feb 15, 2025	247	@ William & Mary	W	67-66	55%
Feb 20, 2025	187	@ Delaware	L	66-68	44%
Feb 22, 2025	117	College of Charleston	W	72-71	51%
Feb 27, 2025	322	Hampton	W	76-63	85%
Mar 01, 2025	216	Monmouth	W	71-65	69%
Projected Record						16 - 12	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	1.1	2.9	4.3	3.7	2.0	0.7		14.9	1st
2nd												0.2	1.8	4.3	4.5	2.1	0.5	0.0			13.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.5	4.7	4.0	1.4	0.2					12.0	3rd
4th										0.0	1.0	4.2	4.1	1.2	0.1	0.0					10.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	3.8	3.9	1.2	0.1	0.0						9.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.6	3.9	1.3	0.1	0.0							8.2	6th
7th								0.1	1.6	3.8	1.6	0.1	0.0								7.2	7th
8th							0.1	0.8	3.1	2.1	0.2										6.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.4	2.1	2.1	0.4	0.0										5.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.3	2.2	0.6	0.0											4.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	0.9	1.6	0.8	0.0												3.4	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	0.6	0.1													2.5	12th
13th		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0													1.6	13th
14th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0														1.0	14th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.4	2.8	4.1	6.1	7.7	9.6	10.7	11.3	11.9	10.6	8.9	6.7	4.2	2.0	0.7			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	98.8%	2.0		1.9	0.1
16-2	89.0%	3.7		3.0	0.7	0.0
15-3	65.1%	4.3		2.5	1.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	33.0%	2.9		1.1	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.1%	1.1		0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	14.9%	14.9		9.3	4.0	1.3	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%		60.0%	52.9%	7.1%	9.8			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3		15.0%
17-1	2.0%		47.0%	45.5%	1.5%	11.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.1		2.8%
16-2	4.2%		35.9%	35.5%	0.3%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.7		0.5%
15-3	6.7%		29.3%	29.2%	0.1%	13.0												0.0	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	4.7		0.1%
14-4	8.9%		22.0%	22.0%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.0	7.0
13-5	10.6%		16.0%	16.0%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.1	8.9
12-6	11.9%		11.6%	11.6%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	10.6
11-7	11.3%		7.3%	7.3%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	10.5
10-8	10.7%		4.5%	4.5%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.2
9-9	9.6%		2.6%	2.6%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	9.3
8-10	7.7%		1.2%	1.2%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	7.6
7-11	6.1%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.0	6.0
6-12	4.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
5-13	2.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
4-14	1.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
3-15	0.8%																							0.8
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.6%	11.5%	0.1%	13.4			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	1.9	3.1	3.0	2.0	0.8	88.4		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	5.9		7.4		11.1	18.5	30.9	7.4	24.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	10.3									25.0	20.0	55.0