Preseason Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#220
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.0#283
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#226
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#218
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 6.1% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 42.0% 55.7% 30.0%
.500 or above in Conference 52.1% 60.7% 44.6%
Conference Champion 4.8% 6.7% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 3.8% 8.0%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round4.5% 5.9% 3.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 84 - 11
Quad 411 - 615 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 266   @ Boston University L 66-67 47%    
  Nov 10, 2024 104   Princeton L 66-71 33%    
  Nov 13, 2024 182   Harvard W 68-67 53%    
  Nov 17, 2024 304   Central Connecticut St. W 71-64 75%    
  Nov 22, 2024 275   Florida International W 73-71 59%    
  Nov 23, 2024 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 64-68 37%    
  Nov 24, 2024 278   Cal St. Bakersfield W 66-63 59%    
  Nov 30, 2024 111   @ Vermont L 59-69 20%    
  Dec 03, 2024 173   La Salle W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 08, 2024 171   Colgate W 68-67 51%    
  Dec 15, 2024 227   @ Old Dominion L 70-73 41%    
  Dec 18, 2024 116   @ Massachusetts L 66-75 22%    
  Dec 29, 2024 60   @ Northwestern L 58-73 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 187   Delaware W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 04, 2025 155   Hofstra L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 09, 2025 124   @ Towson L 59-67 24%    
  Jan 11, 2025 260   @ Stony Brook L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 16, 2025 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 18, 2025 117   @ College of Charleston L 69-78 23%    
  Jan 23, 2025 154   Drexel L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 124   Towson L 62-64 42%    
  Jan 30, 2025 322   @ Hampton W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 288   @ Elon W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 06, 2025 155   @ Hofstra L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 322   Hampton W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 13, 2025 301   Campbell W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 260   Stony Brook W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 20, 2025 117   College of Charleston L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 216   @ Monmouth L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 27, 2025 312   N.C. A&T W 74-66 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 247   @ William & Mary L 67-69 44%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 4.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.1 1.1 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 4.7 1.8 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.6 2.5 0.2 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.5 0.9 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.9 4.6 7.1 9.1 10.4 11.8 11.6 10.9 9.4 7.5 5.6 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 95.5% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 69.7% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.4% 1.4    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 52.9% 45.7% 7.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3%
17-1 0.3% 37.6% 37.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 32.0% 31.2% 0.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.1%
15-3 2.0% 27.1% 27.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
14-4 3.8% 21.3% 21.3% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.0
13-5 5.6% 14.2% 14.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.8
12-6 7.5% 9.6% 9.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 6.7
11-7 9.4% 5.9% 5.9% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 8.9
10-8 10.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.6
9-9 11.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4
8-10 11.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.7
7-11 10.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3
6-12 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-13 7.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.1
4-14 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-15 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.7 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%