Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
176 Merrimack 0.0%   23 - 11 17 - 3 -1.0      -2.2 226 +1.2 136 61.1 347 +0.7 145 +3.7 1
194 Siena 100.0%   15   23 - 11 13 - 7 -1.9      -1.4 203 -0.5 190 63.1 317 -1.6 191 -3.3 3
205 Marist 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 8 -2.3      -6.7 333 +4.4 67 65.8 253 -3.4 226 -4.3 4
220 Quinnipiac 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 8 -3.2      -3.6 266 +0.4 152 74.5 32 -2.7 210 -4.5 5
240 St. Peter's 0.0%   16 - 12 14 - 6 -4.8      -4.1 280 -0.6 196 64.2 293 -3.5 228 -1.0 2
254 Iona 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 10 -5.3      -3.7 269 -1.6 225 72.1 83 -4.1 234 -7.4 8
258 Fairfield 0.0%   20 - 13 11 - 9 -5.4      -2.4 236 -3.0 261 67.5 202 -3.7 230 -5.5 6
274 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   14 - 17 11 - 9 -6.4      -6.7 334 +0.3 164 68.7 170 -6.4 261 -5.8 7
289 Sacred Heart 0.0%   13 - 19 9 - 11 -7.5      -1.1 196 -6.4 337 70.6 119 -7.9 292 -8.2 9
329 Manhattan 0.0%   11 - 20 8 - 12 -11.1      -3.4 263 -7.7 351 69.5 146 -9.9 319 -9.4 10
334 Niagara 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 15 -11.9      -6.1 322 -5.8 324 58.8 365 -13.4 346 -13.1 12
339 Canisius 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 15 -12.5      -9.2 352 -3.3 273 62.2 337 -11.4 331 -13.0 11
357 Rider 0.0%   3 - 25 3 - 17 -15.7      -8.5 346 -7.2 347 64.8 277 -19.0 360 -16.4 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Merrimack 1.0 100.0
St. Peter's 2.0 100.0
Siena 3.0 100.0
Marist 4.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 4.0 100.0
Fairfield 6.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 6.0 100.0
Iona 8.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 9.0 100.0
Manhattan 10.0 100.0
Canisius 11.0 100.0
Niagara 11.0 100.0
Rider 13.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Merrimack 17 - 3 23 - 11 100.0
St. Peter's 14 - 6 16 - 12 100.0
Siena 13 - 7 23 - 11 100.0
Marist 12 - 8 18 - 12 100.0
Quinnipiac 12 - 8 18 - 13 100.0
Fairfield 11 - 9 20 - 13 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 11 - 9 14 - 17 100.0
Iona 10 - 10 18 - 14 100.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 11 13 - 19 100.0
Manhattan 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Canisius 5 - 15 9 - 21 100.0
Niagara 5 - 15 7 - 22 100.0
Rider 3 - 17 3 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Merrimack 100.0% 100.0
St. Peter's
Siena
Marist
Quinnipiac
Fairfield
Mount St. Mary's
Iona
Sacred Heart
Manhattan
Canisius
Niagara
Rider


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 3.8 43.8 52.4
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 90.9% 0.9 9.2 90.9
2nd Round 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 100.0% 18.3% 90.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%