Pre-tourney Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.7 238
Results Rating -7.0 276
Consistency 0.16 254
Pace 61.5 343
Improvement +1.4 139

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 229 C- D D+ C+ C
Defense C- 253 C C D- C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 310 D 53% 295 -4.4 329
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 249 B- 41% 93 -0.4 201
Three Pointers 48% 43 C 34% 164 +3.7 64
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 197 C- -1.0 213
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 212
Second Chance D+ 26.7% 283 D+ 0.96 287 D 0.26 297
Opponents' Steals D 11.1% 319
Other Turnovers C+ 6.8% 126
Turnovers D+ 17.9% 265
Freethrows C 0.31 166 B- 75% 102 C+ 0.23 134
Total Offense C- -2.3 229

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 222 D+ 12.9% 301
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 241 C 4.9% 183
Three Pointers B- 88% 88 B- 0.5% 86
Total C+ 58% 121 C 5.5% 182


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 112 D+ 61% 272 +3.0 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 214 D 42% 316 +0.3 218
Three Pointers 39% 234 A- 30% 22 -3.3 44
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 236 C -0.3 163
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 172
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 129 C- 1.06 241 C 0.31 172
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.6% 349
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 217
Turnovers D- 13.5% 341
Freethrows C 0.31 202 C+ 71% 118 C 0.22 188
Total Defense C- -2.4 253

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 96 D 6.7% 335
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 55 D- 1.5% 342
Three Pointers C 84% 197 D 0.1% 342
Total B 50% 67 D- 3.1% 344

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.7 358 17.0 120
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.05 365 0.18 216
Consistency 0.12 114 0.14 307
Improvement +3.2 53 -1.8 277

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 238 238 238
Results Rating Rank 276 276 276
Conference Record 5 - 9 5 - 9 5 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 01 - 3
Quad 32 - 103 - 13
Quad 45 - 78 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 73 @Akron L 69 - 104 8% -20  1% 0 - 1 F -24 F+ -9 C- F D+ F -12 D- D+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 330 Bucknell W 73 - 63 82% +5  93% 1 - 1 C- -4 D -6 D D+ C C+ +2 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 21 @Kansas L 57 - 76 2% -6  19% 1 - 2 C +1 D- -7 D- C+ D- A- +8 B A A+
 Tue, Nov 18 254 @Iona L 69 - 89 41% -18  1% 1 - 3 F -22 F -13 F F D+ D- -7 F+ D+ D
 Thu, Nov 20 293 Northeastern W 70 - 57 72% +10  97% 2 - 3 C+ +2 F -10 F A+ F A+ +13 A+ B- B
 Mon, Nov 24 111 Bradley L 64 - 88 22% -8  13% 2 - 4 F -20 F+ -10 C B+ F F -11 F A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 25 151 Temple L 75 - 79 31% +1  61% 2 - 5 C- -3 C+ +2 B+ D+ C+ D -6 F A+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 234 Vermont L 74 - 79 49% -7  18% 2 - 6 D -10 B- +4 B C+ A+ F -14 D F D-
 Sun, Nov 30 109 Saint Joseph's L 58 - 60 21% -1  24% 2 - 7 C+ +2 D -5 B- C+ F B+ +7 A F A-
 Wed, Dec 3 171 @Monmouth L 58 - 63 25% -3  11% 2 - 8 C- -2 F -12 C F F A +9 B+ A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 247 @Loyola Chicago L 68 - 73 40% +1  52% 2 - 9 D+ -7 C- -1 D D+ A D- -7 C- F F
 Wed, Dec 10 176 Merrimack L 56 - 59 48% -2  14% 2 - 10 D+ -7 D- -8 F B- B C +0 B A F
 Mon, Dec 22 151 @Temple L 61 - 65 22% -3  13% 2 - 11 C -0 D+ -3 D- D+ C+ B- +2 C B- C
 Tue, Dec 30 234 Vermont W 75 - 69 OT 61% +4  75% 3 - 11 C -2 C- -1 A- F D- C -1 A F C-
 Mon, Jan 5 141 Penn W 78 - 76 39% -1  37% 4 - 11 1 - 0 C +0 B+ +8 A+ F+ B D- -7 A- F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 87 Yale W 76 - 60 22% +2  60% 5 - 11 2 - 0 A +20 B- +4 A- C+ F+ A+ +16 A+ C- D-
 Sat, Jan 17 149 @Harvard L 80 - 87 OT 22% +7  82% 5 - 12 2 - 1 C- -3 A +12 D+ A+ A F -15 D C+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 277 @Dartmouth L 69 - 71 47% +3  71% 5 - 13 2 - 2 D+ -6 C+ +3 C- D+ A+ F+ -9 C F F
 Sat, Jan 24 292 Brown W 63 - 53 71% +1  42% 6 - 13 3 - 2 C -1 D- -8 F D A+ A- +8 A+ F F
 Fri, Jan 30 162 @Cornell L 64 - 87 23% -16  0% 6 - 14 3 - 3 F -20 D- -8 F C D F -15 F F B
 Sat, Jan 31 200 @Columbia W 80 - 68 29% +1  53% 7 - 14 4 - 3 B+ +13 A+ +15 A+ B- C- C -1 B A F
 Sat, Feb 7 141 @Penn L 60 - 61 20% -5  7% 7 - 15 4 - 4 C+ +3 C +0 D D A B- +2 C+ B F
 Fri, Feb 13 162 Cornell L 65 - 89 43% -16  1% 7 - 16 4 - 5 F -27 F -12 F F D+ F -17 F D F
 Sat, Feb 14 200 Columbia L 65 - 75 52% -2  37% 7 - 17 4 - 6 F+ -15 C+ +3 A- C D F -20 F F F
 Fri, Feb 20 292 @Brown L 71 - 80 50% -5  17% 7 - 18 4 - 7 D- -14 B- +4 B- C- D- F -18 F B D
 Fri, Feb 27 149 Harvard L 56 - 58 41% +7  84% 7 - 19 4 - 8 C- -4 F+ -9 A F F B +4 B A- D
 Sat, Feb 28 277 Dartmouth W 82 - 61 69% +13  79% 8 - 19 5 - 8 B +11 B+ +8 A+ F F B +4 A+ B- F
 Sat, Mar 7 87 @Yale L 53 - 78 10% -12  0% 8 - 20 5 - 9 F+ -15 F -19 D- F F B- +2 B- A+ F
Totals 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5 C- -2 F C- C C- -2 C B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D B- C C- 34% 31% 48% C C- D+ D+ D D+ C B- C+ C- D+ D A- C 41% 19% 39% C- C C+ C- C D- C C+ C
1.05 53% 41% 34% -1 0 1.00 27% 1.0 .26 18% .31 75% .23 1.12 61% 42% 30% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .31 14% .31 71% .22
Nov
8		 Akron F+ F C+ B D+ 36% 15% 49% C+ C- D F F D+ B+ F+ B- F D- A+ F D- 40% 11% 49% D D- B- F D+ F D F+ F+
0.89 45% 38% 37% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 19% .32 65% .21 1.35 68% 29% 42% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.5 .44 9% .30 81% .24
Nov
11		 Bucknell D D B+ C D+ 19% 27% 54% F+ D D- B- D+ C A+ F A+ C+ B+ F B- C- 48% 10% 42% F D+ A A+ A+ C- F B F
1.07 56% 46% 35% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 18% .51 66% .34 0.92 48% 60% 30% -5 +2 0.96 18% 0.5 .09 19% .38 71% .27
Nov
15		 Kansas D- F C- F D 14% 24% 63% D D- D- A+ C+ D- B C B A- F A+ A+ B 35% 25% 40% C+ B B+ A+ A A+ F B- F
0.80 29% 33% 25% -14 -2 0.71 19% 1.3 .24 18% .28 69% .19 1.07 88% 17% 26% +1 -1 1.02 28% 0.9 .25 20% .49 75% .37
Nov
18		 Iona F C- B- F F 41% 25% 34% D+ F D F F D+ A F+ B D- F F C- F 36% 15% 49% C- F+ B+ F D+ D F F F
0.89 58% 40% 15% -9 0 0.83 28% 0.5 .13 17% .36 65% .23 1.15 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 16% .41 78% .32
Nov
20		 Northeastern F F F C+ F 35% 27% 38% F+ F B- A+ A+ F A+ B- A+ A+ B A- A+ A+ 52% 14% 34% F+ A+ F+ A+ B- B F+ A D+
1.04 38% 30% 36% -8 -1 0.84 34% 1.5 .50 22% .71 76% .54 0.85 54% 29% 12% -15 +2 0.76 33% 0.8 .26 19% .33 61% .20
Nov
24		 Bradley F+ B A+ F C- 28% 18% 54% B C C+ A+ B+ F A+ F B+ F F C F F 30% 15% 55% D+ F A+ A+ A+ C- C B+ C+
0.92 64% 57% 29% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .38 34% .46 62% .28 1.26 81% 38% 45% +16 0 1.34 14% 0.8 .10 13% .33 70% .23
Nov
25		 Temple C+ C A+ A- A- 24% 22% 55% D B+ F A+ D+ C+ C- D D+ D F F F F 37% 18% 45% C- F A+ C A+ B F A F
1.12 58% 55% 39% +8 -1 1.16 14% 1.8 .24 15% .28 69% .19 1.18 79% 57% 41% +16 0 1.34 8% 1.0 .08 16% .73 68% .50
Nov
26		 Vermont B- A+ C+ C- B+ 21% 25% 55% D B F+ A+ C+ A+ F F F F C F A- D- 38% 21% 40% C+ D F+ F F D- B B- B
1.16 91% 38% 34% +7 -2 1.13 19% 1.6 .30 8% .20 33% .07 1.24 60% 73% 29% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .39 13% .23 69% .16
Nov
30		 Saint Joseph's D F A+ B B 18% 27% 56% D- B- F A+ C+ F F F F B+ D B- A+ A+ 40% 14% 47% C A C+ F F A- C+ C- C+
0.93 38% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.7 .31 21% .14 43% .06 0.96 65% 33% 15% -11 +1 0.81 31% 1.7 .52 21% .26 77% .20
Dec
3		 Monmouth F B- F D- D+ 48% 4% 48% A C F F F F F F+ F A D A+ A+ A- 43% 31% 27% C B+ A+ C+ A+ F+ D F F+
0.86 61% 0% 30% -3 +3 1.02 20% 0.5 .10 28% .19 67% .12 0.94 62% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.88 18% 1.0 .18 13% .33 84% .28
Dec
6		 Loyola Chicago C- D B- F+ D- 30% 13% 57% C+ D C F+ D+ A C- A+ B D- F A+ A+ C- 48% 9% 43% D C- A- F F F F B F
1.06 50% 43% 30% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 8% .27 94% .25 1.14 71% 25% 26% 0 +2 1.07 25% 2.1 .54 14% .47 65% .31
Dec
10		 Merrimack D- F F D+ F 55% 9% 36% A+ F B C B- B A+ A A+ C C- A+ A B+ 43% 14% 43% C B A+ C- A F D- F F
0.97 25% 0% 31% -23 +3 0.61 45% 1.0 .45 17% .44 81% .36 1.02 58% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.89 10% 1.0 .10 9% .38 90% .34
Dec
22		 Temple D+ C F F F 52% 9% 39% A+ D- C- D- D+ C+ C+ B- B- B- B+ F C+ C+ 55% 19% 26% F C C- A B- C A- B- A-
1.02 58% 25% 22% -8 +3 0.91 27% 0.9 .24 15% .31 75% .24 1.09 50% 56% 33% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.8 .24 13% .29 73% .21
Dec
30		 Vermont C- B+ F A+ A- 25% 17% 58% C A- D F F D- C+ A+ B+ C A- B+ A A+ 46% 12% 42% F A F+ F F C- C F D
1.11 67% 13% 46% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.6 .12 16% .34 84% .28 1.03 50% 33% 27% -9 +2 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 15% .28 81% .23
Jan
5		 Penn B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% A A+ F D+ F+ B A+ C A+ D- A+ F C- A+ 52% 24% 24% F A- F F F B+ D F F
1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27 1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36
Jan
10		 Yale B- B- B A A 26% 16% 58% C- A- B- C- C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 25% 46% A A+ C+ D C- D- B+ A+ A+
1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40 0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16
Jan
17		 Harvard A F A+ D+ D 37% 10% 53% B- D+ A+ A A+ A A+ B A+ F B- D+ F D+ 48% 13% 39% F D F A+ C+ F F C- F
1.18 44% 60% 31% -5 +1 0.94 41% 1.3 .51 12% .37 77% .28 1.29 54% 43% 43% +4 +2 1.13 33% 0.7 .23 7% .37 83% .30
Jan
19		 Dartmouth C+ B+ D C C 28% 22% 50% D- C- F A+ D+ A+ F A+ C- F+ F+ A+ D+ C 37% 18% 45% C- C C+ F F F B C B-
1.15 67% 33% 33% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.8 .23 2% .19 100% .19 1.19 67% 11% 36% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 10% .30 75% .22
Jan
24		 Brown D- F D F F 28% 24% 48% D- F D+ F+ D A+ B+ A+ A+ A- A- B+ A+ A+ 39% 29% 33% A+ A+ C- F F F C+ C C+
0.99 31% 36% 27% -13 -1 0.74 28% 0.8 .23 11% .39 100% .39 0.83 47% 29% 6% -20 -1 0.59 30% 1.4 .43 16% .24 69% .17
Jan
30		 Cornell D- D- A+ F F 36% 21% 43% D F A+ F C D F B F+ F F F D+ F 41% 4% 55% D F F+ F F B A+ A A+
1.04 53% 50% 25% -5 0 0.91 43% 0.8 .35 16% .23 75% .17 1.41 90% 100% 37% +18 +2 1.43 36% 1.4 .50 20% .18 67% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Columbia A+ C- B- A+ A+ 51% 16% 33% B+ A+ D+ A+ B- C- A B- A C B D- B B+ 49% 14% 37% D B F A+ A F D A+ A
1.29 57% 43% 53% +10 +2 1.24 25% 1.3 .33 15% .40 76% .30 1.10 52% 43% 32% -4 +2 0.98 43% 0.6 .24 10% .30 41% .12
Feb
7		 Penn C D- A F D- 49% 17% 34% B D C- F D A B+ D+ B B- D+ B- C C+ 37% 33% 30% B C+ D+ A+ B F B- B B
1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19 1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19
Feb
13		 Cornell F F C+ B F 53% 11% 36% B+ F D F F D+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F F 42% 4% 54% D- F D- C+ D F A F B+
1.03 42% 40% 38% -7 +2 0.93 27% 0.6 .15 16% .45 88% .39 1.41 64% 50% 46% +13 +2 1.33 36% 1.1 .39 13% .20 82% .16
Feb
14		 Columbia C+ A+ A+ F A 43% 30% 27% D A- B+ F C D B+ D+ B- F C+ F F F 43% 10% 48% D F A F F F F A+ C+
1.15 74% 54% 25% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.8 .27 16% .36 71% .25 1.33 56% 50% 50% +12 +2 1.29 29% 1.6 .46 9% .39 45% .18
Feb
20		 Brown B- D- A A B- 33% 14% 53% C+ B- A- F C- D- A+ C+ A+ F F F F F 48% 14% 39% D F A F+ B D F B F
1.11 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.09 40% 0.7 .29 20% .57 76% .43 1.25 81% 50% 41% +17 +2 1.39 21% 1.2 .25 19% .38 65% .25
Feb
27		 Harvard F+ C- A+ A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C- A F F F F F A+ F B C F A+ B- 26% 26% 49% A B F A+ A- D C+ A B
0.93 55% 60% 45% +8 0 1.20 15% 0.7 .10 25% .13 83% .11 0.97 58% 58% 26% -1 -2 0.98 35% 0.4 .15 17% .22 73% .16
Feb
28		 Dartmouth B+ B- B- A+ A+ 36% 27% 36% F+ A+ C- F F F A+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ A+ 24% 18% 57% B A+ C+ B B- F F D+ F
1.27 63% 42% 69% +22 -1 1.43 27% 0.1 .04 17% .43 83% .35 0.94 42% 33% 25% -13 -1 0.76 23% 1.0 .23 12% .46 77% .35
Mar
7		 Yale F A+ F F D- 19% 23% 58% F+ D- F F F F D+ F+ D B- F C+ A+ B- 45% 20% 35% C- B- B A+ A+ F F C+ F
0.80 89% 27% 25% -5 -2 0.90 15% 0.4 .06 21% .23 67% .15 1.17 70% 40% 28% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.5 .15 11% .40 75% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 100.0
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%