Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.9 34
Results Rating +12.3 45
Consistency 0.21 362
Pace 71.9 88
Improvement -5.5 345

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 21 B+ B A B B
Defense B- 84 C+ B B+ C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 115 B 63% 74 +3.4 63
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 296 C- 36% 231 -2.6 304
Three Pointers 45% 103 A- 39% 14 +5.5 27
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 62 B+ +5.1 37
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 29
Second Chance C+ 31.1% 159 A 1.24 9 B 0.39 44
Opponents' Steals A 6.5% 7
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 34
Turnovers A 12.4% 9
Freethrows B- 0.33 83 B 76% 40 B 0.25 53
Total Offense A- +10.6 21

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 148 B+ 7.6% 26
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 232 B+ 2.6% 27
Three Pointers B- 87% 112 B- 0.6% 115
Total B- 60% 76 A- 3.7% 16


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 B- 55% 86 -2.5 98
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 312 B- 36% 83 -2.1 31
Three Pointers 47% 27 C 34% 186 +3.2 321
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 245 C+ -1.6 113
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 132
Second Chance B 26.5% 53 B- 0.98 103 B 0.26 47
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.3% 19
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 125
Turnovers B+ 19.9% 29
Freethrows C 0.30 174 B+ 69% 32 C+ 0.21 136
Total Defense B- +3.4 84

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 22 B- 14.0% 64
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 121 B+ 7.9% 42
Three Pointers B+ 77% 33 C- 0.6% 236
Total B- 51% 85 B- 6.7% 91

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 30 18.5 325
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 79 0.17 192
Consistency 0.14 309 0.16 356
Improvement +0.5 167 -5.9 360

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 34 34 34
Results Rating Rank 45 45 45
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None 10 8
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 78% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 78% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four6% n/a n/a
First Round75% n/a n/a
Second Round34% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2% n/a n/a
Final Four1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 8
Quad 26 - 411 - 12
Quad 35 - 016 - 12
Quad 44 - 120 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 348 NC Central W 114 - 65 99% +28  99% 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +25 A+ A+ A+ B+ +5 C- B- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 124 UAB W 94 - 70 90% +11  85% 2 - 0 A+ +24 A +13 A+ A+ D A +9 A- C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 297 UNC Greensboro W 110 - 64 98% +15  90% 3 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +20 B A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ B A+
 Mon, Nov 17 47 Virginia Commonwealth W 85 - 79 69% +4  93% 4 - 0 B+ +15 B+ +9 B- A+ F B+ +6 B B- B-
 Mon, Nov 24 52 Seton Hall L 74 - 85 61% -8  3% 4 - 1 C +0 B- +5 B D A+ D+ -4 D F+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 64 Boise St. W 81 - 70 68% +5  82% 5 - 1 A +20 B+ +9 A+ F+ C+ A +11 B- A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 37 Texas L 97 - 102 51% -4  14% 5 - 2 B +9 A+ +22 A A+ A+ F -13 F C- F
 Wed, Dec 3 39 @Auburn L 73 - 83 39% -5  14% 5 - 3 B- +7 C +2 C+ F A+ B +5 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 236 UNC Asheville W 75 - 63 97% +3  66% 6 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 D+ A+ D B+ +6 B+ B- A-
 Wed, Dec 10 126 Liberty W 85 - 45 91% +25  97% 7 - 3 A+ +39 B+ +8 A- F A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 21 Kansas L 76 - 77 OT 49% -1  35% 7 - 4 B+ +13 B- +5 B C- A+ A- +8 B- A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 317 Texas Southern W 108 - 72 98% +24  98% 8 - 4 A +23 A+ +25 A A+ A+ C- -2 A- F C+
 Sun, Dec 21 62 Mississippi W 76 - 62 67% +15  93% 9 - 4 A +23 B +6 A+ A- F A+ +17 B A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 65 Wake Forest W 70 - 57 77% +7  73% 10 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 D -6 C+ F+ D A+ +24 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 15 Virginia L 61 - 76 44% -13  0% 10 - 5 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 D C+ B- C+ +1 D+ D A+
 Tue, Jan 6 131 @Boston College W 79 - 71 80% +7  93% 11 - 5 2 - 1 B+ +13 A+ +22 A A+ A+ F+ -8 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 63 @Florida St. W 113 - 69 56% +24  99% 12 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +56 A+ +31 A+ A+ A+ A+ +21 A+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 17 139 Georgia Tech L 74 - 78 92% -1  39% 12 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -6 D -5 C- F+ A C -1 F B- A
 Tue, Jan 20 40 @Clemson W 80 - 76 OT 40% +3  65% 13 - 6 4 - 2 A +21 A +13 A- F+ A+ A- +8 B- C- A
 Sat, Jan 24 91 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 72 68% -1  32% 14 - 6 5 - 2 A +18 A +12 B- C A+ B+ +6 A+ F A
 Tue, Jan 27 82 Syracuse W 88 - 68 82% +7  100% 15 - 6 6 - 2 A+ +24 A +14 A+ A- B+ A +10 A+ D- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 65 @Wake Forest W 96 - 78 57% +11  93% 16 - 6 7 - 2 A+ +30 A+ +26 A+ B+ A+ B +5 B- B D+
 Tue, Feb 3 42 @SMU W 84 - 83 41% -1  37% 17 - 6 8 - 2 A- +17 A +13 A B- A+ B +4 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 56 Virginia Tech W 82 - 73 74% +8  94% 18 - 6 9 - 2 A- +16 B +7 A D- B+ A +9 A+ F+ A+
 Mon, Feb 9 20 @Louisville L 77 - 118 24% -21  0% 18 - 7 9 - 3 F -20 C +1 C- C- A+ F -15 F A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 31 Miami (FL) L 76 - 77 59% +1  54% 18 - 8 9 - 4 B +11 A- +11 A- A- A- C -1 A+ F+ D+
 Tue, Feb 17 28 North Carolina W 82 - 58 56% +13  95% 19 - 8 10 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +19 B+ A+ A+ A+ +20 A+ A- A+
 Tue, Feb 24 15 @Virginia L 61 - 90 23% -12  0% 19 - 9 10 - 5 D+ -7 D+ -4 C- D- B+ D+ -3 D D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 90 @Notre Dame L 90 - 96 OT 68% +4  86% 19 - 10 10 - 6 C+ +3 A+ +16 B A A+ F -13 F C+ C+
 Mon, Mar 2 1 Duke L 64 - 93 19% -15  10% 19 - 11 10 - 7 D+ -6 B +6 C A+ A+ F -14 D F F
 Sat, Mar 7 60 Stanford L 84 - 85 76% -2  19% 19 - 12 10 - 8 B- +6 A +13 C+ A+ B- D- -7 D- C D-
 Wed, Mar 11 91 Pittsburgh W 98 - 88 77% +3  63% 20 - 12 A- +16 A+ +31 A+ A A+ F -15 F B+ C
 Thu, Mar 12 15 Virginia L 74 - 81 33% -2  36% 20 - 13 B+ +12 B+ +10 B C B C+ +2 C- A+ C
Totals 20 - 13 10 - 8 +14 A- +11 C- B+ B B- +3 A- B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B C- A- B+ 41% 28% 45% B B+ C+ A B A B- B B B- B- B- C C+ 36% 17% 47% C- C+ B B- B B+ C B+ C+
1.24 63% 36% 39% +5 +1 1.15 31% 1.2 .39 12% .33 76% .25 1.04 55% 36% 34% -2 0 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 20% .30 69% .23
Nov
3		 NC Central A+ A+ F A+ A+ 26% 9% 64% C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ D- C+ A- D+ 37% 21% 42% C- C- A F B- A+ F A+ F
1.57 93% 20% 44% +17 +1 1.38 45% 1.4 .65 12% .47 70% .33 0.89 63% 33% 28% -3 0 0.95 21% 1.1 .24 25% .51 64% .33
Nov
7		 UAB A A+ A+ C+ A+ 38% 12% 50% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A B F A+ A 45% 19% 36% D A- F A C A+ A A+ A+
1.26 80% 50% 35% +10 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 19% .36 82% .30 0.94 54% 55% 14% -9 +1 0.84 39% 0.8 .32 19% .23 57% .13
Nov
12		 UNC Greensboro A+ B D A+ B 38% 15% 48% B- B D+ A+ A+ A+ A- A- A A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 21% 54% C+ A+ A D B A+ F A- F
1.48 65% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.23 26% 2.0 .53 5% .33 78% .26 0.86 40% 38% 24% -13 -1 0.74 19% 1.1 .21 22% .70 63% .45
Nov
17		 Virginia Commonwealth B+ F A+ B+ B- 36% 22% 42% D+ B- A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ A+ C+ B 23% 7% 70% B- B A- D+ B- B- A A A+
1.15 44% 50% 37% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.1 .45 23% .58 82% .48 1.07 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.02 28% 1.2 .33 16% .29 67% .19
Nov
24		 Seton Hall B- F+ A+ C B 40% 13% 46% B- B D- C D A+ C+ B- B- D+ D D- B D+ 45% 14% 41% D- D A+ F F+ B+ F+ F F
1.00 43% 71% 33% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.9 .21 18% .36 73% .26 1.15 64% 43% 30% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.9 .46 19% .40 83% .33
Nov
25		 Boise St. B+ B A A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B A+ C+ F F+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A A F D+ B- 24% 9% 67% C+ B- B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F
1.16 63% 50% 45% +11 0 1.24 23% 0.6 .13 14% .38 78% .30 1.00 45% 50% 37% +1 +1 1.04 33% 0.5 .16 21% .58 66% .38
Nov
26		 Texas A+ A+ F A+ A+ 44% 25% 31% B- A C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A F D F F F 26% 11% 64% C F A+ F C- F F F F
1.35 71% 21% 47% +7 0 1.16 24% 1.8 .42 8% .42 71% .30 1.42 67% 60% 47% +17 0 1.36 23% 2.0 .46 10% .51 85% .43
Dec
3		 Auburn C B+ D D+ C 34% 16% 50% B- C+ D- F F A+ F+ A+ D+ B F A+ F F 40% 10% 50% D+ F A+ B A+ A+ D F F
1.04 63% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 21% 0.6 .13 13% .21 85% .18 1.18 75% 25% 55% +21 +1 1.48 26% 1.0 .26 28% .44 86% .38
Dec
6		 UNC Asheville C- A F+ F D 48% 12% 40% B D+ D+ A+ A+ D D- A+ C B+ A+ A- F B 13% 46% 42% A+ B+ A- D- B- A- C+ F C-
1.11 71% 33% 20% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.7 .47 18% .27 80% .22 0.93 33% 32% 40% -2 -5 0.88 24% 1.1 .26 21% .32 76% .24
Dec
10		 Liberty B+ A F A A- 46% 13% 41% B+ A- D F F A+ A D- B+ A+ A- A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+
1.26 68% 29% 41% +8 +2 1.20 26% 0.9 .24 12% .32 68% .22 0.67 52% 21% -13 +3 0.82 15% 0.3 .05 25% .20 30% .06
Dec
13		 Kansas B- B D F B- 37% 15% 48% A- B C- C- C- A+ C- B C A- C+ A D+ B 33% 18% 49% D+ B- A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.01 58% 30% 26% -7 +1 0.89 23% 0.8 .19 9% .22 73% .16 1.03 60% 27% 37% +1 0 1.03 23% 0.8 .19 11% .15 60% .09
Dec
17		 Texas Southern A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 11% 58% C- A A+ A- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- B- C A+ A 43% 15% 43% F A- F D F C+ D- D F+
1.52 56% 67% 45% +13 +1 1.28 49% 1.2 .60 10% .42 85% .36 1.01 52% 38% 22% -10 +1 0.83 35% 1.1 .40 18% .34 75% .26
Dec
21		 Mississippi B A+ F C+ A+ 29% 14% 57% B A+ D A+ A- F F+ F F A+ F B- B+ B+ 19% 23% 57% D B A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+
1.09 87% 14% 34% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 23% .24 54% .13 0.89 78% 36% 30% 0 -2 0.98 19% 0.6 .11 21% .33 67% .22
Dec
31		 Wake Forest D A- F F C 46% 15% 38% B C+ C- F F+ D C A+ B A+ A+ F+ A A+ 37% 8% 55% D- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A A+
0.98 67% 25% 25% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.6 .17 21% .30 82% .25 0.80 42% 50% 29% -9 +2 0.86 25% 0.4 .10 22% .23 69% .16
Jan
3		 Virginia C- B F F D 32% 30% 39% C- D D A+ C+ B- A+ B+ A+ C+ C+ F C- D 27% 9% 64% B- D+ B+ F D A+ C+ C+ C+
0.95 57% 23% 24% -11 -2 0.77 21% 1.1 .24 16% .46 80% .37 1.18 58% 100% 36% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.4 .50 22% .30 73% .22
Jan
6		 Boston College A+ F B- A+ A 42% 20% 38% B- A A- A+ A+ A+ F F F F+ D- B+ F F 45% 16% 39% F F F B+ D A+ F F F
1.30 33% 40% 58% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.5 .51 7% .21 50% .11 1.17 65% 33% 53% +14 +1 1.32 40% 0.9 .36 26% .49 73% .36
Jan
10		 Florida St. A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 22% 29% 49% D- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A A A+ B A+ A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% D- A+ A+ F C B+ F B F
1.46 77% 35% 55% +19 -2 1.36 37% 1.8 .67 12% .34 78% .26 0.89 54% 0% 22% -13 +2 0.80 15% 2.5 .38 17% .45 69% .31
Jan
17		 Georgia Tech D D- F B D+ 39% 11% 50% A C- F D F+ A A+ F B C B- F F F 43% 15% 43% F+ F A F B- A F A+ D+
1.00 48% 0% 37% -6 +1 0.93 20% 1.0 .20 12% .38 64% .25 1.05 55% 57% 45% +9 +1 1.21 24% 1.4 .33 23% .49 50% .25
Jan
20		 Clemson A B+ F B B+ 40% 17% 42% B+ A- D F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ C B- 36% 9% 55% D+ B- C+ D- C- A D- A+ C
1.12 62% 22% 36% 0 +1 1.04 17% 0.7 .11 10% .39 88% .34 1.06 65% 25% 35% +2 +1 1.09 27% 1.1 .30 18% .41 63% .26
Jan
24		 Pittsburgh A B F B B- 42% 21% 37% C B- C- B C A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 20% 43% B- A+ F B F A F A+ C-
1.19 64% 27% 37% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 12% .45 81% .37 1.06 42% 20% 32% -11 0 0.80 53% 0.9 .49 21% .46 44% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Syracuse A A+ A+ D A+ 50% 12% 38% A A+ A+ D- A- B+ B- A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 18% 36% D+ A+ C- F+ D- C+ B+ A+ A
1.26 69% 50% 30% +5 +2 1.15 45% 1.0 .45 16% .30 83% .25 0.97 46% 20% 25% -14 +1 0.77 33% 1.2 .40 16% .27 56% .15
Jan
31		 Wake Forest A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% B A+ D A+ B+ A+ C B C+ B A- F C- B- 37% 22% 41% B B- A+ F B D+ F F F
1.38 43% 57% 56% +13 +1 1.29 24% 1.6 .38 12% .29 78% .23 1.12 50% 55% 35% +1 0 1.04 18% 1.8 .32 13% .40 88% .35
Feb
3		 SMU A D- D+ A+ A- 29% 11% 60% B+ A D- A+ B- A+ B+ F C B B+ A F C- 48% 16% 36% F D+ A- A+ A+ C- A A+ A+
1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19 1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12
Feb
7		 Virginia Tech B A- F A+ A+ 41% 18% 41% B A F A D- B+ A+ D+ A+ A A- D+ A+ A+ 50% 10% 40% F A+ C+ F F+ A+ B+ D- B-
1.13 67% 22% 43% +6 +1 1.16 18% 1.2 .21 15% .39 71% .28 1.01 52% 40% 25% -8 +2 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 21% .26 80% .21
Feb
9		 Louisville C A+ F F D+ 38% 30% 32% C+ C- F+ A+ C- A+ C A+ B+ F D D F F 44% 7% 49% D+ F A A+ A+ D- F+ D- F
0.96 75% 21% 15% -8 -1 0.84 15% 1.5 .23 12% .27 89% .24 1.47 69% 50% 62% +26 +2 1.59 27% 0.3 .07 12% .38 81% .31
Feb
14		 Miami (FL) A- C+ A- A- A- 35% 18% 47% B- A- B A A- A- B- A+ A C B- B+ A+ A+ 61% 18% 22% D- A+ F B- F+ D+ D+ A+ A-
1.17 59% 44% 39% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .36 15% .27 87% .24 1.19 58% 33% 18% -6 +2 0.94 49% 1.1 .54 14% .36 50% .18
Feb
17		 North Carolina A+ F A+ A+ B 49% 18% 33% A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ A- C- B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 59% D+ A+ F+ A+ A- A+ D- D+ F+
1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18 0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29
Feb
24		 Virginia D+ D F D+ D 39% 9% 53% A+ C- B+ F D- B+ C- B+ C D+ D+ F D- D- 42% 13% 44% C D A+ F D+ B C F D-
0.87 45% 0% 30% -11 +2 0.82 33% 0.4 .12 14% .25 80% .20 1.28 64% 57% 39% +8 +1 1.21 26% 1.9 .48 17% .31 89% .27
Feb
28		 Notre Dame A+ A A+ F+ B 33% 11% 56% A- B B+ A+ A A+ B A A- F F B F F 29% 29% 41% A- F F+ A C+ C+ F F F
1.26 68% 67% 28% +2 +1 1.07 31% 1.3 .38 8% .34 82% .28 1.35 87% 33% 48% +15 -2 1.29 39% 0.8 .30 17% .47 79% .37
Mar
2		 Duke B D+ F F+ D+ 37% 15% 48% A- C A+ A A+ A+ A F+ B+ F F C- D 49% 0% 51% F+ D D+ F F F F A- F+
0.99 50% 25% 27% -10 +1 0.83 33% 1.0 .33 9% .29 65% .19 1.44 75% 36% +10 +3 1.29 43% 1.4 .60 11% .47 67% .31
Mar
7		 Stanford A D- B- B- C 51% 11% 38% A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ A+ D- D A+ F D- 49% 7% 44% D D- F+ B+ C D- A+ C A+
1.22 48% 40% 35% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 17% .60 74% .44 1.24 63% 25% 42% +6 +2 1.20 41% 0.9 .35 12% .18 73% .13
Mar
11		 Pittsburgh A+ A+ F A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% C A+ D- A+ A A+ A+ A A+ F F F F F 25% 18% 57% B+ F A+ F+ B+ C F F F
1.49 76% 25% 57% +21 0 1.44 19% 2.0 .38 9% .45 85% .38 1.34 91% 50% 44% +19 -1 1.39 25% 1.2 .29 17% .46 80% .36
Mar
12		 Virginia B+ F C A+ B- 42% 23% 35% B B B- C- C B A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F+ F D+ 38% 19% 43% B C- A+ B+ A+ C A- D- B
1.08 25% 36% 53% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.8 .23 15% .41 88% .36 1.18 45% 50% 48% +6 0 1.15 28% 1.0 .28 15% .24 79% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 77.6% 77.6% 9.6 0.1 0.8 5.8 23.4 37.0 10.4 0.0 22.4 77.6%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 77.6% 0.0% 77.6% 9.6 22.4 77.6%