Pre-tourney Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.1 200
Results Rating -1.6 190
Consistency 0.18 333
Pace 67.7 196
Improvement -6.1 354

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 192 C+ C+ F D B
Defense C- 212 C B- D- C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 C- 56% 207 +2.4 93
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 207 D+ 35% 287 -2.1 287
Three Pointers 40% 210 B 37% 44 +1.4 135
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 70 C+ +0.7 135
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 122
Second Chance B 35.5% 44 D+ 0.97 273 C+ 0.34 102
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 327
Other Turnovers F 9.6% 355
Turnovers F 20.9% 355
Freethrows D 0.26 305 C- 71% 246 D 0.19 308
Total Offense C -0.9 192

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 52% 116 D+ 12.4% 266
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 67 C+ 4.8% 170
Three Pointers C+ 85% 174 F+ 1.8% 343
Total B- 60% 78 D 6.9% 319


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 50 C 58% 186 +3.0 282
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 109 C- 40% 259 +1.1 282
Three Pointers 34% 350 C+ 33% 128 -4.0 26
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 195 C -0.1 177
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 177
Second Chance C+ 28.6% 117 B- 0.97 96 B- 0.28 91
Turnovers from Steals D 7.3% 326
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 270
Turnovers D- 13.9% 334
Freethrows C 0.31 210 C- 73% 249 C- 0.23 225
Total Defense C- -1.1 212

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 276 D 7.9% 306
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 289 C 5.2% 144
Three Pointers D+ 87% 293 D- -0.1% 361
Total C- 57% 219 D+ 4.6% 258

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 293 16.6 52
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 306 0.20 297
Consistency 0.15 347 0.13 258
Improvement -3.2 319 -2.9 313

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 201 200 200
Results Rating Rank 190 190 190
Conference Record 5 - 9 5 - 9 5 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 411 - 414 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 326 @New Haven W 71 - 53 70% +16  97% 1 - 0 B +10 C -0 A+ F+ F A+ +12 A+ C C
 Mon, Nov 10 9 @Connecticut L 62 - 89 2% -16  8% 1 - 1 C- -4 C +1 C- C+ C D- -7 D- B+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 315 Umass Lowell W 86 - 72 84% +1  40% 2 - 1 C +1 B- +5 B B- F C- -3 D- A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 260 Boston University W 54 - 49 73% +12  98% 3 - 1 C- -4 F -20 D- F F A+ +18 A+ A- F
 Fri, Nov 21 284 @Lehigh W 82 - 67 58% +9  97% 4 - 1 B +11 B +7 B+ A+ F B +4 C+ C+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 264 Longwood W 95 - 70 74% +13  96% 5 - 1 A- +16 A +13 A A C- B- +2 F A+ C+
 Wed, Nov 26 258 @Fairfield W 106 - 77 51% +18  99% 6 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +27 A+ A+ B- C -1 C+ C D+
 Wed, Dec 3 98 Hofstra W 72 - 70 33% +6  99% 7 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +2 A F+ F+ B- +3 B+ D D+
 Sat, Dec 6 323 Albany W 93 - 65 85% +9  78% 8 - 1 B+ +15 A- +11 B+ A+ D- B +4 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 228 @Stony Brook L 73 - 77 OT 45% -8  0% 8 - 2 C- -5 F -11 D- F F B+ +6 A F B+
 Sun, Dec 21 74 @California L 56 - 74 11% -11  0% 8 - 3 D+ -7 F -11 B F F B- +3 B A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 337 @North Florida W 90 - 82 76% +1  62% 9 - 3 C -1 C+ +3 A+ F D- D -5 D+ A F
 Mon, Jan 5 162 @Cornell W 104 - 99 31% +1  44% 10 - 3 1 - 0 B- +8 B +7 A D F C+ +0 B- D D-
 Sat, Jan 10 149 Harvard L 54 - 79 51% -13  0% 10 - 4 1 - 1 F -27 F -11 F C- F F -20 F D- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 292 @Brown L 80 - 86 OT 60% +1  53% 10 - 5 1 - 2 D -11 C+ +3 D- A+ C F -13 F+ B+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 87 @Yale L 74 - 91 14% -9  7% 10 - 6 1 - 3 D+ -7 B +6 C- A+ F+ F -15 F F D
 Sat, Jan 24 277 @Dartmouth W 79 - 69 57% +4  64% 11 - 6 2 - 3 B- +6 C -0 D+ C- F B+ +6 A- C- F+
 Fri, Jan 30 141 Penn W 72 - 67 49% +5  95% 12 - 6 3 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 A C- F B- +3 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 31 238 Princeton L 68 - 80 71% -1  40% 12 - 7 3 - 4 F -20 D+ -3 C- D A- F -19 F D- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 162 Cornell L 67 - 88 53% -12  7% 12 - 8 3 - 5 F -24 F -13 F+ B F F -13 B- F D
 Fri, Feb 13 141 @Penn L 67 - 76 28% +2  83% 12 - 9 3 - 6 C- -5 D -5 B- C F C -0 C C+ D
 Sat, Feb 14 238 @Princeton W 75 - 65 48% +2  60% 13 - 9 4 - 6 B +8 A+ +17 A+ A+ A D -6 F C- D+
 Sat, Feb 21 277 Dartmouth L 63 - 64 77% +0  48% 13 - 10 4 - 7 D -11 F -15 F A- D B +4 A+ B+ F
 Fri, Feb 27 292 Brown W 80 - 62 79% +1  38% 14 - 10 5 - 7 B- +7 B +6 A+ A+ F B- +2 B- B A
 Sat, Feb 28 87 Yale L 54 - 60 29% -7  0% 14 - 11 5 - 8 C- -2 F -15 F C F A+ +12 F A+ A+
 Fri, Mar 6 149 @Harvard L 71 - 81 29% -3  11% 14 - 12 5 - 9 D+ -6 C+ +3 D B+ A F+ -10 F C- D
Totals 14 - 12 5 - 9 -2 C -1 C C+ B C- -1 B C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D+ B C+ 44% 36% 40% B C+ B D+ C+ F D C- D C- C C- C+ C 43% 22% 34% C C C+ B- B- D- C C- C-
1.07 56% 35% 37% +1 +1 1.05 36% 1.0 .34 21% .26 71% .19 1.10 58% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .28 14% .31 73% .19
Nov
7		 New Haven C A D- A+ A+ 52% 14% 34% B+ A+ B- F F+ F C+ F D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 22% 37% C- A+ C- B- C C D F F
1.08 70% 33% 47% +12 +2 1.30 31% 0.6 .19 24% .28 64% .18 0.81 45% 18% 22% -16 0 0.69 21% 0.9 .19 18% .30 81% .24
Nov
10		 Connecticut C C B F C- 40% 26% 34% C C- B- C C+ C B+ B B+ D- D- D- F D- 47% 8% 45% D- D- A+ F B+ F F A F
0.93 53% 42% 19% -9 0 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 20% .37 75% .28 1.34 70% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .36 9% .48 66% .31
Nov
13		 Umass Lowell B- F+ A+ A+ B- 57% 14% 29% B+ B A+ F B- F A+ D+ A+ C- C+ A+ F F+ 55% 22% 24% D D- B A+ A+ C+ B C B
1.24 50% 57% 50% +5 +2 1.16 61% 0.7 .42 24% .50 69% .34 1.04 53% 25% 54% +2 +1 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 20% .25 64% .16
Nov
18		 Boston University F F A+ D+ F 51% 7% 42% A+ D- D F F F F B+ F+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 59% 8% 33% F A+ C+ A+ A- F D+ B C
0.91 45% 67% 33% -5 +3 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 22% .19 78% .15 0.82 47% 0% 12% -21 +3 0.67 25% 0.7 .18 8% .29 69% .20
Nov
21		 Lehigh B A+ F A- B+ 49% 14% 37% B+ B+ A+ A- A+ F B F C B C- F B+ C 23% 33% 44% A+ C+ B- C- C+ F F A+ B-
1.20 71% 14% 39% +6 +2 1.16 50% 1.2 .60 22% .36 63% .22 0.98 58% 47% 30% +1 -3 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 13% .35 52% .18
Nov
23		 Longwood A D D A+ A+ 28% 16% 56% D A A- A- A C- F B+ F B- A+ F F F 44% 27% 29% C F A+ A+ A+ C+ B- A+ A-
1.31 56% 33% 53% +15 0 1.32 37% 1.1 .40 19% .21 75% .15 0.97 43% 64% 47% +6 0 1.13 19% 0.2 .03 21% .30 65% .19
Nov
26		 Fairfield A+ B- F A+ A+ 63% 2% 35% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- D+ A+ B C A- D B- C+ 38% 24% 38% C+ C+ D B C D+ C- C+ C
1.49 62% 0% 53% +11 +4 1.33 46% 1.9 .88 14% .26 94% .25 1.08 45% 43% 32% -5 0 0.91 37% 0.8 .30 14% .26 69% .18
Dec
3		 Hofstra C+ C+ D+ A+ A+ 29% 24% 47% C- A C+ F F+ F+ C- B- C B- A+ F+ D A 50% 18% 32% F B+ A- F D D+ F A D-
1.09 57% 33% 43% +5 -1 1.10 31% 0.6 .20 18% .30 75% .22 1.06 40% 44% 38% -6 +1 0.92 29% 1.4 .40 15% .39 68% .27
Dec
6		 Albany A- A+ A+ C- A- 35% 25% 40% D- B+ A+ A+ A+ D- B- A+ B+ B F F A+ B 29% 31% 41% A+ B+ B A+ A+ F F C F
1.35 72% 54% 33% +8 -1 1.17 52% 1.5 .76 17% .33 84% .28 0.94 71% 60% 10% -4 -2 0.90 28% 0.3 .07 13% .45 67% .30
Dec
9		 Stony Brook F C- F D F+ 43% 11% 46% B+ D- A- F F F C A- B- B+ A+ D- C- A 46% 19% 35% D+ A C- F F B+ F A- D-
0.92 57% 17% 32% -4 +2 0.96 40% 0.4 .16 23% .31 79% .25 0.97 35% 45% 35% -9 +1 0.86 30% 1.2 .36 20% .33 67% .22
Dec
21		 California F C- A+ F+ C 64% 6% 30% A+ B D+ F F F F F F B- F A+ C B- 33% 29% 38% B B B A A- F D- D+ F+
0.84 53% 67% 27% -5 +4 1.00 24% 0.1 .03 22% .23 50% .12 1.10 71% 27% 35% +1 -1 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 9% .39 79% .31
Dec
28		 North Florida C+ B A- A+ A 51% 12% 37% B+ A+ F C F D- A- A+ A D A- F D- D+ 42% 10% 48% D- D+ A+ B+ A F B+ F B-
1.25 65% 50% 47% +13 +2 1.31 20% 1.2 .24 15% .35 81% .28 1.14 48% 67% 38% +2 +2 1.08 17% 1.0 .17 11% .19 92% .17
Jan
5		 Cornell B D+ A+ A+ A 48% 13% 38% B- A C F D F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ F B- 42% 14% 44% C+ B- D C- D D- C F D-
1.26 56% 71% 50% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 19% .50 85% .42 1.20 44% 44% 46% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .40 15% .28 90% .26
Jan
10		 Harvard F F+ D- F F 54% 20% 26% B- F A F C- F C- A+ B F C- C- F F 50% 11% 39% F F F B+ D- F+ B- F D+
0.90 48% 33% 17% -13 +1 0.78 39% 0.7 .28 23% .24 91% .22 1.31 61% 40% 56% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.8 .31 15% .21 100% .21
Jan
17		 Brown C+ D- F+ D F+ 47% 16% 36% B D- A A+ A+ C C+ F F+ F F C+ A+ F+ 58% 18% 24% D F+ C A+ B+ F F F F
1.09 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.2 .50 18% .35 57% .20 1.18 76% 33% 8% 0 +2 1.06 28% 0.8 .22 12% .53 79% .42
Jan
19		 Yale B A+ C+ F C 37% 24% 39% C- C- B- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F C B- F F 43% 16% 41% D F F C F D D+ F F+
1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40 1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30
Jan
24		 Dartmouth C D+ F A D+ 30% 23% 47% D- D+ C D C- F A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ C+ D- A- 30% 22% 48% B A- B+ F C- F+ C+ A- B
1.10 56% 17% 40% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 17% .47 71% .34 0.96 31% 33% 38% -6 -1 0.89 18% 1.6 .28 15% .31 68% .21
Jan
30		 Penn C A F A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% C+ A C+ D- C- F F B- F B- C A+ F B- 32% 41% 27% A+ B+ A- C- B F A+ A+ A+
1.07 71% 27% 47% +9 +1 1.22 32% 0.8 .25 27% .12 67% .08 1.00 56% 22% 47% -2 -3 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 12% .19 55% .10
Jan
31		 Princeton D+ D- B- C- D 49% 14% 37% B+ C- A+ F D A- C F F F C D+ F F 51% 16% 33% F F C+ F D- D- F C- F
1.10 52% 43% 32% -4 +2 0.98 43% 0.6 .24 10% .30 41% .12 1.29 57% 43% 53% +10 +2 1.24 25% 1.3 .33 15% .40 76% .30
Feb
7		 Cornell F F D- B F 60% 6% 34% A+ F+ C+ A B F C+ F F+ F F F A+ C+ 47% 23% 30% A- B- F F F D F F F
1.02 46% 33% 38% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 23% .34 53% .18 1.34 73% 55% 21% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 15% .43 92% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Penn D B- F C+ C+ 52% 10% 38% A B- C+ C C F C F D+ C A- F D+ C+ 37% 24% 39% C- C B- C- C+ D B- D+ C+
0.95 64% 20% 33% +1 +2 1.08 32% 0.9 .29 28% .26 54% .14 1.08 45% 46% 38% 0 -1 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .30 72% .22
Feb
14		 Princeton A+ D+ A A+ A+ 43% 10% 48% B+ A+ C A+ A+ A A F D- D F F A+ F 43% 30% 27% B F F A C- D+ D- B D+
1.33 56% 50% 50% +12 +2 1.29 29% 1.6 .46 9% .39 45% .18 1.15 74% 54% 25% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.8 .27 16% .36 71% .25
Feb
21		 Dartmouth F F F F+ F 47% 15% 38% B F C+ A+ A- D F D F B D+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 13% 58% C- A+ A+ F B+ F B F D+
0.94 42% 13% 29% -14 +1 0.76 31% 1.3 .40 15% .16 67% .10 0.95 60% 14% 23% -12 0 0.79 14% 1.4 .19 12% .29 94% .27
Feb
27		 Brown B C- A+ A+ A+ 39% 15% 46% B- A+ A+ A- A+ F F+ F F B- D+ F A+ B- 49% 20% 31% C B- F A+ B A F D F
1.18 56% 71% 43% +10 +1 1.24 45% 1.1 .52 22% .26 64% .17 0.91 59% 44% 14% -7 +1 0.89 35% 0.7 .24 26% .44 73% .32
Feb
28		 Yale F B- F F F 42% 16% 42% B F A- F C F D- A+ C- A+ F F B- F 47% 19% 33% D+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A- D+
0.89 63% 14% 16% -13 +1 0.78 37% 0.8 .31 23% .19 89% .17 0.99 76% 57% 33% +12 +1 1.28 19% 0.5 .10 23% .36 71% .26
Mar
6		 Harvard C+ D+ C F D- 46% 23% 30% C- D B- A B+ A F+ F F F+ F B- F F 32% 23% 45% B+ F A F C- D F D+ F
1.05 54% 38% 24% -7 0 0.89 32% 1.2 .39 12% .19 55% .10 1.20 87% 36% 43% +15 -1 1.30 19% 1.4 .27 16% .32 83% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 100.0
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%