Preseason Rankings
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#155
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.0#281
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#176
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#149
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 13.5% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 14.3
.500 or above 63.5% 71.4% 44.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.6% 82.6% 68.9%
Conference Champion 15.5% 18.1% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.2% 2.9%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round11.4% 13.3% 7.0%
Second Round1.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 411 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 210   Iona W 71-65 70%    
  Nov 13, 2024 68   Seton Hall L 63-71 23%    
  Nov 16, 2024 116   @ Massachusetts L 67-73 31%    
  Nov 19, 2024 83   @ Florida St. L 68-78 19%    
  Nov 22, 2024 3   @ Houston L 53-74 3%    
  Nov 29, 2024 211   Rice W 70-67 60%    
  Nov 30, 2024 221   Tarleton St. W 69-66 61%    
  Dec 01, 2024 134   Arkansas St. L 71-73 45%    
  Dec 09, 2024 251   @ Norfolk St. W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 15, 2024 130   Temple W 69-68 55%    
  Dec 29, 2024 212   @ Quinnipiac L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 02, 2025 247   William & Mary W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 04, 2025 220   @ Northeastern W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 09, 2025 117   College of Charleston W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 157   UNC Wilmington W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 16, 2025 124   @ Towson L 60-65 34%    
  Jan 20, 2025 154   @ Drexel L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 23, 2025 187   Delaware W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 301   Campbell W 73-62 81%    
  Jan 30, 2025 288   @ Elon W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 301   @ Campbell W 70-65 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 220   Northeastern W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 08, 2025 260   Stony Brook W 72-64 75%    
  Feb 13, 2025 247   @ William & Mary W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 15, 2025 322   @ Hampton W 75-68 70%    
  Feb 20, 2025 216   Monmouth W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 187   @ Delaware L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 27, 2025 260   @ Stony Brook W 69-67 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 312   N.C. A&T W 75-64 83%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 4.4 4.0 2.2 0.6 15.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.4 4.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.5 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.4 4.1 1.2 0.1 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.8 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 3.9 1.4 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.5 3.9 5.5 7.1 9.2 10.9 11.6 11.8 11.4 9.3 7.1 4.6 2.2 0.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 98.1% 2.2    2.0 0.2
16-2 87.5% 4.0    3.0 0.9 0.1
15-3 62.2% 4.4    2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 33.9% 3.2    1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.1% 1.0    0.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.5% 15.5 9.4 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 63.5% 59.0% 4.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10.8%
17-1 2.2% 43.9% 43.0% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1.6%
16-2 4.6% 34.2% 34.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.0 0.1%
15-3 7.1% 28.6% 28.6% 13.2 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.0
14-4 9.3% 21.7% 21.7% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 7.3
13-5 11.4% 16.2% 16.2% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 9.5
12-6 11.8% 10.9% 10.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 10.5
11-7 11.6% 6.3% 6.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 10.8
10-8 10.9% 4.1% 4.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.4
9-9 9.2% 2.2% 2.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.0
8-10 7.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.0
7-11 5.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.5
6-12 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-14 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.7% 11.6% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.9 3.1 2.2 1.1 88.3 0.1%