Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +5.1 100
Results Rating +5.4 99
Consistency 0.17 285
Pace 70.6 115
Improvement -2.7 276

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 120 B- B+ F+ C- A-
Defense B- 89 C+ C B+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 50% 1 C+ 61% 111 +7.8 7
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 245 D+ 36% 264 -2.8 312
Three Pointers 36% 286 C+ 35% 142 -2.2 253
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- +1.6 17 C+ +1.1 126
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 90
Second Chance B+ 36.0% 38 B- 1.09 92 B+ 0.39 39
Opponents' Steals F 12.4% 357
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 244
Turnovers F+ 20.1% 346
Freethrows C 0.30 190 D- 68% 326 C- 0.21 236
Total Offense C+ +2.0 120

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A 64% 8 C+ 10.1% 136
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 46% 7 B+ 2.5% 24
Three Pointers B+ 92% 19 D 1.5% 322
Total A 70% 7 C- 5.9% 225


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 89 B- 54% 75 +0.5 199
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 193 C 38% 178 -0.3 166
Three Pointers 38% 273 C 34% 205 -1.4 121
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 232 C+ -1.5 118
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 137
Second Chance C 29.8% 163 C- 1.06 238 C 0.32 201
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.8% 10
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 188
Turnovers B+ 19.9% 28
Freethrows D+ 0.34 292 C 72% 169 D+ 0.24 279
Total Defense B- +3.1 89

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 286 B+ 15.6% 40
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 268 B- 6.7% 73
Three Pointers D+ 86% 266 B- 1.5% 63
Total D+ 59% 263 A- 8.5% 21

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 129 17.2 155
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 117 0.16 149
Consistency 0.11 62 0.16 357
Improvement -1.0 246 -1.6 271

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 100 100 100
Results Rating Rank 99 99 99
Conference Record 14 - 4 14 - 4 14 - 4
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 312 - 212 - 6
Quad 410 - 222 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 64 @Boise St. L 77 - 101 25% -12  0% 0 - 1 D- -12 C +2 C A F F -12 F F F+
 Sat, Nov 15 133 @Fresno St. L 74 - 75 51% +4  87% 0 - 2 C+ +4 C+ +2 B+ B- D- C+ +1 F B- A+
 Wed, Nov 19 110 UC Irvine W 79 - 72 67% +6  93% 1 - 2 B- +8 B+ +8 A A- B C -1 A D D
 Tue, Nov 25 217 South Dakota St. W 75 - 52 78% +10  98% 2 - 2 A +20 D+ -3 C- A+ F A+ +22 A+ B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 207 Samford W 89 - 45 76% +23  89% 3 - 2 A+ +42 B +7 A B+ F A+ +33 A+ B+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 51 @San Diego St. L 66 - 77 19% -6  11% 3 - 3 C+ +3 C +0 B+ B- F B- +3 B+ D- B
 Sat, Dec 6 167 @Bowling Green W 82 - 71 59% +10  90% 4 - 3 B+ +14 B+ +8 A+ C+ F B+ +6 A- F+ B-
 Wed, Dec 10 265 Idaho St. W 73 - 69 90% -1  56% 5 - 3 C- -5 D- -8 C- C F B- +3 C A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 13 144 UC Santa Barbara W 68 - 53 66% +12  95% 6 - 3 A- +16 D- -6 D C F A+ +23 A+ C+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 210 Weber St. W 90 - 74 84% +9  97% 7 - 3 B +10 A+ +15 A+ A+ F D+ -4 B+ F D
 Mon, Dec 29 112 California Baptist W 73 - 66 68% +0  37% 8 - 3 1 - 0 B- +7 C +0 A F A B+ +7 F A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 1 229 @Tarleton St. W 91 - 85 72% +2  66% 9 - 3 2 - 0 B- +5 A- +10 B+ C+ C- D -5 C+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 249 @Abilene Christian L 68 - 85 76% -5  21% 9 - 4 2 - 1 F -19 D -5 C B+ F F -15 F C+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 262 Southern Utah W 89 - 72 89% +10  98% 10 - 4 3 - 1 B +8 B- +5 B+ A F B- +3 C+ C- C
 Sat, Jan 10 198 Utah Tech W 92 - 76 83% +7  77% 11 - 4 4 - 1 B +11 B- +4 C A D- B+ +5 B F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 170 Texas Arlington W 86 - 74 79% +14  99% 12 - 4 5 - 1 B +9 A +14 B A+ C+ D -6 B F B-
 Wed, Jan 21 262 @Southern Utah L 70 - 84 77% -4  15% 12 - 5 5 - 2 F+ -17 D- -8 F B- C- F+ -8 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 112 @California Baptist L 71 - 78 OT 45% -0  37% 12 - 6 5 - 3 C -1 D+ -4 D- D+ D- B- +3 D- A- A
 Thu, Jan 29 229 @Tarleton St. W 83 - 55 72% +4  51% 13 - 6 6 - 3 A+ +27 B +7 B+ A+ F A+ +19 A+ C+ A+
 Thu, Feb 5 249 Abilene Christian W 68 - 55 89% +7  71% 14 - 6 7 - 3 C+ +5 D- -7 F+ A+ F A+ +12 D A A+
 Sat, Feb 7 170 Texas Arlington W 81 - 60 79% +9  80% 15 - 6 8 - 3 A- +18 A+ +24 A+ A+ C- C- -2 F A A
 Thu, Feb 12 198 @Utah Tech L 77 - 81 66% -10  0% 15 - 7 8 - 4 C- -3 C+ +3 A F F D -6 F+ F B-
 Thu, Feb 19 112 California Baptist W 65 - 46 68% +10  98% 16 - 7 9 - 4 A +19 D+ -2 C B- D- A+ +23 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 170 @Texas Arlington W 66 - 54 60% -0  40% 17 - 7 10 - 4 B+ +15 C -0 F A+ D+ A+ +15 B A+ A
 Thu, Feb 26 229 Tarleton St. W 79 - 72 87% +5  85% 18 - 7 11 - 4 C +0 C+ +3 C F+ A+ C- -3 D+ B- D-
 Sat, Feb 28 249 Abilene Christian W 74 - 67 89% +2  68% 19 - 7 12 - 4 C -1 C- -2 A F D C+ +0 B+ F A+
 Thu, Mar 5 262 @Southern Utah W 92 - 88 77% +11  98% 20 - 7 13 - 4 C +1 A +13 B B+ A- F -12 F F C
 Sat, Mar 7 198 @Utah Tech W 104 - 101 2OT 66% +4  73% 21 - 7 14 - 4 C+ +4 B+ +9 C+ A+ D+ D -5 B- F D
 Fri, Mar 13 170 Texas Arlington W 67 - 65 70% +5  90% 22 - 7 C +2 B- +4 B B- F C- -2 F A- D
 Sat, Mar 14 112 California Baptist L 61 - 63 57% -1  28% 22 - 8 C +1 D -6 C- A+ F A- +7 B- F B
Totals 22 - 8 14 - 4 +5 C+ +2 F C+ A- B- +3 C+ D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C+ D+ C+ C+ 50% 32% 36% A- B- B+ B- B+ F+ C D- C- B- B- C C C+ 42% 20% 38% C- C+ C C- C B+ D+ C D+
1.11 61% 36% 35% +1 +2 1.08 36% 1.1 .39 20% .30 68% .21 1.04 54% 38% 34% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.1 .32 20% .34 72% .22
Nov
8		 Boise St. C A B+ F C- 45% 22% 33% B+ C C+ A+ A F A+ A+ A+ F F A D- F 51% 14% 35% D F C- F F F+ F C F
1.03 70% 45% 18% -1 0 1.00 22% 1.7 .37 21% .41 79% .32 1.35 73% 29% 39% +9 +2 1.24 37% 1.4 .50 12% .52 79% .41
Nov
15		 Fresno St. C+ C- D A- B 50% 14% 36% A- B+ D- A+ B- D- A+ F A+ C+ D F F F 45% 18% 36% D F A+ F B- A+ F A F
1.04 59% 33% 38% +2 +2 1.09 22% 1.6 .34 21% .50 54% .27 1.06 65% 50% 44% +11 +1 1.25 12% 2.0 .24 24% .41 68% .28
Nov
19		 UC Irvine B+ A- F C B+ 71% 10% 18% A+ A B A- A- B A+ F C+ C B B- A+ A 34% 32% 34% B+ A B- F D D D- F F
1.12 60% 20% 33% -1 +4 1.08 38% 1.1 .41 16% .42 44% .19 1.02 50% 35% 22% -10 -2 0.79 29% 1.3 .39 16% .35 76% .27
Nov
25		 South Dakota St. D+ D+ F B D+ 48% 14% 38% B+ C- A+ B+ A+ F F A F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 16% 50% C- A+ D- A+ B+ A+ F+ D F+
1.07 54% 29% 37% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .48 23% .20 82% .17 0.74 40% 71% 18% -13 0 0.77 34% 0.7 .24 30% .33 75% .25
Nov
26		 Samford B B+ C- A B 64% 14% 21% A+ A B+ B- B+ F D B+ D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 34% 21% 45% C A+ F+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.21 64% 38% 42% +6 +3 1.20 32% 1.2 .39 18% .25 80% .20 0.61 22% 27% 25% -21 0 0.60 30% 0.6 .18 22% .21 42% .09
Dec
3		 San Diego St. C A F B+ B+ 31% 16% 53% B- B+ B C+ B- F C- D- D+ B- D+ A- C- B 35% 35% 29% B+ B+ D- D+ D- B F D F
0.94 64% 0% 38% -1 0 1.00 32% 1.0 .32 27% .29 67% .20 1.10 65% 29% 36% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 19% .49 79% .38
Dec
6		 Bowling Green B+ A+ A+ B A+ 52% 8% 40% A A+ B+ D- C+ F D- F+ D- B+ F B+ A+ A- 43% 19% 39% B- A- D+ F F+ B- D+ A C+
1.14 76% 75% 37% +14 +3 1.35 35% 0.9 .31 24% .27 67% .18 0.99 74% 30% 14% -6 +1 0.91 30% 1.1 .33 18% .34 65% .22
Dec
10		 Idaho St. D- A+ C F D+ 44% 16% 40% B- C- A+ F C F C B+ C+ B- A F F+ C 45% 10% 45% F+ C A+ A+ A+ B- C B- C+
1.06 75% 43% 22% +1 +1 1.07 41% 0.8 .31 25% .33 82% .27 1.01 43% 60% 39% -1 +2 1.04 24% 0.8 .18 19% .31 71% .22
Dec
13		 UC Santa Barbara D- F A+ C F+ 45% 11% 45% A- D A- F C F C A- C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 57% 22% 22% D- A+ C C+ C+ A+ C+ F C-
1.01 43% 60% 33% -5 +2 0.96 35% 0.8 .30 22% .34 78% .27 0.78 35% 30% 20% -20 +1 0.65 31% 1.0 .31 28% .29 86% .25
Dec
17		 Weber St. A+ B A+ A+ A 47% 9% 45% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F C B C+ D+ B- A+ C+ A 60% 16% 24% D- B+ F C- F D D A- C-
1.37 68% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.30 50% 1.4 .69 20% .32 76% .25 1.13 53% 13% 33% -7 +2 0.92 42% 1.0 .42 14% .37 67% .25
Dec
29		 California Baptist C A C+ D+ A 57% 19% 24% A- A F F F A C F F B+ F F B+ F 53% 23% 25% C- F A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.04 68% 40% 31% +5 +2 1.15 9% 0.7 .06 11% .32 45% .14 0.94 67% 67% 30% +9 +1 1.23 28% 0.0 .00 33% .42 85% .36
Jan
1		 Tarleton St. A- B+ D- B B- 59% 7% 35% A+ B+ B D C+ C- A+ C+ A+ D A- F B+ B- 47% 22% 31% F+ C+ A- F D+ F F F F
1.20 67% 33% 38% +7 +3 1.22 38% 1.0 .38 22% .61 75% .46 1.12 46% 50% 29% -5 0 0.93 26% 1.3 .33 12% .48 88% .42
Jan
3		 Abilene Christian D C D B C- 49% 7% 44% A- C B- A- B+ F F B F F C- F F F 51% 29% 20% C- F C+ C C+ F A+ F B+
0.98 60% 33% 39% +4 +2 1.15 31% 1.3 .38 32% .34 75% .25 1.23 57% 56% 45% +8 0 1.18 30% 0.9 .27 14% .22 92% .20
Jan
8		 Southern Utah B- A- F A+ B+ 52% 19% 30% B+ B+ A+ D+ A F C+ F C- B- A+ A+ F C+ 40% 19% 42% C- C+ B F C- C F+ A+ C
1.22 68% 30% 44% +8 +1 1.20 46% 0.9 .43 21% .28 63% .17 0.99 43% 20% 45% -2 0 0.98 26% 1.2 .31 19% .32 58% .19
Jan
10		 Utah Tech B- C- A+ F+ C- 54% 13% 33% B+ C C A+ A D- A+ A+ A+ B+ B+ C- C- B+ 49% 21% 30% C- B C- F F+ A+ F F F
1.20 59% 57% 28% 0 +2 1.06 31% 1.5 .47 18% .43 89% .38 0.99 52% 40% 36% -2 +1 1.00 29% 1.2 .35 25% .35 90% .31
Jan
17		 Texas Arlington A B C+ C- B+ 44% 30% 26% C B A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F B D C+ A- A+ B 41% 22% 37% B- B F F F B- F D F
1.24 64% 40% 31% +2 -1 1.04 45% 1.6 .73 16% .48 61% .29 1.07 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.83 42% 1.4 .58 22% .48 77% .37
Jan
21		 Southern Utah D- F+ F F F 48% 13% 39% A- F B+ C- B- C- A- F C+ F+ C A- F F 36% 23% 40% B- F F D F A F F F
0.99 48% 14% 23% -14 +2 0.77 37% 0.9 .35 14% .33 60% .20 1.19 59% 27% 53% +9 -1 1.19 39% 1.1 .43 24% .35 84% .30
Jan
24		 California Baptist D+ D+ A+ F F 58% 11% 30% A+ D- B F D+ D- A+ C A+ B- C+ A- F D- 50% 22% 28% C D- A B- A- A F C+ F
0.93 52% 50% 13% -12 +3 0.83 30% 0.7 .21 18% .52 72% .37 1.03 52% 30% 46% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 22% .53 71% .37
Jan
29		 Tarleton St. B C D+ A+ B+ 51% 18% 31% B+ B+ A A+ A+ F F A+ C A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 37% 30% 33% B- A+ C C+ C+ A+ F A- F
1.15 61% 38% 50% +9 +1 1.22 43% 1.5 .65 28% .31 94% .29 0.76 25% 15% 36% -18 -1 0.63 32% 0.9 .29 26% .55 69% .38
Feb
5		 Abilene Christian D- C+ F F F 62% 11% 28% A F+ A A A+ F C- F F A+ A+ A+ F D- 34% 27% 39% B D C A+ A A+ B- A+ A+
0.99 62% 20% 23% -4 +3 1.00 37% 1.3 .47 29% .43 52% .23 0.80 40% 25% 53% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.5 .15 29% .31 47% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Texas Arlington A+ F A+ A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% A- A+ A+ B+ A+ C- A A+ A+ C- C- F A+ F 55% 24% 21% C- F C- A+ A A F B+ F
1.38 47% 60% 52% +13 +1 1.29 42% 1.2 .50 17% .45 91% .41 1.02 56% 88% 14% +4 +1 1.12 36% 0.6 .23 25% .64 68% .43
Feb
12		 Utah Tech C+ A+ A+ D A 53% 12% 35% B+ A B F F F C+ F C- D C+ F F F+ 47% 20% 33% D+ F+ F F F B- D- A+ C-
1.14 77% 50% 29% +9 +2 1.24 38% 0.5 .19 22% .30 63% .19 1.20 58% 60% 41% +8 +1 1.20 37% 1.3 .47 18% .29 63% .18
Feb
19		 California Baptist D+ B- F D+ C 50% 23% 27% B- C A+ F B- D- D+ D D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 50% 17% 33% D+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A F+ A-
0.99 58% 27% 31% -4 +1 0.96 40% 0.7 .29 18% .30 69% .21 0.70 39% 25% 27% -15 +1 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 31% .20 78% .15
Feb
21		 Texas Arlington C F+ F F F 60% 18% 22% A+ F A+ F+ A+ D+ B+ F C- A+ B+ A- A- B 46% 22% 33% C+ B B A+ A+ A F A+ F
0.99 48% 25% 10% -16 +2 0.73 51% 0.9 .47 18% .40 59% .24 0.81 48% 30% 27% -10 0 0.83 31% 0.5 .14 26% .54 59% .32
Feb
26		 Tarleton St. C+ B- B- F D+ 56% 15% 29% A C D F F+ A+ A- F+ B- C- B+ A F C- 49% 25% 25% D D+ D A+ B- D- B+ A+ A
1.14 63% 43% 29% +1 +2 1.08 28% 0.9 .25 13% .46 68% .31 1.04 48% 29% 50% -1 0 1.00 36% 0.7 .26 16% .27 63% .17
Feb
28		 Abilene Christian C- A D A+ A 50% 14% 36% B- A F+ F F D B F D C+ A+ B B- A 48% 14% 38% F B+ C F F A+ F F F
1.07 71% 33% 47% +13 +2 1.31 19% 0.8 .15 25% .48 60% .29 0.97 40% 33% 31% -11 +1 0.83 30% 1.4 .42 26% .57 83% .47
Mar
5		 Southern Utah A B+ B+ B- B 49% 21% 30% B- B B B B+ A- A+ C A+ F F D F F 51% 11% 38% F F A- F F C F A+ F
1.29 65% 45% 38% +7 +1 1.17 35% 1.1 .39 10% .48 71% .34 1.23 74% 40% 47% +16 +2 1.38 24% 1.7 .40 20% .47 59% .28
Mar
7		 Utah Tech B+ D- F A+ C+ 43% 13% 43% B- C+ C+ A+ A+ D+ A C+ A- D C+ F A B 43% 10% 47% F+ B- D- F F D F C- F
1.22 54% 25% 42% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.6 .55 16% .37 73% .27 1.19 58% 67% 29% -1 +2 1.03 33% 1.2 .38 14% .55 75% .41
Mar
13		 Texas Arlington B- D+ A+ C B 32% 22% 46% C+ B B- C+ B- F A+ F A C- F A- B F 58% 25% 18% C- F A B- A- D F A- F+
1.07 54% 56% 32% +1 -1 1.02 31% 1.1 .34 21% .53 62% .32 1.04 65% 30% 29% +1 +1 1.05 27% 0.9 .24 18% .47 67% .31
Mar
14		 California Baptist D F+ C+ A+ D+ 63% 22% 15% A- C- C A+ A+ F A+ F B A- A+ A D- B 43% 14% 43% D+ B- A F F B A F B-
0.92 45% 40% 43% -6 +2 0.93 26% 1.8 .47 21% .46 58% .27 0.95 38% 29% 38% -7 +1 0.90 29% 2.2 .65 20% .21 91% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%