Pre-tourney Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.0 307
Results Rating -10.2 322
Consistency 0.13 57
Pace 68.4 180
Improvement -4.2 321

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 355 D- D+ F+ C C
Defense C 155 C- C- B+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 157 D 52% 309 -1.8 245
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 106 D- 31% 349 -1.0 240
Three Pointers 39% 221 D 31% 297 -2.8 273
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 205 D- -5.3 341
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 332
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 258 C- 1.00 234 D+ 0.27 265
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 349
Other Turnovers D- 8.8% 339
Turnovers F+ 20.6% 353
Freethrows C 0.31 169 C 72% 198 C 0.22 170
Total Offense F+ -9.4 355

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 202 F 16.8% 360
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 207 D- 7.7% 325
Three Pointers F 71% 357 C 0.8% 167
Total D+ 50% 296 F 8.6% 365


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 90 C- 60% 244 +3.1 287
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 310 C+ 37% 153 -1.7 53
Three Pointers 41% 154 C- 34% 216 +0.5 216
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 318 C- +1.1 228
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 248
Second Chance D 33.7% 311 C+ 1.01 143 C- 0.34 260
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.4% 111
Other Turnovers A- 9.0% 21
Turnovers B+ 19.4% 35
Freethrows D+ 0.33 272 C 72% 189 D+ 0.24 267
Total Defense C +0.4 155

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 308 D 7.9% 305
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 251 D+ 3.6% 264
Three Pointers B- 81% 92 C+ 1.2% 99
Total D+ 59% 271 D+ 4.4% 273

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 147 17.3 174
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 152 0.20 301
Consistency 0.12 173 0.10 20
Improvement -6.6 362 +2.4 81

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 307 307 307
Results Rating Rank 322 322 322
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 411 - 1312 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 6 @Iowa St. L 62 - 102 0% -16  1% 0 - 1 D- -14 D+ -3 C D D F+ -8 D D- B
 Sun, Nov 9 193 @Howard W 73 - 70 17% +1  52% 1 - 1 C+ +4 B +7 B+ A+ F C- -3 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 213 Southern Miss W 75 - 70 38% +6  84% 2 - 1 C -1 C- -1 A D- F C+ +0 A+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 225 @San Diego L 68 - 78 21% -7  1% 2 - 2 D -11 F -13 F C- D B- +2 B- A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 112 @California Baptist L 59 - 72 8% -13  1% 2 - 3 D+ -7 D -5 C F F C- -3 F B A+
 Mon, Nov 24 271 @UC Riverside L 74 - 83 29% +1  53% 2 - 4 D- -12 C- -1 F+ C- A- F -11 F D+ B-
 Tue, Dec 2 204 @Tulane L 63 - 65 18% -0  32% 2 - 5 C -1 D+ -4 D A- F B- +2 B D+ D-
 Mon, Dec 8 213 @Southern Miss L 60 - 68 20% +1  64% 2 - 6 D+ -8 F -13 D+ F F B +5 D C+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 321 Norfolk St. W 80 - 68 55% +14  99% 3 - 6 C+ +2 D -5 C+ F A B+ +6 A- D C-
 Fri, Dec 19 268 Hampton W 81 - 72 38% +7  95% 4 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +8 B A+ F D+ -5 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 23 24 @Ohio St. L 63 - 89 1% -13  1% 4 - 7 D+ -7 D+ -3 D- B+ F D -6 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 299 Prairie View W 76 - 72 59% +4  92% 5 - 7 1 - 0 D+ -7 D- -8 C+ D F C+ +0 C+ D- A+
 Mon, Jan 5 317 Texas Southern W 84 - 67 64% +9  87% 6 - 7 2 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +3 B+ A- D+ C+ +1 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 248 @Bethune-Cookman L 65 - 74 25% -8  11% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D -11 F -14 D F F B +4 C+ F+ A-
 Mon, Jan 12 313 @Florida A&M L 84 - 91 39% -3  24% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D- -13 B +6 C A- B- F -19 F F B
 Sat, Jan 17 278 Southern L 53 - 71 53% -11  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 F -28 F -27 F C F C -0 D- A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 346 @Jackson St. W 69 - 66 55% +3  73% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -7 D- -8 D F D C+ +1 C C+ C-
 Mon, Feb 2 351 @Alcorn St. W 74 - 50 59% +13  96% 8 - 10 4 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +3 C- B+ D- A+ +12 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 320 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64 - 67 66% -4  4% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -16 F -17 F D D C+ +0 B+ F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 324 Alabama St. W 57 - 47 67% +3  62% 9 - 11 5 - 4 C- -4 F -17 F+ F D+ A+ +14 A+ B+ C
 Mon, Feb 9 311 Alabama A&M L 58 - 66 62% -10  0% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F -20 F -22 F D+ D- C+ +1 C- C A
 Sat, Feb 14 317 @Texas Southern L 79 - 82 41% -2  29% 9 - 13 5 - 6 D -10 C +0 B F D- F -10 F F A-
 Mon, Feb 16 299 @Prairie View L 63 - 68 36% -3  29% 9 - 14 5 - 7 D -10 F -14 F A F B- +3 A- F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 278 @Southern L 73 - 87 31% -17  1% 9 - 15 5 - 8 F+ -18 F+ -9 F A- D D- -8 F D+ A+
 Mon, Feb 23 365 Mississippi Valley W 83 - 62 93% +9  95% 10 - 15 6 - 8 C- -5 F -12 C- D+ F B +5 C- A B+
 Thu, Feb 26 248 Bethune-Cookman L 71 - 76 46% +2  53% 10 - 16 6 - 9 D- -13 F -13 D- D F C -0 C+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 313 Florida A&M L 59 - 66 62% -7  0% 10 - 17 6 - 10 F -19 F -17 F D C- C- -2 D+ F B+
 Tue, Mar 3 311 @Alabama A&M L 63 - 77 39% -9  21% 10 - 18 6 - 11 F -20 F -10 F A F F -11 F D+ D
 Thu, Mar 5 324 @Alabama St. W 65 - 63 44% -2  23% 11 - 18 7 - 11 D+ -6 F -13 F F+ C+ A- +7 C- A+ B
 Mon, Mar 9 365 Mississippi Valley W 77 - 52 89% +12  74% 12 - 18 C+ +2 D+ -3 D- B- D+ B+ +7 B C A+
 Tue, Mar 10 346 Jackson St. L 65 - 68 66% -1  35% 12 - 19 F+ -16 F -16 F F F C +0 C D C
Totals 12 - 19 7 - 11 -9 F+ -9 D- D- C C +0 D C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D D- D D- 39% 44% 39% C D- D+ C- D+ F+ C C C C C- C+ C- C- 42% 17% 41% D C- D C+ C- B+ D+ C D+
0.95 52% 31% 31% -5 0 0.91 28% 1.0 .27 21% .31 72% .22 1.08 60% 37% 34% +1 +1 1.06 34% 1.0 .34 19% .33 72% .22
Nov
6		 Iowa St. D+ C D D C 42% 36% 22% C- C F A D D A+ C- A+ F+ C F F D+ 42% 9% 49% D- D F+ C D- B F A- F
0.83 58% 31% 30% -4 -2 0.91 16% 1.2 .19 25% .41 70% .29 1.36 64% 60% 42% +11 +2 1.26 44% 1.1 .47 16% .46 62% .29
Nov
9		 Howard B D+ F A+ B 48% 10% 43% B B+ B A+ A+ F A- D+ B+ C- B- F F F 50% 18% 33% D+ F F D- F A+ C F D
1.13 55% 0% 44% +2 +2 1.10 37% 1.4 .52 26% .40 68% .27 1.08 50% 57% 54% +9 +1 1.23 43% 1.2 .52 29% .35 81% .28
Nov
13		 Southern Miss C- B- A+ A+ A 54% 6% 40% A+ A F+ C- D- F D- B D C+ A+ A- A+ A+ 57% 14% 29% F A+ F F+ F D- F A+ D
1.08 62% 67% 42% +8 +3 1.25 21% 1.0 .21 24% .30 75% .23 1.00 43% 29% 14% -19 +2 0.69 44% 1.2 .54 16% .49 62% .31
Nov
18		 San Diego F F+ F+ F F 45% 32% 23% D- F B F+ C- D A+ F A- B- F A+ C+ B- 22% 18% 60% C+ B- C- A+ A+ A- F F F
0.92 52% 33% 18% -10 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 20% .53 58% .31 1.05 90% 0% 33% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.4 .12 22% .55 97% .53
Nov
21		 California Baptist D B+ B F C 40% 18% 43% B- C F F F F A+ A+ A+ C- F F F+ F 61% 7% 32% F F B- B- B A+ F C+ F+
0.91 63% 43% 24% -4 +1 0.95 17% 0.0 .00 22% .46 91% .42 1.12 68% 67% 38% +10 +3 1.29 35% 0.9 .30 28% .37 71% .26
Nov
24		 UC Riverside C- F A+ D+ F+ 41% 27% 33% D F+ F+ A+ C- A- A+ C- A+ F F B- F F 50% 20% 30% D+ F B F D+ B- F D F
1.07 40% 54% 31% -5 -1 0.92 23% 1.3 .29 12% .54 70% .38 1.20 73% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.27 24% 1.2 .28 20% .56 77% .43
Dec
2		 Tulane D+ A+ B F D 26% 17% 57% C- D C- A+ A- F A+ C- A B- B A+ C B 38% 22% 40% B- B F A D+ D- D+ C+ C-
1.02 73% 43% 25% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.3 .43 24% .43 70% .30 1.05 53% 20% 33% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.9 .29 11% .38 76% .29
Dec
8		 Southern Miss F D- F A+ D+ 49% 22% 29% C+ D+ A+ F F F A+ F A- B F D A+ D 45% 26% 30% D- D D A- C+ A+ A D A-
0.87 50% 0% 58% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.4 .16 31% .52 60% .31 0.99 76% 42% 14% 0 0 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 25% .27 79% .21
Dec
18		 Norfolk St. D A F A C+ 41% 19% 41% D+ C+ F D+ F A D+ B+ C B+ C- A+ A+ A 46% 26% 28% D A- D- C D C- F A+ B+
1.08 73% 10% 41% +5 0 1.13 7% 1.0 .07 12% .34 77% .26 0.92 57% 23% 21% -10 0 0.82 34% 1.0 .34 18% .41 44% .18
Dec
19		 Hampton B+ A- A+ F B- 61% 15% 24% A B B+ A+ A+ F A+ A A+ D+ F B F F 39% 28% 33% C F F A+ A+ A F D- F
1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45 1.08 72% 31% 40% +6 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35
Dec
23		 Ohio St. D+ F B- F D- 33% 26% 41% C+ D- B+ B B+ F A+ C+ A+ D F F D F 44% 20% 36% F+ F F A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.94 40% 42% 26% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.1 .36 22% .44 74% .33 1.33 85% 78% 38% +22 +1 1.47 43% 0.6 .24 21% .47 84% .40
Jan
3		 Prairie View D- A+ F A+ B 33% 37% 30% F C+ D+ D D F A+ F A+ C+ B A D+ B- 33% 31% 35% C C+ F B- D- A+ F D F
1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42 0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37
Jan
5		 Texas Southern C+ A F A+ A 25% 18% 57% D- B+ A C A- D+ A+ D A- C+ A+ B A- A 34% 30% 36% B A D F F A A- F C
1.20 73% 25% 44% +10 -1 1.20 43% 1.1 .46 17% .47 67% .31 0.96 41% 33% 28% -11 -2 0.78 30% 2.1 .63 23% .22 92% .20
Jan
10		 Bethune-Cookman F A- C+ F D+ 41% 20% 39% D D D F F F A- A- A B B- A D B- 48% 24% 28% C- C+ D- D F+ A- D- C D-
0.87 65% 40% 21% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.2 .06 24% .39 77% .30 0.99 54% 25% 36% -4 0 0.94 33% 1.2 .38 23% .38 68% .26
Jan
12		 Florida A&M B C+ D- B- C- 50% 18% 32% B- C D+ A+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ F F F C- F 28% 21% 51% B- F F F F B F F F
1.16 60% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.4 .40 17% .43 85% .36 1.26 77% 70% 33% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.3 .48 23% .47 81% .38
Jan
17		 Southern F F D F F 53% 9% 38% A+ F B- D- C F A+ F A+ C B D D- D+ 46% 10% 44% F D- C+ A+ A+ B F+ A+ C-
0.76 28% 33% 23% -23 +3 0.62 35% 1.0 .35 33% .68 69% .47 1.02 50% 40% 38% -1 +2 1.04 28% 0.6 .17 19% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Jackson St. D- F F A+ D+ 29% 17% 54% D D C+ F F D F D F C+ D B B+ C- 27% 27% 47% C+ C B- C- C+ C- F C+ F
1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19 1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41
Feb
2		 Alcorn St. C+ C+ F C+ C- 43% 15% 43% C C- C- A+ B+ D- F B- F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% F A+ B- D+ C+ F F A- D-
1.18 65% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.09 36% 1.5 .54 21% .24 75% .18 0.80 43% 0% 25% -18 +1 0.68 22% 1.0 .22 14% .35 63% .22
Feb
4		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F C+ A F F 40% 19% 40% C- F C+ F D D F D+ F C+ C+ A B+ A- 39% 24% 37% C- B+ C- F F B- F B D-
0.95 62% 50% 10% -11 0 0.81 37% 0.9 .34 18% .27 73% .20 0.99 56% 27% 29% -6 0 0.89 26% 1.4 .38 19% .38 71% .27
Feb
7		 Alabama St. F F D+ C- F 32% 7% 61% B- F+ F D F D+ C- D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 44% 15% 41% F A+ D- A+ B+ C A A+ A+
0.90 43% 33% 33% -6 +1 0.93 18% 1.0 .18 19% .35 72% .25 0.74 29% 13% 27% -21 +1 0.63 35% 0.6 .19 17% .19 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Alabama A&M F F+ F F F 40% 11% 49% B- F D B- D+ D- A+ A+ A+ C+ A- C- D- C+ 45% 18% 36% F C- C C+ C A F B- F
0.87 50% 0% 18% -19 +1 0.67 26% 1.1 .29 18% .49 89% .44 0.99 45% 38% 38% -4 +1 0.95 25% 1.0 .25 21% .46 71% .32
Feb
14		 Texas Southern C A- A+ C- B- 37% 10% 53% B- B F F F D- B C- B- F F B F F 46% 13% 41% F F B F F A- F B F
1.12 68% 60% 33% +6 +1 1.16 23% 0.7 .16 18% .40 70% .28 1.17 71% 33% 47% +14 +2 1.33 23% 1.8 .42 21% .49 67% .33
Feb
16		 Prairie View F F F A+ F 40% 38% 23% F F C+ A+ A F F A+ F B- D+ A A+ A 42% 38% 21% C A- D+ F F D+ F D- F
0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19 0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38
Feb
21		 Southern F+ A F F F 38% 32% 30% D- F C A+ A- D A D B+ D- F B- F F 42% 27% 31% D+ F A+ F D+ A+ F F F
0.98 72% 20% 21% -6 -1 0.87 32% 1.5 .47 20% .44 73% .32 1.17 79% 33% 43% +12 0 1.24 13% 2.7 .35 23% .40 83% .33
Feb
23		 Mississippi Valley F C+ C D+ D+ 52% 22% 26% C+ C- F A+ D+ F A+ D A B B- D+ B C 32% 30% 38% F C- C- A+ A B+ B- A+ A
1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 23% 1.9 .43 25% .53 71% .37 0.79 50% 41% 29% -5 -2 0.89 24% 0.4 .10 24% .25 53% .13
Feb
26		 Bethune-Cookman F D F C+ D- 46% 18% 36% C D- B- F D F F F F C C A+ A B 65% 12% 22% F C+ F F F A+ C+ B B-
0.93 50% 20% 35% -6 +1 0.91 36% 0.9 .31 21% .22 54% .12 1.00 59% 0% 27% -6 +3 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 26% .30 65% .20
Feb
28		 Florida A&M F F F B- F 33% 29% 39% F F C- F D C- F A+ D- C- C- F A+ D 38% 32% 30% B+ D+ F D- F B+ B+ F+ B-
0.87 31% 29% 37% -10 -1 0.80 30% 0.8 .23 19% .24 85% .20 0.98 58% 56% 20% -1 -1 0.98 38% 1.0 .38 24% .23 75% .17
Mar
3		 Alabama A&M F F A- F F 38% 20% 42% D+ F C A+ A F D- A- D+ F D B F F 39% 28% 33% C F D C+ D+ D F F F
0.99 35% 44% 26% -12 0 0.78 31% 1.5 .49 20% .28 79% .22 1.21 61% 31% 53% +9 -1 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 14% .46 80% .37
Mar
5		 Alabama St. F C+ F F F 39% 11% 50% B- F D F F+ C+ D A+ C A- C+ F A+ C 34% 16% 50% D C- D+ A+ A+ B F+ B D
0.92 62% 17% 15% -15 +1 0.74 29% 0.9 .26 17% .32 84% .27 0.89 53% 63% 24% -5 0 0.92 33% 0.4 .13 20% .35 65% .23
Mar
9		 Mississippi Valley D+ F F A+ D 27% 27% 45% F D- D+ A+ B- D+ B- F C- B+ A+ B+ C+ A- 34% 36% 30% D B F A+ C A+ F A- D
1.16 33% 25% 50% +1 -2 1.00 33% 1.5 .52 18% .44 67% .29 0.79 40% 31% 31% -10 -2 0.77 34% 0.6 .21 27% .35 65% .23
Mar
10		 Jackson St. F F F A+ F 53% 18% 29% B- F F+ F F F A C- A- C A F A C 26% 24% 50% C C F A- D C F A+ F
0.95 38% 25% 46% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.8 .23 20% .42 74% .31 0.99 42% 55% 26% -6 -1 0.87 39% 0.8 .32 19% .47 65% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%