Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio
Mid-American
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.8 227
Results Rating -3.2 220
Consistency 0.12 43
Pace 71.5 96
Improvement -1.9 257

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 181 C- C- B- C+ C-
Defense D+ 267 C- D D+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 202 C 58% 178 -0.4 198
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 146 A 47% 12 +3.2 41
Three Pointers 39% 223 D- 30% 335 -3.6 301
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 238 C -0.4 185
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 203
Second Chance D+ 27.8% 252 C 1.02 193 C- 0.28 241
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 88
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 148
Turnovers B- 15.4% 98
Freethrows C+ 0.32 137 C- 71% 234 C+ 0.23 153
Total Offense C -0.6 181

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 45% 247 C+ 10.3% 147
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 277 B- 3.6% 84
Three Pointers D+ 79% 290 D+ 1.3% 299
Total D- 47% 329 C+ 5.3% 152


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 37 C+ 57% 135 +2.6 268
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 198 C 39% 206 -0.1 178
Three Pointers 36% 321 D+ 36% 266 -1.5 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 262 C +0.4 197
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 208
Second Chance D 34.0% 318 C- 1.05 229 D 0.36 299
Turnovers from Steals D 7.6% 313
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 95
Turnovers D+ 15.4% 255
Freethrows C- 0.32 249 D+ 74% 263 D+ 0.24 259
Total Defense D+ -3.1 267

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 124 C- 10.1% 208
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 60 C- 4.2% 207
Three Pointers B+ 77% 30 C 0.8% 171
Total B 50% 64 C 5.6% 179

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 139 17.1 131
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 341 0.14 88
Consistency 0.12 127 0.11 62
Improvement +0.4 172 -2.4 300

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 227 227 227
Results Rating Rank 220 220 220
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 34 - 84 - 14
Quad 49 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 146 Arkansas St. L 85 - 89 44% +2  61% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +2 B+ F B- D- -8 C- F A-
 Thu, Nov 6 103 Illinois St. W 72 - 68 30% +2  74% 1 - 1 B- +6 C- -1 A- F A A- +7 B A C-
 Tue, Nov 11 30 @St. Mary's L 60 - 90 3% -15  11% 1 - 2 D- -12 D -5 D- A F D- -7 C F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 20 @Louisville L 81 - 106 2% -14  0% 1 - 3 C- -4 B+ +8 A+ F+ F F+ -10 C+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 19 248 Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 76 66% -4  10% 1 - 4 D -11 C- -2 C- F A F+ -9 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 99 George Mason L 69 - 92 20% -20  0% 1 - 5 F+ -18 C- -1 C B D F -17 D- F F
 Tue, Nov 25 166 Loyola Marymount L 58 - 70 36% -4  38% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -17 F F+ F B+ +5 A- D A
 Wed, Dec 3 345 Maine W 79 - 57 88% +12  88% 2 - 6 B- +6 B +6 C C B- C+ +1 B+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 6 202 Marshall W 88 - 81 56% +6  93% 3 - 6 C+ +2 B- +4 B D- A C- -2 B F+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 130 St. Bonaventure W 88 - 83 OT 29% +2  70% 4 - 6 B- +7 C+ +3 B+ A+ B B- +3 B+ C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 20 167 Bowling Green L 58 - 68 48% -9  8% 4 - 7 0 - 1 D- -13 F -15 F C F C+ +2 B F+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 269 @Central Michigan W 80 - 64 47% +5  53% 5 - 7 1 - 1 B+ +13 D -5 F+ F+ B- A+ +17 A- A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 245 @Eastern Michigan W 68 - 67 43% -9  8% 6 - 7 2 - 1 C -1 C- -2 B+ F F C+ +1 F+ A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 6 196 Massachusetts W 86 - 83 55% +3  71% 7 - 7 3 - 1 C- -2 C+ +3 A D C+ D+ -5 D A+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 211 Buffalo W 91 - 80 58% +4  59% 8 - 7 4 - 1 B- +5 B- +5 A A+ F C -1 B+ D D+
 Tue, Jan 13 138 @Toledo L 85 - 101 22% -4  47% 8 - 8 4 - 2 D- -12 B+ +9 C+ A B F -21 F F D
 Fri, Jan 16 281 @Ball St. L 71 - 76 51% -8  0% 8 - 9 4 - 3 D -9 C +0 C+ D C F+ -10 D- C- D+
 Tue, Jan 20 342 Northern Illinois W 80 - 77 87% +5  78% 9 - 9 5 - 3 D- -13 D+ -4 C- C D- F+ -9 F B- B-
 Fri, Jan 23 73 Akron L 65 - 86 20% -15  0% 9 - 10 5 - 4 F+ -16 F -13 F C- A+ C- -2 C+ A C
 Tue, Jan 27 147 @Kent St. L 57 - 72 24% -4  12% 9 - 11 5 - 5 D -11 F -19 F F+ B A- +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 211 @Buffalo W 95 - 83 35% +8  92% 10 - 11 6 - 5 B+ +12 A +15 B- C A+ C- -3 F+ D B-
 Tue, Feb 3 276 Western Michigan W 91 - 71 71% +13  96% 11 - 11 7 - 5 B +10 A- +10 A B C C+ +1 D- A F
 Sat, Feb 7 243 @Old Dominion L 72 - 78 43% +0  38% 11 - 12 D+ -8 C +1 B- D+ B F+ -9 C+ F F
 Fri, Feb 13 96 @Miami (OH) L 74 - 90 13% -10  2% 11 - 13 7 - 6 D+ -8 C- -1 C- D A D -6 C F D
 Tue, Feb 17 281 Ball St. W 69 - 57 73% +6  71% 12 - 13 8 - 6 C+ +2 C+ +4 C F A C+ +0 D+ B- D+
 Sat, Feb 21 342 @Northern Illinois W 74 - 66 72% +7  91% 13 - 13 9 - 6 C- -2 C+ +3 C- F+ A+ D+ -4 F B- C
 Sat, Feb 28 138 Toledo L 67 - 79 42% -9  0% 13 - 14 9 - 7 D- -14 D- -8 F D+ A+ D -6 A+ F F
 Tue, Mar 3 196 @Massachusetts L 82 - 94 32% -2  30% 13 - 15 9 - 8 D -11 C- -1 F A A+ F+ -9 F F+ D-
 Fri, Mar 6 96 Miami (OH) L 108 - 110 OT 27% -3  13% 13 - 16 9 - 9 C +0 A +14 B- A+ A+ F -14 C- F F
 Thu, Mar 12 147 Kent St. L 75 - 86 34% -5  18% 13 - 17 D -10 D+ -2 D+ C C- D- -8 D- A+ F
Totals 13 - 17 9 - 9 -4 C -1 D+ C C- D+ -3 D- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C A D- C 38% 40% 39% C- C- D+ C C- B- C+ C- C+ D+ C+ C D+ C 44% 20% 36% D+ C- D C- D D+ C- D+ D+
1.08 58% 47% 30% 0 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 15% .32 71% .23 1.13 57% 39% 36% 0 0 1.04 34% 1.1 .36 15% .32 74% .24
Nov
3		 Arkansas St. C+ B- A+ D+ B+ 41% 17% 42% B- B+ F+ F F B- C+ D C D- A+ F C- C 42% 4% 54% F C- D- F F A- F F F
1.13 63% 70% 32% +6 +1 1.15 20% 0.6 .11 13% .34 68% .23 1.18 45% 100% 35% -2 +2 1.02 42% 1.6 .68 24% .49 89% .44
Nov
6		 Illinois St. C- B+ C+ F B- 70% 16% 14% A+ A- F F F A A+ F B A- B+ F A- A- 44% 18% 38% D- B B+ A+ A C- A+ A+ A+
1.03 66% 38% 14% +1 +3 1.10 16% 0.8 .13 11% .44 56% .24 0.97 54% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 23% 0.9 .21 16% .19 55% .10
Nov
11		 St. Mary's D C+ B- F D- 34% 28% 38% D D- B+ A+ A F F A+ F D- B- A- F C 42% 19% 38% C- C D F F D- D- B D+
0.86 56% 40% 15% -11 -1 0.77 29% 1.2 .34 20% .13 86% .11 1.30 55% 30% 45% +3 0 1.10 42% 1.5 .65 13% .36 77% .28
Nov
15		 Louisville B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% D+ A+ A F F+ F A+ A- A+ F+ B A- F C 35% 15% 50% A- C+ F F F C- F B F
1.06 57% 50% 41% +8 -2 1.13 33% 0.4 .14 22% .44 77% .34 1.39 58% 38% 44% +8 +1 1.19 44% 1.5 .67 14% .46 73% .34
Nov
19		 Bethune-Cookman C- B A+ F C- 51% 22% 27% C- C- C- F F A A+ D A+ F+ B+ F F F 48% 23% 29% C- F A+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+
1.08 62% 55% 14% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.8 .23 10% .46 68% .31 1.13 52% 58% 53% +10 0 1.23 16% 0.8 .13 12% .24 57% .13
Nov
24		 George Mason C- B- A D+ B 18% 40% 42% F C A C- B D A+ F+ A F B- A+ F D- 35% 15% 51% D+ D- F D+ F F B- B- B-
1.02 63% 44% 32% +2 -4 0.98 36% 0.9 .33 18% .36 65% .23 1.36 58% 25% 46% +8 +1 1.18 41% 1.1 .44 9% .33 70% .23
Nov
25		 Loyola Marymount F F D D- F 37% 20% 43% B- F D+ F F+ F A+ F A+ B+ B- F A+ A+ 38% 19% 42% F+ A- F A- D A D C- D
0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31 0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21
Dec
3		 Maine B D A+ C- C 49% 16% 35% B C A+ F C B- F A+ F C+ C- A+ A A- 46% 21% 33% D+ B+ F C F A- A+ F+ A
1.21 56% 56% 32% 0 +1 1.05 53% 0.8 .39 17% .13 100% .13 0.87 59% 10% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.0 .29 24% .20 70% .14
Dec
6		 Marshall B- F A+ A+ B 33% 24% 43% C- B F C+ D- A A+ D A- C- D B A+ A 48% 11% 41% F B F+ C- F+ C- F D+ F
1.21 44% 54% 43% +5 -1 1.11 25% 1.0 .25 12% .46 69% .31 1.12 67% 33% 22% -4 +2 0.98 37% 1.2 .43 17% .33 75% .25
Dec
13		 St. Bonaventure C+ B- A+ D A 33% 33% 35% F B+ D A+ A+ B F A D- B- C+ C- A B+ 43% 33% 24% B B+ D- A- C+ B- C- F F+
1.14 61% 67% 32% +9 -2 1.16 24% 2.2 .52 14% .20 85% .17 1.08 56% 42% 29% -2 -1 0.97 40% 0.9 .34 18% .30 89% .27
Dec
20		 Bowling Green F A A+ F F 26% 13% 62% C- F D+ B C F A+ F A+ C+ A D- C- B+ 53% 16% 31% D+ B F D+ F+ A+ F F F
0.86 70% 60% 17% -10 0 0.82 25% 1.1 .28 22% .57 63% .36 1.01 46% 43% 36% -5 +2 0.96 35% 0.9 .32 24% .45 83% .37
Dec
30		 Central Michigan D D A+ F F 55% 13% 32% B+ F+ F C+ F+ B- A+ D- A+ A+ F+ B- A+ A+ 53% 22% 25% F A- A A+ A+ B- F C- F
1.04 55% 57% 18% -7 +2 0.92 25% 1.2 .30 16% .52 65% .34 0.83 67% 36% 0% -9 +1 0.86 21% 0.5 .11 19% .37 70% .26
Jan
3		 Eastern Michigan C- A+ A- D A- 28% 26% 46% D- B+ C- F F F D+ C D+ C+ D- A F F 33% 33% 33% B+ F+ F+ A+ A+ C- F A- F
1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21 1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32
Jan
6		 Massachusetts C+ B B A+ A 34% 17% 49% C- A F B+ D C+ D F+ D- D+ C- D F+ D 44% 25% 32% C D B- A+ A+ D B+ F C+
1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23 1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21
Jan
10		 Buffalo B- A+ A+ A- A+ 43% 26% 32% D A A+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+ C B+ F B B+ 41% 19% 41% C B+ F B D D+ D+ A+ B-
1.24 75% 58% 40% +15 0 1.32 50% 1.3 .64 24% .36 85% .31 1.09 50% 50% 32% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.0 .35 15% .35 64% .22
Jan
13		 Toledo B+ D+ A+ B- B+ 31% 33% 37% F C+ C+ A+ A B A F+ B+ F D+ F F F 40% 30% 30% B- F F F F D C- F F
1.21 56% 59% 37% +8 -2 1.13 36% 1.2 .44 16% .32 63% .20 1.44 62% 75% 44% +17 -1 1.34 46% 1.4 .63 13% .28 94% .26
Jan
16		 Ball St. C B- A+ F B 33% 39% 29% F C+ D C- D C B+ C B+ F+ C- D C- F+ 36% 23% 41% B D- D+ C C- D+ F F F
1.06 63% 53% 29% +5 -3 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 18% .35 79% .27 1.14 56% 40% 33% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 15% .55 81% .44
Jan
20		 Northern Illinois D+ B- D B C 42% 25% 33% D C- D- A+ C D- A+ C A F+ A+ F F F 45% 14% 41% D+ F D A B- B- F F F
1.10 65% 33% 38% +3 0 1.08 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 72% .31 1.06 40% 50% 50% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.6 .19 23% .48 74% .36
Jan
23		 Akron F F D F F 38% 34% 29% F F F+ A+ C- A+ A+ A- A+ C- C+ F B C 41% 30% 30% A- C+ D A+ A C F D+ F
0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33 1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32
Jan
27		 Kent St. F F F F F 42% 9% 49% B+ F D- F F+ B F+ C- F+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 52% 7% 40% F A+ F C- F A+ F C F
0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19 1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Buffalo A A A+ F B 46% 28% 26% D B- B- D+ C A+ A+ B- A+ C- D F F F 48% 26% 26% B- F+ B F D B- F B- F
1.33 72% 53% 29% +9 0 1.19 35% 0.9 .32 8% .40 77% .30 1.16 64% 50% 42% +9 0 1.20 22% 1.5 .33 18% .46 70% .32
Feb
3		 Western Michigan A- A A+ A- A 35% 8% 58% B- A C A B C B+ A+ A C+ C+ A F D 52% 21% 27% F D- A A- A F F A+ A-
1.32 72% 50% 40% +11 +1 1.27 30% 1.3 .40 13% .37 82% .30 1.03 52% 27% 50% +1 +1 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 9% .40 40% .16
Feb
7		 Old Dominion C A+ B D B 30% 24% 46% D B- D C- D+ B F F F F+ F A+ F C- 34% 45% 21% A+ C+ F D F F C- F F+
1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18 1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -3 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27
Feb
13		 Miami (OH) C- D+ A+ F C- 34% 26% 40% D+ C- F A D A B F C D C A+ F C 48% 20% 31% D+ C D+ F F D F C F
1.03 56% 64% 24% 0 -1 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 13% .32 65% .21 1.25 62% 27% 47% +6 +1 1.15 27% 1.9 .50 13% .45 75% .33
Feb
17		 Ball St. C+ D+ A+ C- C 36% 23% 41% C- C D- F F A A+ B- A+ C+ C A B- C- 53% 18% 29% F+ D+ D- A+ B- D+ C A+ B
1.15 56% 50% 33% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 13% .41 81% .33 0.95 54% 25% 31% -6 +1 0.93 31% 0.6 .19 15% .28 57% .16
Feb
21		 Northern Illinois C+ C- C+ B C 46% 21% 33% C- C- D F F+ A+ A F+ B+ D+ D A+ F F 50% 13% 37% D F A- D+ B- C A+ A+ A+
1.15 59% 40% 38% +3 +1 1.08 26% 0.9 .23 11% .42 67% .28 1.02 61% 17% 47% +6 +2 1.17 23% 0.9 .20 22% .24 50% .12
Feb
28		 Toledo D- D+ F F F 49% 18% 33% C+ F D C- D+ A+ D F F D A+ F A+ A+ 58% 13% 28% F A+ F F F F B- F C
1.01 57% 10% 26% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.9 .27 11% .20 50% .10 1.19 39% 57% 27% -12 +2 0.83 38% 1.6 .62 8% .23 86% .20
Mar
3		 Massachusetts C- C C F F 36% 23% 41% D F C+ A+ A A+ B A- A- F+ F F C F 43% 20% 37% D+ F D+ F+ F+ D- F F F
1.07 60% 38% 17% -9 -1 0.82 29% 1.5 .42 10% .42 79% .33 1.23 76% 50% 33% +10 0 1.22 34% 1.3 .45 16% .54 77% .42
Mar
6		 Miami (OH) A D- C A+ B- 37% 19% 44% C+ B- D- A+ A+ A+ B+ B+ A- F B- C+ F C 44% 15% 42% D C- F F F F F C F
1.30 52% 38% 43% +4 0 1.10 24% 1.9 .45 8% .33 80% .26 1.32 58% 38% 43% +6 +1 1.16 36% 1.3 .47 10% .55 76% .41
Mar
12		 Kent St. D+ A+ F F D 44% 16% 40% B- D+ D+ B C C- A+ B- A+ D- F A+ D D- 46% 19% 35% D+ D- A A+ A+ F F+ C+ D-
1.06 75% 14% 22% -3 +1 0.98 28% 1.1 .31 17% .54 75% .41 1.21 68% 20% 37% +3 +1 1.09 26% 0.8 .20 7% .44 72% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%