Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
98 Hofstra 100.0%   13   22 - 10 12 - 6 +5.3      +2.9 99 +2.5 107 62.9 321 +4.2 110 +1.7 3
115 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   24 - 6 15 - 3 +3.2      +1.5 129 +1.8 126 63.9 303 +4.8 105 +6.7 1
152 William & Mary 0.0%   18 - 12 10 - 8 +0.5      +1.1 139 -0.6 195 80.1 5 +1.0 138 -1.3 6
156 Towson 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 +0.4      -2.3 235 +2.7 103 60.9 350 -0.3 161 -2.2 8
163 College of Charleston 0.0%   20 - 11 14 - 4 +0.1      -0.8 185 +0.9 140 69.2 155 +2.4 126 +5.6 2
171 Monmouth 0.0%   18 - 15 11 - 7 -0.5      -2.1 220 +1.6 129 67.3 212 -0.8 174 +0.9 4
180 Campbell 0.0%   14 - 18 8 - 10 -1.2      +1.2 136 -2.4 252 73.4 53 -1.6 192 -3.1 9
214 Drexel 0.0%   16 - 16 10 - 8 -3.0      -4.9 296 +1.8 125 62.3 334 -3.0 217 -0.2 5
228 Stony Brook 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 -3.8      -2.5 238 -1.3 218 65.8 254 -2.2 199 -1.8 7
242 Elon 0.0%   12 - 18 6 - 12 -4.8      -0.3 172 -4.5 304 67.1 219 -4.5 239 -6.1 11
268 Hampton 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 -6.0      -4.5 292 -1.5 224 64.5 286 -6.7 268 -4.5 10
287 N.C. A&T 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 14 -7.4      -2.6 239 -4.8 308 70.4 125 -7.6 289 -8.6 12
293 Northeastern 0.0%   7 - 24 2 - 16 -7.6      -0.9 191 -6.7 340 73.0 62 -9.1 309 -13.1 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
UNC Wilmington 1.0 100.0
College of Charleston 2.0 100.0
Hofstra 3.0 100.0
Monmouth 4.0 100.0
Drexel 5.0 100.0
William & Mary 5.0 100.0
Stony Brook 7.0 100.0
Towson 7.0 100.0
Campbell 9.0 100.0
Hampton 10.0 100.0
Elon 11.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 12.0 100.0
Northeastern 13.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Wilmington 15 - 3 24 - 6 100.0
College of Charleston 14 - 4 20 - 11 100.0
Hofstra 12 - 6 22 - 10 100.0
Monmouth 11 - 7 18 - 15 100.0
Drexel 10 - 8 16 - 16 100.0
William & Mary 10 - 8 18 - 12 100.0
Stony Brook 9 - 9 15 - 15 100.0
Towson 9 - 9 17 - 15 100.0
Campbell 8 - 10 14 - 18 100.0
Hampton 7 - 11 11 - 19 100.0
Elon 6 - 12 12 - 18 100.0
N.C. A&T 4 - 14 9 - 19 100.0
Northeastern 2 - 16 7 - 24 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UNC Wilmington 100.0% 100.0
College of Charleston
Hofstra
Monmouth
Drexel
William & Mary
Stony Brook
Towson
Campbell
Hampton
Elon
N.C. A&T
Northeastern


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Hofstra 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.1 38.7 58.1 3.2
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.2% 0.1 90.8 9.2
Sweet Sixteen 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Hofstra 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%