Pre-tourney Rankings
Dayton
Atlantic 10
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +7.6 79
Results Rating +9.7 64
Consistency 0.15 140
Pace 67.3 214
Improvement -0.3 195

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 141 C+ C+ C- A+ B+
Defense B+ 34 B- B- A C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 45 B- 62% 88 +4.9 32
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 308 F+ 30% 357 -3.8 343
Three Pointers 42% 149 C 33% 200 +0.4 165
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 34 C +0.2 156
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 126
Second Chance D+ 27.8% 254 A- 1.18 19 C+ 0.33 141
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 225
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 198
Turnovers C- 17.1% 214
Freethrows A+ 0.41 1 B 76% 69 A+ 0.31 1
Total Offense C+ +1.0 141

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 58% 37 C+ 10.0% 127
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 310 F 10.2% 361
Three Pointers C+ 85% 152 B 0.4% 54
Total B 63% 44 C- 6.0% 228


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 262 B- 54% 68 -2.9 82
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 55 B 35% 57 +0.8 249
Three Pointers 39% 246 C- 35% 244 -0.3 168
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 64 B- -1.8 105
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 100
Second Chance B- 27.6% 80 B- 0.98 108 B- 0.27 71
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.1% 25
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 18
Turnovers A 21.2% 9
Freethrows C 0.30 183 B 70% 61 C+ 0.21 157
Total Defense B+ +6.6 34

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 142 B 15.0% 48
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 81 B- 6.5% 81
Three Pointers A 73% 11 A 2.2% 20
Total B 50% 62 B+ 7.9% 34

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 168 17.6 240
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 100 0.14 85
Consistency 0.10 22 0.11 81
Improvement -2.5 302 +2.2 88

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 79 79 79
Results Rating Rank 64 64 64
Conference Record 12 - 6 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four3% n/a n/a
First Round1% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 6
Quad 27 - 28 - 8
Quad 37 - 215 - 10
Quad 48 - 123 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 339 Canisius W 88 - 48 97% +21  99% 1 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +17 B A+ A+ A+ +12 B+ D- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 186 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77 - 71 87% +4  79% 2 - 0 C +2 B- +4 B- B+ C- C- -2 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 41 @Cincinnati L 62 - 74 21% -9  0% 2 - 1 C+ +4 F+ -9 F D- A- A+ +15 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 248 Bethune-Cookman W 91 - 82 92% +6  78% 3 - 1 C +1 A+ +15 A+ B F+ F -14 C- F F+
 Wed, Nov 19 76 @Marquette W 77 - 71 OT 37% +5  83% 4 - 1 A- +17 C- -1 A+ C+ F A+ +18 A B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 348 NC Central W 74 - 55 98% +19  88% 5 - 1 C+ +2 D- -7 F+ D+ A+ A +10 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 72 Georgetown W 84 - 79 OT 47% +7  87% 6 - 1 B+ +13 B +7 B- B- C B+ +6 D A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 28 23 BYU L 79 - 83 19% +0  53% 6 - 2 B+ +13 B- +4 A C- D+ A +9 C A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 165 East Tennessee St. W 88 - 71 84% +10  79% 7 - 2 B+ +14 B +6 A+ C D+ B+ +7 D+ C- A+
 Sat, Dec 6 15 Virginia L 73 - 86 15% -6  23% 7 - 3 B- +6 C+ +3 B D- A B- +3 F C- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 337 North Florida W 84 - 61 97% +21  90% 8 - 3 B- +8 C- -2 B+ F C- A +10 A+ D A-
 Tue, Dec 16 63 Florida St. W 97 - 69 55% +13  98% 9 - 3 A+ +34 A +13 B- C A A+ +19 A A A+
 Sat, Dec 20 126 Liberty L 61 - 64 79% +2  54% 9 - 4 C- -4 F+ -9 F D+ C+ B +4 C+ B+ D-
 Wed, Dec 31 153 Fordham W 63 - 56 83% +5  98% 10 - 4 1 - 0 C+ +4 D+ -3 F A+ A- A- +8 B- B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 247 @Loyola Chicago W 70 - 68 82% -6  8% 11 - 4 2 - 0 C -0 C- -2 F C- A- B- +2 D C- B+
 Tue, Jan 6 85 George Washington W 79 - 72 64% -1  42% 12 - 4 3 - 0 B +11 B- +4 F+ A+ B A- +7 C- C A+
 Tue, Jan 13 121 @Duquesne W 71 - 65 57% +5  87% 13 - 4 4 - 0 B+ +12 B- +5 B- F+ B+ A- +7 B A+ B-
 Fri, Jan 16 247 Loyola Chicago W 78 - 51 92% +6  66% 14 - 4 5 - 0 A +19 C +2 B F D- A+ +18 A+ B A+
 Wed, Jan 21 216 @La Salle L 64 - 67 77% -9  1% 14 - 5 5 - 1 C- -3 D -5 F+ B- D- B- +2 C- C+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 109 @Saint Joseph's L 74 - 81 53% -3  38% 14 - 6 5 - 2 C -0 C +1 C A- F C -0 C C+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 136 Rhode Island L 76 - 81 OT 81% +3  62% 14 - 7 5 - 3 D+ -7 C- -2 A+ D- F D+ -4 C A- C+
 Fri, Jan 30 36 @Saint Louis L 71 - 102 19% -18  0% 14 - 8 5 - 4 D- -14 C +1 B+ C F F -14 F F B-
 Tue, Feb 3 130 St. Bonaventure W 72 - 70 80% +3  68% 15 - 8 6 - 4 C +1 C +1 D+ C B- C+ +0 C- C+ A-
 Fri, Feb 6 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 73 - 99 25% -17  3% 15 - 9 6 - 5 D -11 D- -7 F+ B- D C +0 A- F+ C
 Sun, Feb 15 116 Davidson W 70 - 59 76% +5  85% 16 - 9 7 - 5 B +11 B +7 C A+ F B+ +6 B+ B- C
 Wed, Feb 18 99 @George Mason W 82 - 67 48% +8  99% 17 - 9 8 - 5 A +23 A+ +20 A+ B+ B+ B +5 B A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 121 Duquesne W 78 - 66 77% +6  89% 18 - 9 9 - 5 B+ +12 B+ +10 D+ A+ A+ B- +3 A F B+
 Tue, Feb 24 36 Saint Louis W 77 - 62 38% +14  95% 19 - 9 10 - 5 A+ +26 B +7 B A B- A+ +19 A+ A+ A
 Fri, Feb 27 85 @George Washington W 68 - 66 42% +4  80% 20 - 9 11 - 5 B+ +12 C- -2 A F F A+ +14 D+ B A+
 Tue, Mar 3 142 @Richmond W 65 - 60 64% +6  94% 21 - 9 12 - 5 B +9 C- -1 A- F F A +11 A+ F F
 Fri, Mar 6 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 62 - 68 46% -2  20% 21 - 10 12 - 6 C+ +3 C- -1 D+ A- B B- +2 D+ A+ D-
 Fri, Mar 13 130 St. Bonaventure W 68 - 63 71% +2  79% 22 - 10 B- +7 D+ -4 D+ F D- A+ +12 B A+ B-
 Sat, Mar 14 36 Saint Louis W 70 - 69 28% -4  21% 23 - 10 A- +15 C+ +3 D+ D+ A A+ +12 A A A+
 Sun, Mar 15 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 62 - 70 35% -10  0% 23 - 11 C+ +4 D+ -4 C- C+ C B+ +7 B+ A+ F
Totals 23 - 11 12 - 6 +8 C+ +1 D+ C B+ B+ +7 C B A+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B- F+ C C 44% 26% 42% B+ C+ D+ A- C+ C- A+ B A+ B+ B- B C- B- 36% 25% 39% B B- B- B- B- A C B C+
1.10 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.05 28% 1.2 .33 17% .41 76% .31 0.99 54% 35% 35% -2 -1 0.97 28% 1.0 .27 21% .30 70% .29
Nov
3		 Canisius A+ A+ F F B- 48% 11% 41% A- B B A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ F+ B- B+ 36% 26% 38% C+ B+ F C+ D- A+ B- A+ A+
1.39 95% 20% 17% +5 +2 1.16 35% 1.4 .48 6% .69 68% .47 0.76 27% 45% 31% -11 -1 0.79 33% 0.9 .30 30% .25 45% .11
Nov
8		 Maryland Baltimore Co. B- A+ D+ F+ B 39% 24% 37% D+ B- D A+ B+ C- A+ A+ A+ C- B+ C F+ C- 28% 26% 46% B C F D F A+ A D A-
1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33 1.07 50% 38% 39% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16
Nov
11		 Cincinnati F+ C D- F F 53% 5% 42% A+ F F B D- A- A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F D+ 45% 10% 45% F D- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A F
0.76 53% 33% 4% -22 +3 0.65 14% 1.2 .16 16% .40 74% .29 0.91 53% 25% 47% +5 +2 1.17 18% 0.7 .12 30% .65 62% .40
Nov
15		 Bethune-Cookman A+ D A+ A+ A+ 44% 12% 44% C+ A+ B+ C- B F+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ D B- D 36% 34% 30% A+ C- F F F F+ A- A A
1.33 50% 60% 61% +17 +1 1.39 39% 1.1 .43 19% .57 81% .47 1.19 63% 39% 31% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 15% .26 60% .15
Nov
19		 Marquette C- C- A+ A+ A 56% 7% 38% A+ A+ F A+ C+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ A- 33% 18% 49% A+ A C- A+ B+ A+ B F+ C+
0.96 56% 67% 41% +5 +3 1.18 19% 1.6 .31 31% .47 69% .32 0.88 44% 50% 30% -5 0 0.91 32% 0.8 .24 25% .26 75% .20
Nov
22		 NC Central D- B+ C- F F 31% 15% 54% C- F+ D- C+ D+ A+ C+ F D A C+ A+ A A+ 38% 38% 24% A+ A+ C+ F F A+ B- F C
1.12 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 11% .32 58% .19 0.83 53% 12% 27% -14 -2 0.69 26% 1.9 .50 27% .27 85% .23
Nov
27		 Georgetown B F F A+ C+ 33% 16% 51% B+ B- C B B- C A+ A- A+ B+ C- C+ F D- 36% 24% 40% C+ D A A+ A+ B+ C A B-
1.11 41% 25% 42% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.1 .33 17% .51 78% .40 1.05 60% 38% 41% +5 -1 1.11 26% 0.8 .21 17% .34 67% .22
Nov
28		 BYU B- C+ F A+ A 30% 16% 54% A A D B+ C- D+ C- F F A B- C F C 38% 23% 40% D+ C A+ F A+ A+ C+ F C-
1.06 59% 22% 42% +4 0 1.11 21% 1.3 .26 19% .23 43% .10 1.11 60% 42% 43% +7 0 1.15 17% 1.8 .31 20% .30 83% .25
Dec
2		 East Tennessee St. B A+ A- D A+ 42% 16% 42% C+ A+ B- D C D+ A+ A- A+ B+ C- C- D- D 37% 24% 39% B+ D+ F A C- A+ B- F+ C
1.19 89% 43% 32% +12 +1 1.29 33% 0.9 .29 20% .59 80% .48 0.96 61% 42% 37% +4 -1 1.08 35% 0.9 .32 30% .29 80% .23
Dec
6		 Virginia C+ C+ F B+ B 43% 23% 34% B+ B D F+ D- A A D+ B+ B- D+ F+ F F 38% 19% 43% B F A+ F C- A+ F C F
0.99 54% 23% 37% -4 0 0.95 20% 0.7 .14 12% .34 73% .25 1.17 63% 50% 56% +18 0 1.38 27% 1.7 .45 29% .51 74% .38
Dec
13		 North Florida C- A+ A+ F B 45% 9% 45% B+ B+ C+ F F C- C F F A A A A+ A+ 35% 20% 45% B A+ F B+ D A- D- A+ C-
1.22 76% 80% 28% +8 +2 1.22 39% 0.8 .31 13% .28 47% .13 0.89 44% 30% 26% -12 0 0.78 34% 1.0 .34 22% .30 69% .20
Dec
16		 Florida St. A A+ F D C+ 40% 13% 48% A- B- F A+ C A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A 35% 19% 46% B+ A C A+ A A+ F B- F
1.24 74% 17% 30% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.3 .28 15% .71 85% .61 0.88 47% 22% 36% -5 0 0.92 33% 0.8 .26 26% .46 70% .33
Dec
20		 Liberty F+ F B- D F 27% 16% 57% C- F C F+ D+ C+ A- A- A B C- A+ F C+ 55% 12% 33% C+ C+ B+ A+ B+ D- A A+ A+
1.02 33% 43% 32% -8 0 0.86 31% 1.1 .34 17% .30 80% .24 1.07 63% 17% 44% +5 +2 1.16 13% 0.8 .10 10% .17 44% .07
Dec
31		 Fordham D+ A+ F F F 46% 27% 27% B- F D+ A+ A+ A- A- B A- A- F A+ A B- 23% 19% 57% B B- D- A+ B+ A+ A A A
1.01 73% 0% 8% -14 0 0.73 24% 2.4 .58 13% .33 72% .24 0.89 82% 22% 26% -4 -1 0.91 39% 0.6 .24 24% .17 63% .10
Jan
3		 Loyola Chicago C- D F F F 49% 10% 41% A F F+ A+ C- A- A+ A A+ B- B+ F C- D 41% 12% 47% C D F A+ C- B+ A+ A A+
1.04 50% 20% 25% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.4 .29 9% .41 84% .34 1.01 50% 83% 35% +3 +1 1.10 43% 0.7 .30 22% .10 60% .06
Jan
6		 George Washington B- A+ F F F+ 36% 26% 38% D+ F+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A- F A D+ F+ 24% 24% 52% A+ C- F A C A+ F A+ D+
1.14 76% 0% 28% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.4 .47 16% .51 90% .46 1.04 90% 30% 36% +8 -1 1.14 45% 0.9 .42 32% .42 60% .25
Jan
13		 Duquesne B- C- F A+ C+ 45% 15% 40% A- B- F+ F+ F+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- B- D B B 39% 11% 50% C+ B A A+ A+ B- F C F+
1.10 56% 17% 44% +2 +1 1.08 21% 0.8 .17 16% .51 82% .42 1.01 56% 40% 30% -3 +1 0.98 24% 0.5 .12 19% .42 73% .31
Jan
16		 Loyola Chicago C C+ F A+ B 37% 18% 45% C+ B F+ F F D- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 20% 36% B+ A+ F A+ B A+ C- A+ B
1.14 58% 22% 43% +4 0 1.10 21% 0.7 .15 16% .49 79% .38 0.75 42% 22% 25% -15 0 0.73 37% 0.6 .23 28% .32 56% .18
Jan
21		 La Salle D A+ C F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F+ B+ D+ B- D- A B+ A B- A F B C 39% 12% 49% F+ C- B- C- C+ A+ F A+ F
0.99 72% 38% 13% -6 +1 0.90 36% 1.1 .39 20% .35 72% .25 1.04 44% 80% 30% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 23% .57 64% .36
Jan
24		 Saint Joseph's C F C A- D 53% 15% 33% A+ C C- A+ A- F B F C C C D B- C 33% 10% 57% C C B D- C+ C- F D- F
0.99 41% 38% 39% -6 +2 0.93 28% 1.4 .38 20% .25 60% .15 1.08 59% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 16% .41 81% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Rhode Island C- A+ D- A+ A+ 44% 18% 38% C+ A+ D D- D- F A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ C- F C- 43% 26% 30% B+ C C+ A+ A- C+ F D- F
1.01 71% 29% 47% +11 +1 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 31% .64 76% .48 1.08 40% 42% 50% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .21 20% .60 78% .47
Jan
30		 Saint Louis C D+ A+ C+ B+ 47% 18% 35% B+ B+ D- A+ C F D+ A+ B- F B F F F 43% 4% 53% C F A- F F B- F A+ D+
0.98 50% 56% 33% -1 +1 1.02 20% 1.2 .23 21% .28 88% .24 1.40 55% 100% 59% +21 +2 1.49 26% 2.2 .57 18% .38 65% .25
Feb
3		 St. Bonaventure C A F D D 40% 16% 44% B- D+ D+ B C B- A+ A+ A+ C+ F F A+ D 32% 30% 38% B+ C- C- B C+ A- D- F+ F
1.13 71% 0% 32% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 16% .61 85% .52 1.10 87% 50% 22% +6 -2 1.11 37% 0.9 .33 20% .33 82% .28
Feb
6		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F F B- F 56% 13% 31% A F+ C- A B- D A+ F A C A F A A 51% 12% 37% D A- B+ F F+ C F F F
0.88 35% 29% 35% -13 +2 0.80 28% 1.2 .33 19% .45 60% .27 1.20 48% 71% 29% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.6 .46 15% .54 82% .44
Feb
15		 Davidson B C F D+ C- 49% 18% 33% A- C A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ B B- C- B 31% 27% 42% B+ B+ A+ F B- C A C+ A-
1.15 58% 29% 31% -3 +1 0.97 52% 1.1 .59 26% .54 88% .47 0.97 53% 38% 35% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.6 .27 16% .22 64% .14
Feb
18		 George Mason A+ A D- A+ A+ 43% 15% 41% A- A+ C- A+ B+ B+ A+ F A B A A F C+ 34% 36% 30% A+ B A+ C A+ D+ D- F F
1.31 70% 29% 53% +15 +1 1.35 25% 1.4 .36 13% .38 62% .24 1.07 50% 29% 50% +1 -2 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 14% .41 82% .34
Feb
21		 Duquesne B+ F A+ F+ D 45% 16% 39% B+ D+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ B- B A+ F A- 34% 27% 39% A+ A D- F F B+ F D+ F
1.21 45% 71% 29% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.5 .52 12% .57 75% .43 1.03 53% 8% 41% -6 -1 0.89 36% 1.2 .44 20% .47 75% .35
Feb
24		 Saint Louis B B+ F C+ B- 43% 19% 38% B B F A+ A B- A+ C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 19% 40% A+ A+ A A+ A+ A C+ F+ C-
1.11 60% 22% 33% -3 +1 0.98 16% 2.4 .38 14% .47 75% .35 0.89 65% 22% 26% -5 0 0.94 24% 0.5 .12 22% .29 81% .24
Feb
27		 George Washington C- D+ F A+ A- 40% 3% 58% A+ A F A+ F F A+ A A+ A+ D- A+ C- C- 50% 5% 45% D D+ D A+ B A+ F A+ F
1.02 56% 0% 43% +7 +2 1.20 9% 1.5 .13 25% .42 81% .34 0.99 68% 0% 35% +4 +3 1.16 41% 0.9 .35 30% .62 55% .34
Mar
3		 Richmond C- A- B B+ A- 33% 18% 49% B A- D F F F A A+ A+ A A C- A+ A+ 32% 30% 38% C+ A+ D F F F B+ A+ A
1.05 69% 43% 37% +7 0 1.15 25% 0.8 .21 26% .39 83% .33 0.97 50% 40% 16% -12 -2 0.74 28% 1.3 .36 10% .27 67% .18
Mar
6		 Virginia Commonwealth C- A+ B F D 41% 15% 43% B- D+ D+ A+ A- B C+ F D B- F+ B F+ D- 34% 23% 43% A D+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A+
1.02 68% 43% 15% -7 +1 0.89 26% 1.4 .38 15% .29 53% .15 1.12 69% 36% 40% +7 -1 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 12% .24 77% .19
Mar
13		 St. Bonaventure D+ F F A+ D- 42% 9% 49% A- D+ B F F D- A+ B- A+ A+ C+ A+ C+ A- 59% 18% 23% F B A+ C A+ B- F A+ F
1.03 28% 25% 48% -4 +2 0.98 34% 0.4 .14 20% .53 79% .42 0.96 57% 29% 33% -3 +2 1.00 19% 1.0 .19 18% .52 64% .33
Mar
14		 Saint Louis C+ F A+ C+ D- 50% 4% 46% A+ D+ C F+ D+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B A+ 38% 4% 57% C+ A A B- A A+ D+ F F
1.02 35% 50% 33% -12 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 12% .48 83% .40 1.01 61% 0% 33% -1 +2 1.04 23% 1.0 .23 26% .34 88% .30
Mar
15		 Virginia Commonwealth D+ B F F C- 49% 15% 36% B C- D- A+ C+ C B F D+ B+ A+ A+ F B 32% 22% 46% A B+ A+ D+ A+ F B+ A- A-
0.96 61% 29% 24% -6 +2 0.94 22% 1.4 .31 17% .32 53% .17 1.08 44% 27% 43% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.2 .19 8% .32 68% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 2.9% 2.9% 11.3 0.0 2.1 0.9 97.1 2.9%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 0.0% 2.9% 11.3 97.1 2.9%