Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2025-26

Last Updated: Mar 15, 2026

View: Probabilistic Seeding


***Click on team names for re-designed team pages with much more information on each team***

Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Arizona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Duke Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Michigan At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Florida At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Houston At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Purdue Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Connecticut At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Iowa St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Michigan St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Illinois At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Nebraska At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Vanderbilt At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Alabama At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  St. John's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Arkansas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Texas Tech At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Wisconsin At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Tennessee At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Louisville At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  BYU At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  North Carolina At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  Kentucky At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
7  UCLA At-Large 99.2% 99.2% 99.2%
7  Miami (FL) At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
7  Georgia At-Large 97.3% 97.3% 97.3%
8  Clemson At-Large 98.1% 98.1% 98.1%
8  Ohio St. At-Large 96.1% 96.1% 96.1%
8  St. Mary's At-Large 99.3% 99.3% 99.3%
8  Utah St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Iowa At-Large 95.6% 95.6% 95.6%
9  Villanova At-Large 98.0% 98.0% 98.0%
9  TCU At-Large 93.9% 93.9% 93.9%
9  Texas A&M At-Large 86.8% 86.8% 86.8%
10  North Carolina St. At-Large 78.1% 78.1% 78.1%
10  Central Florida At-Large 80.0% 80.0% 80.0%
10  Missouri At-Large 74.2% 74.2% 74.2%
10  Saint Louis At-Large 86.3% 86.3% 86.3%
11  Santa Clara At-Large 66.9% 66.9% 66.9%
11  Miami (OH) At-Large 67.6% 67.6% 67.6%
11  SMU At-Large 48.8% 48.8% 48.8%
11  Texas At-Large 60.4% 60.4% 60.4%
11  Virginia Commonwealth Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  South Florida Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  McNeese St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Akron Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Northern Iowa Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  High Point Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Hofstra Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  California Baptist Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Hawaii Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Troy Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  North Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Penn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Wright St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Kennesaw St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Idaho Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Tennessee St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Furman Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Siena Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Queens Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Maryland Baltimore Co. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  LIU Brooklyn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Howard Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Prairie View Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Lehigh Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Central Florida 80.0% 80.0% 80.0%
North Carolina St. 78.1% 78.1% 78.1%
Missouri 74.2% 74.2% 74.2%
Miami (OH) 67.6% 67.6% 67.6%
Santa Clara 66.9% 66.9% 66.9%
Texas 60.4% 60.4% 60.4%
SMU 48.8% 48.8% 48.8%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
San Diego St. 34.3% 34.3% 34.3%
Oklahoma 30.6% 30.6% 30.6%
Stanford 29.9% 29.9% 29.9%
Indiana 28.9% 28.9% 28.9%
Seton Hall 21.3% 21.3% 21.3%
New Mexico 18.9% 18.9% 18.9%
Auburn 17.5% 17.5% 17.5%
California 16.6% 16.6% 16.6%
Virginia Tech 14.7% 14.7% 14.7%
West Virginia 13.8% 13.8% 13.8%
Cincinnati 12.0% 12.0% 12.0%
Belmont 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
Oklahoma St. 6.9% 6.9% 6.9%
Boise St. 5.9% 5.9% 5.9%
Florida St. 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
Dayton 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
Tulsa 2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
Arizona St. 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
Nevada 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
USC 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Grand Canyon 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Colorado St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Colorado 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Wake Forest 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Baylor 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%