Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#146
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#104
Pace80.1#10
Improvement-0.8#229

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#147
First Shot-4.6#303
After Offensive Rebound+5.4#3
Layup/Dunks-6.9#355
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#150
Freethrows+3.7#31
Improvement-2.3#329

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#170
First Shot+0.3#164
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#214
Layups/Dunks-1.8#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#74
Freethrows-3.5#340
Improvement+1.5#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 8.7% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.7 13.2
.500 or above 56.6% 76.1% 51.4%
.500 or above in Conference 54.9% 64.7% 52.3%
Conference Champion 6.0% 9.1% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 4.9% 8.1%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round6.3% 8.7% 5.6%
Second Round0.7% 1.2% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 21.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 37 - 79 - 13
Quad 46 - 115 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 185   @ California Baptist L 84-88 46%     0 - 1 -2.2 +6.2 -8.1
  Nov 16, 2024 248   Presbyterian W 85-67 79%     1 - 1 +10.4 +11.4 -0.3
  Nov 20, 2024 178   Abilene Christian W 84-78 68%     2 - 1 +2.0 +5.8 -4.0
  Nov 24, 2024 58   Rutgers W 79-77 29%     3 - 1 +8.5 +0.9 +7.4
  Nov 28, 2024 57   UC Irvine L 59-76 20%     3 - 2 -7.4 -9.7 +3.4
  Nov 29, 2024 147   Towson W 67-63 OT 50%     4 - 2 +4.8 -0.3 +5.2
  Nov 30, 2024 110   Kent St. L 60-67 39%     4 - 3 -3.4 -7.2 +3.7
  Dec 06, 2024 230   @ Georgia St. W 81-77 56%     5 - 3 +3.2 +2.7 +0.3
  Dec 18, 2024 84   @ Santa Clara L 75-84 21%    
  Dec 21, 2024 194   @ San Jose St. L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 04, 2025 174   Jacksonville St. W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 09, 2025 128   @ Middle Tennessee L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 115   @ Western Kentucky L 82-87 31%    
  Jan 16, 2025 139   Sam Houston St. W 82-79 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 103   Louisiana Tech L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 23, 2025 218   @ New Mexico St. W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 158   @ UTEP L 76-78 42%    
  Jan 30, 2025 70   Liberty L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 253   Florida International W 83-74 79%    
  Feb 06, 2025 115   Western Kentucky W 85-84 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 128   Middle Tennessee W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 13, 2025 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 139   @ Sam Houston St. L 79-82 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 158   UTEP W 79-75 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 218   New Mexico St. W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 27, 2025 253   @ Florida International W 80-77 60%    
  Mar 02, 2025 70   @ Liberty L 67-77 18%    
  Mar 08, 2025 174   @ Jacksonville St. L 75-76 45%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.5 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.3 3.0 0.7 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 5.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 6.3 3.4 0.4 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.8 1.7 0.3 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 4.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.4 5.9 8.7 11.2 13.2 13.8 12.7 10.7 7.7 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 95.4% 0.5    0.4 0.0
15-3 85.9% 1.3    1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 61.7% 1.8    1.1 0.6 0.1
13-5 32.5% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0
12-6 8.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 37.7% 34.4% 3.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.0%
16-2 0.5% 34.0% 34.0% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.5% 25.6% 25.6% 11.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.1
14-4 2.9% 20.1% 20.1% 12.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3
13-5 5.0% 15.8% 15.8% 12.4 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 4.2
12-6 7.7% 12.4% 12.4% 12.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.7
11-7 10.7% 9.6% 9.6% 12.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.7
10-8 12.7% 6.2% 6.2% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.9
9-9 13.8% 5.3% 5.3% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 13.1
8-10 13.2% 3.7% 3.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.8
7-11 11.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.0
6-12 8.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.6
5-13 5.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 2.3 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 93.7 0.0%