Pre-tourney Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -8.9 306
Results Rating -9.0 308
Consistency 0.12 41
Pace 68.6 172
Improvement -3.7 309

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 339 D D+ D+ D+ C
Defense C- 221 C D D+ C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 112 D 52% 310 -0.9 214
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 139 D+ 36% 255 +0.0 177
Three Pointers 37% 272 C- 32% 249 -2.9 279
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 194 D -3.6 302
1st FG Attempt D 0.95 297
Second Chance C- 28.6% 229 D 0.94 306 D+ 0.27 275
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 302
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 225
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 285
Freethrows D+ 0.28 250 D+ 70% 271 D+ 0.20 281
Total Offense D- -7.5 339

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 144 D 13.3% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 320 D+ 6.9% 303
Three Pointers D 78% 309 D+ 1.2% 279
Total D+ 51% 262 D- 7.4% 341


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 26 C+ 56% 114 +2.6 269
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 231 B 35% 63 -1.3 86
Three Pointers 36% 314 D+ 36% 268 -1.4 126
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 293 C+ -0.7 148
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 170
Second Chance C 30.7% 198 F+ 1.18 354 D 0.36 305
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.4% 259
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 192
Turnovers D+ 15.5% 251
Freethrows C 0.30 165 B- 71% 104 C+ 0.21 144
Total Defense C- -1.4 221

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 42 B- 13.7% 71
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 96 A- 8.7% 29
Three Pointers C 83% 150 D 0.3% 314
Total B 50% 71 B+ 7.9% 33

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 128 17.2 152
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 186 0.16 126
Consistency 0.11 78 0.11 76
Improvement -3.6 331 -0.2 193

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 306 306 306
Results Rating Rank 308 308 308
Conference Record 5 - 11 5 - 11 5 - 11
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 49 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 112 @California Baptist L 75 - 87 9% -8  1% 0 - 1 D+ -6 B- +5 B- C+ F F -11 F A- F
 Wed, Nov 5 133 @Fresno St. W 67 - 66 11% -4  23% 1 - 1 B- +6 D -4 B B- F A +10 A+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 115 @UNC Wilmington L 60 - 73 9% -8  11% 1 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -4 D B- F+ D+ -5 C- F C+
 Wed, Nov 19 314 Tennessee Tech L 84 - 88 63% -3  15% 1 - 3 F+ -16 D -5 C+ F B F -11 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 302 @West Georgia L 64 - 72 38% -4  15% 1 - 4 D- -14 F -14 F D- C C+ +1 C- F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 348 NC Central W 82 - 67 78% +10  96% 2 - 4 C- -2 C- -2 A- D- F C -0 A D- F
 Sat, Nov 29 16 @Nebraska L 63 - 72 1% -2  41% 2 - 5 B+ +12 C- -1 C+ D+ A+ A+ +13 A B- A
 Wed, Dec 3 239 Coastal Carolina W 85 - 78 OT 46% -7  9% 3 - 5 C -1 C- -2 C F+ D+ C+ +1 C- A- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 226 Western Carolina W 78 - 67 42% +4  87% 4 - 5 C+ +4 D -5 D C D- A +9 A+ B+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 28 @North Carolina L 62 - 80 1% -8  5% 4 - 6 C +0 C +0 C B A- C- -2 C+ C F+
 Tue, Dec 16 356 @South Carolina St. W 78 - 72 64% +6  94% 5 - 6 D+ -7 C +1 C+ C C+ D- -7 F D- D-
 Sat, Dec 20 222 @Youngstown St. L 65 - 74 21% -8  2% 5 - 7 D -9 F+ -10 F C- D+ C+ +1 D+ A C-
 Wed, Dec 31 253 Radford L 69 - 76 47% -4  14% 5 - 8 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -14 F C D+ C -1 C D B-
 Sat, Jan 3 266 @Presbyterian L 77 - 86 28% -4  16% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D- -12 C +1 B+ D D- F -13 F D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 155 Winthrop L 50 - 71 27% -15  6% 5 - 10 0 - 3 F -24 F -25 F D+ F C+ +0 C- C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 14 246 @Charleston Southern W 86 - 81 OT 26% -1  25% 6 - 10 1 - 3 C+ +3 C -0 F+ B+ B B- +3 F+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 92 @High Point L 69 - 89 6% -7  1% 6 - 11 1 - 4 D -11 C- -2 F+ B D+ F -10 C+ F F
 Wed, Jan 21 236 UNC Asheville L 69 - 83 45% -6  0% 6 - 12 1 - 5 F -22 D- -6 B- F A- F -16 F C+ F+
 Fri, Jan 23 361 @Gardner-Webb L 65 - 67 72% +3  70% 6 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -17 F -14 F F D+ D+ -3 C+ F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 264 Longwood W 65 - 60 49% +2  68% 7 - 13 2 - 6 C- -4 F -14 C- F F A +10 B B A
 Wed, Feb 4 236 @UNC Asheville L 67 - 76 24% -0  48% 7 - 14 2 - 7 D -11 D -6 D+ F B D+ -5 F C C+
 Sat, Feb 7 246 Charleston Southern W 100 - 94 OT 47% -0  41% 8 - 14 3 - 7 C- -2 A +12 A F+ A+ F -14 C- F A-
 Thu, Feb 12 92 High Point L 70 - 95 14% -15  1% 8 - 15 3 - 8 F -22 F -11 B D- F F+ -10 A- F D-
 Sat, Feb 14 264 @Longwood L 75 - 82 OT 27% -3  9% 8 - 16 3 - 9 D -10 F -13 F A+ F B +4 C+ C D-
 Thu, Feb 19 155 @Winthrop L 64 - 68 13% -2  28% 8 - 17 3 - 10 C -1 D- -8 F D B+ A- +7 A F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 266 Presbyterian W 76 - 74 50% +7  96% 9 - 17 4 - 10 D+ -7 B- +4 B- B- D+ F -10 C- F F
 Thu, Feb 26 253 @Radford L 59 - 71 26% -3  33% 9 - 18 4 - 11 D- -14 F -16 F F+ F C+ +1 C+ F C
 Sat, Feb 28 361 Gardner-Webb W 71 - 61 87% +7  89% 10 - 18 5 - 11 D -11 F -15 F D B- B- +4 B- D C-
 Wed, Mar 4 361 Gardner-Webb L 64 - 65 81% +1  53% 10 - 19 F -19 F -15 F B F D+ -5 C+ F C+
Totals 10 - 19 5 - 11 -9 D- -8 F D C C- -1 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D D+ C- D 41% 41% 37% C D C- D D+ D+ D+ D+ D+ C- C+ B D+ C+ 45% 19% 36% D C C F+ D D+ C B- C+
0.98 52% 36% 32% -4 0 0.95 29% 0.9 .27 18% .28 70% .20 1.11 56% 35% 36% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.2 .36 16% .30 71% .20
Nov
3		 California Baptist B- B+ B- F B- 44% 25% 31% C B- C- A C+ F A+ D+ A+ F D- F F F 58% 13% 28% F F C A+ A- F D A+ B-
1.06 62% 42% 27% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.1 .27 20% .51 69% .35 1.23 61% 71% 40% +9 +2 1.25 37% 0.7 .26 10% .33 57% .19
Nov
5		 Fresno St. D C- A+ D B 43% 25% 32% C B C+ B- B- F A+ F A- A A+ B A+ A+ 41% 12% 47% F+ A+ D F F C- F A D-
0.95 58% 55% 29% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 31% .35 65% .23 0.93 43% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.73 33% 1.4 .44 17% .37 68% .26
Nov
15		 UNC Wilmington D+ F+ D+ C- D+ 27% 38% 36% F+ D A D- B- F+ A+ D+ A D+ C B D C 52% 30% 18% D+ C- F B- F C+ F F+ F
0.98 50% 35% 31% -5 -3 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 18% .36 72% .26 1.19 57% 31% 38% -2 0 0.98 50% 1.0 .50 16% .54 75% .41
Nov
19		 Tennessee Tech D B- A+ F C- 53% 11% 37% A C+ D- F F B A+ F B F D- A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F D- F F B+ F D- F
1.09 63% 83% 24% +2 +2 1.11 24% 0.8 .19 12% .40 63% .25 1.14 65% 20% 44% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.3 .45 22% .53 81% .43
Nov
21		 West Georgia F F F F+ F 48% 14% 38% C+ F C F D- C F+ F F C+ B D- A+ C 50% 35% 15% D- C- F D- F A+ B F C
0.90 44% 13% 29% -13 +2 0.79 31% 0.7 .20 14% .26 63% .16 1.01 50% 44% 25% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 22% .22 83% .18
Nov
25		 NC Central C- A- F A+ A 48% 16% 36% B- A- C F D- F A+ C A+ C A+ A+ D+ A+ 51% 20% 29% F+ A F C+ D- F F C F
1.19 71% 29% 50% +14 +1 1.32 39% 0.8 .29 23% .49 73% .36 0.97 36% 20% 36% -14 +1 0.76 37% 0.9 .35 13% .54 75% .40
Nov
29		 Nebraska C- F D B B- 15% 32% 53% D C+ D C D+ A+ F F F A+ F A+ A- A 28% 18% 54% A- A C+ B- B- A D D+ D
0.88 44% 32% 35% -3 -3 0.90 20% 0.9 .18 15% .13 38% .05 1.00 79% 22% 30% -1 0 1.00 27% 1.0 .27 18% .31 78% .24
Dec
3		 Coastal Carolina C- C- C- C C- 47% 22% 31% A C D+ F F+ D+ A+ D- A+ C+ B A+ F C+ 41% 19% 41% F C- C+ A+ A- D- A D B+
1.06 52% 38% 33% -3 0 0.97 26% 0.7 .19 14% .52 67% .35 0.97 50% 8% 42% -4 0 0.95 25% 0.6 .15 12% .19 77% .14
Dec
6		 Western Carolina D A+ D+ D- D 24% 24% 51% D- D D A+ C D- A+ A- A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% D+ A+ A+ F B+ D- F F F
1.09 73% 36% 30% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.3 .28 18% .51 80% .41 0.93 43% 10% 24% -18 +1 0.68 21% 1.3 .29 14% .45 82% .37
Dec
13		 North Carolina C D- D B+ C+ 19% 39% 42% F C C+ A- B A- F D F C- B B+ F B- 46% 12% 42% D- C+ A+ F C F+ D B+ C
0.97 45% 32% 38% -3 -4 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 11% .05 67% .04 1.25 57% 33% 43% +4 +2 1.14 23% 1.6 .37 9% .38 64% .24
Dec
16		 South Carolina St. C D+ A+ B+ B- 42% 22% 36% F+ C+ D A- C C+ B F C- D- F F D- F 20% 47% 33% A+ F A+ F D- D- A D+ A-
1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28 1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16
Dec
20		 Youngstown St. F+ D- F F F 36% 34% 30% F F F+ A+ C- D+ A+ C+ A+ C+ C- A- F+ D 39% 15% 46% C D+ C+ A+ A C- F B- F
0.92 53% 25% 29% -9 -2 0.81 23% 1.3 .29 20% .44 76% .33 1.04 61% 29% 38% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.6 .17 18% .50 69% .35
Dec
31		 Radford F F C+ F F 60% 9% 30% A F B- D+ C D+ D- B- D C C B C C 44% 19% 38% D+ C C+ F D B- D- C+ D
0.95 44% 40% 25% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20 1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29
Jan
3		 Presbyterian C A+ F A+ A 32% 34% 34% F B+ F A+ D D- A F B- F F C F+ F 37% 44% 20% A+ F C F D- F F D F
1.10 75% 29% 47% +9 -2 1.16 17% 1.4 .24 19% .39 59% .23 1.23 80% 39% 38% +9 -3 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 13% .71 72% .51
Jan
10		 Winthrop F F F F F 55% 22% 22% B F F A+ D+ F F+ D+ F+ C+ B+ A+ F+ C- 42% 6% 52% F+ C- F A+ C+ B+ C+ A+ A
0.75 44% 0% 18% -21 +1 0.61 18% 1.4 .26 21% .26 71% .19 1.06 48% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.8 .33 18% .35 58% .20
Jan
14		 Charleston Southern C F C+ F F+ 46% 37% 17% D+ F+ B- A B+ B C F D+ B- F F+ C F 44% 16% 40% C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ D+
1.08 41% 39% 27% -9 -1 0.81 33% 1.3 .41 10% .35 64% .22 1.02 72% 44% 35% +8 +1 1.19 19% 0.0 .00 15% .37 52% .19
Jan
17		 High Point C- F F C+ F 38% 16% 46% C F+ A- C- B D+ C- B- C F C+ F A- B- 47% 15% 38% C- C+ D F F F C+ B B-
1.02 42% 25% 35% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23 1.31 58% 50% 29% -2 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24
Jan
21		 UNC Asheville D- F+ A+ B C+ 52% 12% 37% B+ B- D+ F F A- F+ F F F C- A+ F F 45% 29% 27% F F C+ C C+ F+ D- F F
1.03 48% 83% 37% +2 +2 1.10 27% 0.4 .11 12% .26 53% .14 1.24 59% 29% 62% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.0 .28 13% .38 77% .29
Jan
23		 Gardner-Webb F F F A+ F 43% 23% 34% D+ F F+ F F D+ A+ C A D+ B+ A+ C B 60% 12% 29% F C+ F C+ F+ D+ B- F C
0.98 40% 27% 44% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.7 .21 17% .40 73% .29 1.01 48% 17% 33% -9 +3 0.90 34% 0.9 .31 18% .24 77% .18
Jan
29		 Longwood F C+ F B- D+ 52% 8% 40% A- C- C- F F F D F F A C- D A+ B 41% 22% 37% C- B C- A B A A+ A+ A+
0.92 64% 0% 37% +2 +3 1.10 27% 0.5 .14 26% .31 44% .13 0.85 59% 42% 20% -7 0 0.89 34% 0.8 .26 24% .17 44% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 UNC Asheville D B F D- D+ 40% 24% 36% D D+ D F F B D+ D D D+ F B- D- F 32% 23% 45% F F B+ F+ C C+ C- B+ C+
0.99 64% 31% 30% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.3 .08 13% .29 65% .19 1.13 80% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.19 25% 1.1 .29 18% .34 63% .22
Feb
7		 Charleston Southern A F+ A+ A+ A 45% 23% 32% B A B- F F+ A+ C- A B- F F+ F B+ C- 37% 5% 58% D+ C- F F F A- D+ F F
1.30 46% 64% 45% +6 0 1.15 33% 0.6 .21 4% .34 80% .27 1.22 67% 67% 30% +1 +2 1.09 47% 1.3 .61 22% .28 82% .23
Feb
12		 High Point F B F B- B- 45% 11% 45% B B B- F D- F A+ D+ A+ F+ B+ C+ A- A 47% 5% 48% F+ A- D+ F F D- C- C- D+
0.93 65% 25% 35% +2 +2 1.11 36% 0.7 .25 36% .62 70% .44 1.27 52% 33% 29% -7 +3 0.93 34% 1.8 .61 11% .37 76% .28
Feb
14		 Longwood F F+ F F F 50% 25% 25% D+ F B+ A+ A+ F C+ F D B A+ A+ F B 57% 20% 23% F C+ B D- C D- C- A C+
0.90 54% 29% 21% -9 0 0.84 35% 1.3 .46 25% .37 57% .21 0.98 38% 25% 57% -6 +1 0.93 30% 1.1 .33 17% .34 67% .23
Feb
19		 Winthrop D- F A F F 31% 12% 57% C+ F D C D B+ B+ B B+ A- A+ F A A+ 50% 5% 45% F A D F F A+ F A+ C-
0.95 40% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 23% 1.1 .25 13% .38 77% .29 1.01 33% 100% 26% -15 +3 0.79 37% 1.5 .55 21% .47 60% .28
Feb
21		 Presbyterian B- C+ A C+ B- 55% 16% 29% B B- B C B- D+ D B D+ F B- A F C+ 54% 21% 25% F C- A F F F A+ C- A
1.18 59% 50% 36% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 17% .26 71% .19 1.15 54% 27% 38% -3 +1 0.98 25% 1.9 .47 11% .23 69% .16
Feb
26		 Radford F F B+ F F 50% 18% 32% C+ F B+ F F+ F F C- F C+ A+ F+ F C 33% 24% 42% B+ C+ B+ F F C F C+ F+
0.88 48% 44% 25% -8 +1 0.88 40% 0.6 .23 22% .13 71% .10 1.05 33% 45% 42% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .39 18% .43 71% .31
Feb
28		 Gardner-Webb F C- D+ F F 54% 11% 35% A- F F A+ D B- F A+ F B- B- A+ B B+ 53% 11% 36% F+ B- A- F D C- A+ A+ A+
1.01 61% 33% 20% -6 +2 0.95 24% 1.4 .33 14% .17 90% .15 0.87 52% 0% 30% -10 +2 0.87 17% 1.7 .28 18% .14 38% .05
Mar
4		 Gardner-Webb F D F+ D+ F 31% 16% 53% D+ F D+ A+ B F C+ F D+ D+ B+ A C B- 50% 17% 33% C- C+ F F F C+ F F F
0.99 57% 29% 33% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 26% .29 64% .19 1.01 48% 25% 33% -8 +1 0.89 38% 1.2 .44 20% .39 80% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%