Pre-tourney Rankings
Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -14.5 350
Results Rating -11.9 335
Consistency 0.15 172
Pace 74.7 30
Improvement +1.0 146

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 332 F+ D C- B D
Defense F+ 352 D F D F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 245 F+ 49% 356 -4.7 335
2 Pt. Jumpers 57% 25 D+ 34% 299 +1.8 80
Three Pointers 36% 290 D 31% 313 -4.5 323
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 320 F+ -6.3 353
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.87 358
Second Chance C- 28.0% 248 F+ 0.86 356 D 0.24 326
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 191
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 279
Turnovers C- 17.5% 240
Freethrows B- 0.33 80 B- 75% 91 B 0.25 69
Total Offense D -6.6 332

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 180 D 13.4% 322
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 96 C- 5.5% 230
Three Pointers D+ 80% 271 D+ 1.2% 283
Total C- 53% 236 D 6.8% 312


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 4 D 63% 314 +8.0 363
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 358 D+ 41% 291 -2.4 18
Three Pointers 38% 259 C+ 33% 138 -1.8 110
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.6 364 D+ +2.1 269
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 312
Second Chance D- 35.4% 341 F+ 1.18 355 F 0.42 359
Turnovers from Steals F 5.1% 364
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 15
Turnovers D 14.2% 327
Freethrows F 0.41 364 C+ 71% 114 F 0.29 359
Total Defense F+ -7.8 352

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 333 D+ 8.4% 276
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 355 D+ 2.9% 299
Three Pointers C- 85% 217 D+ 0.3% 303
Total D 63% 326 D+ 4.6% 255

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 95 16.1 18
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 121 0.25 361
Consistency 0.11 83 0.09 10
Improvement -0.8 233 +1.8 99

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 350 350 350
Results Rating Rank 335 335 335
Conference Record 10 - 4 10 - 4 10 - 4
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 11 - 5
Quad 410 - 1111 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 72 @Georgetown L 70 - 87 2% -10  21% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -5 D+ C- F+ C +0 A- D- F
 Tue, Nov 11 186 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79 - 81 17% -6  16% 0 - 2 D+ -6 C- -1 D B- C+ D -6 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 291 @Mercyhurst L 72 - 86 17% -13  6% 0 - 3 F -19 C- -2 F A+ F F -17 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 287 N.C. A&T L 73 - 79 35% -4  9% 0 - 4 F+ -16 D- -8 D F A+ F+ -8 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 21 243 @Old Dominion L 56 - 88 13% -18  0% 0 - 5 F -34 F -18 F F+ D F -18 F+ F+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 214 Drexel L 66 - 71 21% -7  2% 0 - 6 D -11 D+ -4 C F A D- -7 D A- A-
 Sat, Dec 6 264 Longwood L 80 - 84 29% -1  46% 0 - 7 D- -13 D+ -4 D- D- C- F+ -9 D F C
 Tue, Dec 9 93 @DePaul L 49 - 92 3% -28  0% 0 - 8 F -34 F -17 F F F F -19 F F F+
 Sat, Dec 13 334 Niagara W 81 - 73 52% +4  89% 1 - 8 D+ -7 C+ +2 A+ A F F+ -8 C- F F
 Fri, Dec 19 74 @California L 50 - 97 2% -22  0% 1 - 9 F -36 F -19 F D- D- F -17 F F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 119 @San Francisco L 64 - 94 4% -13  21% 1 - 10 F -24 D- -8 D+ C- F+ F -17 C+ F C-
 Tue, Dec 23 166 @Loyola Marymount L 56 - 83 6% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -24 F -16 F B+ F F+ -8 F F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 352 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 49 - 66 39% -6  17% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -29 F -27 F F F C- -2 B- D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 356 South Carolina St. W 72 - 67 66% -2  16% 2 - 12 1 - 1 D- -14 D- -7 F+ F A D -6 D- F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 348 NC Central L 78 - 89 60% -4  14% 2 - 13 1 - 2 F -28 D -5 D+ F B- F -23 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 360 @Delaware St. W 80 - 79 52% +5  76% 3 - 13 2 - 2 D- -14 C- -1 D+ F B F -13 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 193 @Howard W 78 - 77 8% -3  15% 4 - 13 3 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -4 F A+ D B+ +6 A+ F C+
 Mon, Jan 26 321 @Norfolk St. W 79 - 78 25% -3  36% 5 - 13 4 - 2 D+ -6 D- -6 C- F D+ C -0 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 362 @Coppin St. W 89 - 80 55% +12  100% 6 - 13 5 - 2 D+ -7 C+ +2 F+ A D F+ -9 F C F+
 Sat, Feb 7 352 Maryland Eastern Shore W 79 - 71 62% +2  79% 7 - 13 6 - 2 D -10 C +1 D+ D- A+ F -10 C+ C+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 348 @NC Central L 76 - 80 37% -11  7% 7 - 14 6 - 3 F+ -15 F+ -9 F F D+ D -6 D- F A
 Sat, Feb 21 360 Delaware St. W 82 - 68 74% +3  66% 8 - 14 7 - 3 D+ -7 C- -2 C- D D+ D -6 C- C- F
 Wed, Feb 25 356 @South Carolina St. W 90 - 83 43% +5  83% 9 - 14 8 - 3 D+ -6 B +6 A- B+ F F -12 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 193 Howard L 59 - 84 18% -10  2% 9 - 15 8 - 4 F -30 F -17 F C- A+ F -12 C- F D
 Mon, Mar 2 321 Norfolk St. W 90 - 84 45% +10  91% 10 - 15 9 - 4 D+ -7 C +2 A F A F+ -9 A- F F
 Thu, Mar 5 362 Coppin St. W 70 - 66 76% -0  42% 11 - 15 10 - 4 F+ -18 F -12 F B C+ D -6 D B+ F
 Wed, Mar 11 360 Delaware St. L 70 - 75 OT 64% -4  12% 11 - 16 F -23 F -14 F F A+ F+ -9 D+ F F+
Totals 11 - 16 10 - 4 -14 D -7 B- F+ D F+ -8 D B- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D F+ D+ D F+ 36% 57% 36% D F+ C- F+ D C- B- B- B F+ D D+ C+ D+ 48% 14% 38% F D D- F+ F D F C+ F
0.99 49% 34% 31% -6 -1 0.87 28% 0.9 .24 17% .33 75% .25 1.20 63% 41% 33% +2 +2 1.10 35% 1.2 .42 14% .41 71% .24
Nov
3		 Georgetown D F F+ A+ D+ 38% 27% 35% C D+ C D+ C- F+ A+ C- A+ C C+ F A+ A+ 46% 9% 44% F A- C- F+ D- F F A- F
0.93 39% 31% 41% -5 -1 0.90 30% 0.9 .27 21% .40 71% .29 1.15 56% 80% 17% -9 +2 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 9% .57 69% .39
Nov
11		 Maryland Baltimore Co. C- F F A+ D- 45% 22% 33% C D B D+ B- C+ D+ A- C D F F F F 45% 5% 50% F F C- C C A+ F A+ F
1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16 1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30
Nov
15		 Mercyhurst C- C+ F F F 38% 43% 20% F F A+ C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 32% 28% 40% D F F F F C+ F A+ F
1.06 60% 18% 25% -11 -3 0.75 51% 1.0 .51 24% .74 84% .62 1.27 69% 29% 40% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.7 .69 16% .49 61% .30
Nov
18		 N.C. A&T D- C+ A+ F D 41% 25% 34% C- D F F F A+ D C+ D+ F+ F F C+ F 29% 29% 42% C+ F C F F B- F D F
1.05 60% 53% 24% -1 0 1.00 14% 0.4 .05 7% .26 71% .19 1.14 69% 54% 32% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.8 .52 20% .49 78% .38
Nov
21		 Old Dominion F D- D- F F 52% 20% 28% B F C F F+ D C+ F F F D C F F 28% 22% 50% C- F+ F B F+ F F C F
0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20 1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34
Nov
25		 Drexel D+ B B+ F C+ 40% 38% 23% F+ C F F F A B+ C+ B+ D- F A+ C+ D+ 45% 12% 43% F D F A+ A- A- F F F
1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28 1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42
Dec
6		 Longwood D+ D- A+ F D- 44% 19% 37% C D- F+ D+ D- C- C+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ F D+ 46% 18% 36% F+ D C F F C F A F
1.07 54% 70% 25% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.9 .18 19% .36 91% .33 1.12 56% 14% 43% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.6 .53 20% .74 66% .49
Dec
9		 DePaul F F F F F 26% 38% 36% F F A+ F F F A+ A A+ F F A+ F F 38% 17% 45% D+ F B- F F F+ F F F
0.72 27% 25% 20% -21 -3 0.55 45% 0.3 .13 30% .65 77% .50 1.36 88% 14% 42% +13 +1 1.29 28% 1.6 .44 13% .63 78% .49
Dec
13		 Niagara C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% F A+ A+ F+ A F A+ A A+ F+ C- F B+ C 50% 8% 42% F C- A F F F F C- F
1.21 78% 73% 44% +22 -2 1.42 56% 0.9 .50 34% .48 86% .41 1.09 58% 50% 30% -1 +2 1.04 14% 2.8 .38 13% .33 74% .24
Dec
19		 California F B- B F F 35% 29% 35% D- F F A- D- D- B F C F D- A F F 50% 14% 36% F F A- F F D+ D- F F
0.72 59% 43% 6% -13 -1 0.73 16% 1.2 .19 20% .34 58% .20 1.40 68% 29% 50% +12 +2 1.30 22% 2.6 .57 13% .38 96% .36
Dec
21		 San Francisco D- A+ D C C+ 15% 39% 46% F D+ F A+ C- F+ A D- B F F A- A+ C 42% 23% 35% C+ C+ F F F C- F B- F
0.95 71% 33% 33% 0 -4 0.93 18% 1.5 .26 18% .34 68% .23 1.39 83% 30% 20% +1 0 1.05 47% 1.5 .70 15% .78 69% .54
Dec
23		 Loyola Marymount F F F F F 32% 49% 19% F F A+ D B+ F A- F C+ F+ D F D- F 44% 9% 47% F F F D+ F C+ F A F
0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23 1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30
Jan
3		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F B- F F 26% 32% 43% F F F F F F D D- D- C- D A+ A+ B+ 55% 13% 32% F B- D+ F D- F F B+ F
0.73 42% 40% 20% -12 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21 0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33
Jan
10		 South Carolina St. D- B+ F+ F F+ 48% 20% 33% D+ F+ D- F F A A- F C- D F D A+ D 40% 28% 33% F+ D- F F F A+ F+ A+ B
1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29 1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18
Jan
12		 NC Central D A F B+ C- 33% 27% 40% F+ D+ D F F B- A+ D+ A+ F F F F F 64% 20% 16% F F A+ A+ A+ F F C- F
1.14 73% 25% 39% +5 -1 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 16% .57 70% .40 1.30 68% 67% 57% +18 +2 1.41 17% 0.8 .13 13% .55 76% .42
Jan
17		 Delaware St. C- F B+ A+ C- 30% 26% 44% F D+ F+ F+ F B A+ B- A+ F B+ F A+ F 43% 26% 30% F F F F+ F F F C- F
1.09 44% 43% 42% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 15% .43 74% .32 1.08 45% 75% 21% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 15% .63 69% .43
Jan
24		 Howard D+ F D C F 48% 22% 30% C- F A- A+ A+ D A+ A A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 51% 24% 25% C+ A+ F F+ F C+ F F+ F
0.96 28% 31% 33% -17 +1 0.70 40% 1.4 .58 21% .45 79% .36 0.95 32% 31% 14% -22 +1 0.58 53% 1.2 .66 21% .63 80% .50
Jan
26		 Norfolk St. D- B- C C+ C 34% 20% 46% D- C- F A+ F D+ B+ B+ A- C B+ F A+ A+ 62% 9% 29% F A D- F F F F A C-
1.04 65% 40% 35% +3 0 1.08 12% 1.5 .18 18% .42 77% .32 1.03 47% 60% 12% -15 +3 0.79 34% 1.3 .45 12% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Coppin St. C+ A- F D- D- 34% 28% 38% F F+ C A+ A D A+ D- A+ F+ D A F F 48% 23% 29% F+ F F A+ C F+ F A+ F
1.17 71% 29% 32% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.6 .54 18% .61 71% .44 1.05 60% 25% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 18% .57 57% .32
Feb
7		 Maryland Eastern Shore C B F+ C- C- 41% 29% 31% D- D+ D D- D- A+ A- A- A F C A A+ B 51% 22% 27% F+ C+ F A+ C+ F F F F
1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33 1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
16		 NC Central F+ F F A+ F 41% 21% 38% C- F A- F F D+ A C+ A D A+ D F D- 48% 22% 30% D D- D- F F A F F+ F
1.04 48% 17% 43% -4 0 0.95 47% 0.5 .23 19% .39 74% .29 1.10 41% 40% 50% 0 +1 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 22% .44 80% .35
Feb
21		 Delaware St. C- C+ B- C C 39% 20% 41% D+ C- B- F D D+ A+ B- A+ D D+ A+ A+ C+ 55% 20% 25% F C- D+ C+ C- F F B- F+
1.12 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.8 .31 19% .45 74% .34 0.93 57% 18% 21% -10 +1 0.85 28% 0.8 .21 15% .37 65% .24
Feb
25		 South Carolina St. B F A+ A+ B+ 57% 2% 40% A A- C A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 43% 29% 27% F+ F F A D+ F F B+ F
1.23 46% 100% 59% +10 +4 1.29 37% 1.4 .53 22% .60 82% .49 1.14 73% 47% 21% +4 -1 1.08 41% 0.8 .31 12% .45 62% .28
Feb
28		 Howard F F F F F 37% 20% 43% D F C D+ C- A+ A+ C A+ F B F D+ C+ 65% 8% 27% F C- F D+ F D F A F
0.82 35% 18% 9% -29 0 0.44 33% 1.0 .33 12% .44 71% .32 1.17 47% 50% 36% -6 +4 0.98 47% 1.2 .53 18% .49 66% .32
Mar
2		 Norfolk St. C D+ F A+ A 38% 13% 49% C A F F F A C- A+ B F+ B A+ A+ A+ 63% 13% 24% F A- F D+ F F D- B- D+
1.19 57% 29% 52% +12 +1 1.27 10% 0.7 .06 12% .36 83% .30 1.11 49% 25% 20% -13 +3 0.82 41% 1.0 .43 9% .38 65% .25
Mar
5		 Coppin St. F F F F+ F 43% 19% 38% C F D- A+ B C+ F C F D A- A+ F C 59% 10% 31% F D D A+ B+ F D- F F
1.02 43% 20% 30% -12 +1 0.79 29% 1.6 .46 16% .21 75% .16 0.96 45% 20% 40% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.6 .20 17% .37 76% .28
Mar
11		 Delaware St. F F A- F F 47% 17% 36% C F D F F A+ A+ B A+ F+ D+ F+ A+ D- 35% 48% 17% A D+ F F F F+ F D- F
0.93 44% 44% 16% -15 +1 0.74 29% 0.8 .24 12% .54 75% .41 1.00 56% 44% 11% -4 -4 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 16% .47 73% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0%
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%