Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
110 UC Irvine 0.0%   21 - 11 15 - 5 +3.5      -3.2 260 +6.7 32 70.0 134 +2.7 120 +4.5 1
113 Hawaii 100.0%   13   22 - 8 14 - 6 +3.3      -1.5 206 +4.8 57 72.7 66 +3.8 114 +3.0 2
137 UC San Diego 0.0%   21 - 11 12 - 8 +1.5      -2.1 223 +3.6 79 67.4 209 +2.6 122 +0.5 5
144 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 9 +0.8      +2.2 114 -1.4 220 63.1 319 -0.8 175 -0.7 7
174 UC Davis 0.0%   17 - 14 11 - 9 -1.0      -1.8 211 +0.8 142 70.9 108 +0.3 152 -0.5 6
178 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   18 - 14 12 - 8 -1.1      -0.6 180 -0.5 189 81.1 3 +0.6 147 +0.8 4
179 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   16 - 16 12 - 8 -1.1      -0.8 186 -0.3 184 79.5 7 0.0 156 +0.8 3
219 Cal Poly 0.0%   12 - 19 10 - 10 -3.2      -0.2 171 -3.0 262 83.2 1 -3.1 218 -1.5 8
250 Long Beach St. 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 14 -5.2      -3.2 258 -2.0 234 70.5 122 -6.9 273 -6.7 9
271 UC Riverside 0.0%   8 - 22 5 - 15 -6.2      -4.3 287 -1.9 232 70.2 127 -7.0 277 -8.1 10
332 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   6 - 24 2 - 18 -11.5      -5.5 309 -6.0 329 73.9 41 -10.5 326 -13.6 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 12 178 Cal St. Northridge 80 137 UC San Diego 70   
Thu, Mar 12 179 Cal St. Fullerton 82 174 UC Davis 70   
Fri, Mar 13 179 Cal St. Fullerton 63 113 Hawaii 78   
Fri, Mar 13 178 Cal St. Northridge 78 110 UC Irvine 93   
Sat, Mar 14 113 Hawaii 71 110 UC Irvine 64   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
Hawaii 2.0 100.0
UC San Diego 3.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 3.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 3.0 100.0
UC Davis 6.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 6.0 100.0
Cal Poly 8.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 9.0 100.0
UC Riverside 10.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
UC Irvine 15 - 5 21 - 11 100.0
Hawaii 14 - 6 22 - 8 100.0
UC San Diego 12 - 8 21 - 11 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 12 - 8 16 - 16 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 12 - 8 18 - 14 100.0
UC Davis 11 - 9 17 - 14 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 11 - 9 16 - 14 100.0
Cal Poly 10 - 10 12 - 19 100.0
Long Beach St. 6 - 14 8 - 22 100.0
UC Riverside 5 - 15 8 - 22 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 2 - 18 6 - 24 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
Hawaii
UC San Diego
Cal St. Fullerton
Cal St. Northridge
UC Davis
UC Santa Barbara
Cal Poly
Long Beach St.
UC Riverside
Cal St. Bakersfield


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   8.7 63.6 27.5 0.2
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%