IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.0	#60
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.7	#342
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.2	#70

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.7	#43

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.8%	0.9%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	2.3%	2.4%	0.6%
Top 4 Seed	7.4%	7.7%	1.7%
Top 6 Seed	15.2%	15.8%	3.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid	38.0%	39.3%	15.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	36.4%	37.6%	14.2%
Average Seed	7.2	7.1	8.1

.500 or above	62.7%	64.4%	31.7%
.500 or above in Conference	40.6%	41.7%	20.6%
Conference Champion	3.0%	3.1%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.8%	11.2%	23.5%

First Four	4.1%	4.2%	3.0%
First Round	35.8%	37.0%	13.7%
Second Round	21.4%	22.2%	7.4%
Sweet Sixteen	8.8%	9.1%	2.4%
Elite Eight	3.5%	3.7%	0.8%
Final Four	1.4%	1.5%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 94.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 4	4 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 4	8 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	12 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	264	Lehigh	W	78-61	95%
Nov 09, 2024	59	@ Dayton	L	62-65	39%
Nov 12, 2024	203	Illinois-Chicago	W	74-60	90%
Nov 15, 2024	326	Eastern Illinois	W	76-54	98%
Nov 19, 2024	149	Montana St.	W	74-63	84%
Nov 22, 2024	217	Pepperdine	W	75-60	90%
Nov 28, 2024	72	Butler	W	69-68	54%
Dec 03, 2024	45	@ Iowa	L	73-77	35%
Dec 06, 2024	22	Illinois	L	71-72	48%
Dec 15, 2024	80	Georgia Tech	W	69-67	55%
Dec 21, 2024	122	DePaul	W	73-64	79%
Dec 29, 2024	220	Northeastern	W	73-58	90%
Jan 02, 2025	67	@ Penn St.	L	68-70	42%
Jan 05, 2025	12	@ Purdue	L	63-72	21%
Jan 12, 2025	24	Michigan St.	L	64-65	48%
Jan 16, 2025	38	Maryland	W	64-63	53%
Jan 19, 2025	30	@ Michigan	L	65-71	31%
Jan 22, 2025	20	Indiana	L	68-69	47%
Jan 26, 2025	22	@ Illinois	L	68-75	29%
Jan 29, 2025	29	Rutgers	W	65-64	51%
Feb 01, 2025	44	Wisconsin	W	67-65	55%
Feb 04, 2025	46	USC	W	70-68	56%
Feb 08, 2025	62	@ Washington	L	70-73	41%
Feb 11, 2025	34	@ Oregon	L	65-70	33%
Feb 16, 2025	51	Nebraska	W	70-68	58%
Feb 20, 2025	31	@ Ohio St.	L	64-70	32%
Feb 25, 2025	76	@ Minnesota	L	66-68	45%
Feb 28, 2025	45	Iowa	W	76-74	55%
Mar 03, 2025	23	UCLA	L	62-63	48%
Mar 08, 2025	38	@ Maryland	L	61-66	34%
Projected Record						16 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0		3.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.4	1.1	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0			3.4	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.3	1.4	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0				4.1	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	1.2	2.0	0.9	0.1	0.0						4.3	4th
5th											0.0	0.7	2.4	1.4	0.2	0.0							4.7	5th
6th											0.3	2.1	2.2	0.4	0.0								4.9	6th
7th										0.0	1.2	2.9	0.9	0.0	0.0								5.2	7th
8th									0.0	0.5	2.7	1.9	0.2	0.0									5.4	8th
9th									0.1	1.6	3.1	0.6	0.0										5.5	9th
10th								0.0	0.6	3.3	1.7	0.1											5.7	10th
11th							0.0	0.2	2.3	3.2	0.4	0.0											6.1	11th
12th						0.0	0.1	1.1	3.4	1.5	0.1												6.2	12th
13th						0.0	0.5	2.9	2.5	0.3	0.0												6.3	13th
14th					0.0	0.3	2.0	3.2	1.0	0.0													6.5	14th
15th				0.0	0.2	1.6	3.3	1.7	0.1														7.0	15th
16th			0.0	0.2	1.3	2.9	2.2	0.4	0.0													7.1	16th
17th		0.0	0.3	1.5	2.7	2.1	0.7	0.0														7.5	17th
18th	0.2	1.0	1.8	2.2	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0														7.2	18th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.1	3.9	5.7	7.4	8.9	9.6	10.1	10.4	9.6	8.5	7.2	5.6	4.1	2.6	1.5	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	97.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	95.0%	0.4		0.4	0.1
17-3	82.6%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
16-4	54.5%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	24.3%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	5.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.0%	3.0		1.6	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	22.7%	77.3%	1.1		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	35.4%	64.6%	1.5		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.5%		100.0%	26.7%	73.3%	1.8		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0													100.0%
17-3	0.9%		100.0%	24.6%	75.4%	2.1		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
16-4	1.5%		100.0%	18.5%	81.5%	3.0		0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	2.6%		99.9%	14.1%	85.8%	4.0		0.1	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.9%
14-6	4.1%		99.4%	11.5%	87.9%	5.1		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.0	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.4%
13-7	5.6%		97.5%	7.2%	90.2%	6.2		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.3	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		97.3%
12-8	7.2%		92.1%	3.7%	88.4%	7.5			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.3	1.3	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.0					0.6		91.8%
11-9	8.5%		78.7%	2.1%	76.7%	8.4			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.3	1.4	1.2	0.7	0.1					1.8		78.3%
10-10	9.6%		58.5%	1.1%	57.4%	9.4				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.2	1.5	1.3	0.2					4.0		58.0%
9-11	10.4%		28.5%	0.6%	27.9%	10.2					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	0.3	0.0				7.4		28.1%
8-12	10.1%		8.7%	0.3%	8.4%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0				9.2		8.4%
7-13	9.6%		1.4%	0.0%	1.3%	11.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				9.4		1.3%
6-14	8.9%		0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	12.0												0.0		0.0				8.9		0.0%
5-15	7.4%																							7.4
4-16	5.7%																							5.7
3-17	3.9%																							3.9
2-18	2.1%																							2.1
1-19	1.0%																							1.0
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		38.0%	2.5%	35.4%	7.2		0.8	1.5	2.3	2.8	3.5	4.3	4.2	4.7	4.6	4.4	4.1	0.8	0.0				62.0		36.4%