Pre-tourney Rankings
Yale
Ivy League
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +6.5 87
Results Rating +7.0 85
Consistency 0.17 294
Pace 62.7 327
Improvement -3.2 293

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 49 B B B- B- C+
Defense C 193 C C D+ B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 97 C 58% 164 +1.9 108
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 169 B+ 44% 37 +1.0 126
Three Pointers 38% 233 A 40% 8 +2.0 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 147 B +4.5 48
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 52
Second Chance B- 33.0% 99 B+ 1.15 41 B 0.38 53
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 93
Other Turnovers B- 6.5% 98
Turnovers B- 15.0% 82
Freethrows C+ 0.31 154 B 76% 38 B- 0.24 110
Total Offense B+ +7.1 49

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 135 C+ 10.3% 150
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 95 D+ 6.7% 293
Three Pointers B 90% 55 B- 0.6% 108
Total B- 59% 96 C- 5.9% 219


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 266 C- 60% 237 -0.7 148
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 186 C 38% 165 -0.2 170
Three Pointers 44% 87 C+ 33% 134 +0.9 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 139 C +0.1 185
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 171
Second Chance C+ 29.4% 147 C- 1.05 210 C 0.31 177
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.8% 344
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 66
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 280
Freethrows B 0.25 36 C 73% 221 B 0.18 50
Total Defense C -0.6 193

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 37 C- 9.9% 212
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 61 D 2.7% 307
Three Pointers B- 81% 89 D+ 0.4% 282
Total B 50% 57 D+ 4.3% 283

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 261 18.1 299
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 317 0.17 161
Consistency 0.13 210 0.15 348
Improvement -5.4 353 +2.2 87

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 87 87 87
Results Rating Rank 85 85 85
Conference Record 11 - 3 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 312 - 313 - 4
Quad 49 - 222 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 157 @Navy W 97 - 68 62% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +18 A A+ A A+ +12 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 220 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 74% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +37 A+ +22 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 228 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 89% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +0 A+ +16 A B C+ F -15 F F+ B-
 Tue, Nov 18 136 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 78% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -11 B+ +8 C A+ B- F -19 F D- D-
 Fri, Nov 21 215 Green Bay W 73 - 67 82% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +2 C+ B- D+ C+ +1 A+ F D
 Sun, Nov 23 163 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 73% +9  99% 5 - 1 B +11 B- +5 A- D B B+ +7 B A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 73 Akron W 97 - 94 43% +6  91% 6 - 1 B +11 A+ +30 A+ A A+ F -18 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 234 @Vermont W 77 - 74 78% +3  66% 7 - 1 C +1 A- +11 C+ C+ A+ F+ -9 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 107 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 70% +4  58% 8 - 1 A- +15 A +12 D- A+ A+ B +4 A+ A F
 Wed, Dec 10 323 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +1 B +7 B- D+ C+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 17 @Alabama L 78 - 102 9% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 C+ A+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 292 @Brown W 70 - 53 85% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +12 D+ -3 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 238 @Princeton L 60 - 76 78% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F+ -18 F -12 F B+ B- D- -7 F D- C+
 Sat, Jan 17 162 Cornell W 102 - 68 81% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +17 A+ A A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 200 Columbia W 91 - 74 86% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +21 A+ A+ B- D- -7 B- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 141 @Penn W 77 - 60 59% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +21 B+ +9 C+ B+ D A+ +12 B B+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 277 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 93% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +5 A- +10 A+ C+ D+ D+ -4 C- B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 149 Harvard L 65 - 67 80% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 C- -4 B- +5 B- D A+ F+ -9 D- A- F
 Fri, Feb 6 292 Brown W 81 - 69 94% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C +1 A- +10 A+ F C+ D- -8 C- C F
 Mon, Feb 9 193 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 70% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +7 A +13 C A+ D D -6 D- D F
 Fri, Feb 13 277 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 83% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +9 B+ +8 A- C A+ C+ +2 C+ F A
 Sat, Feb 14 149 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 61% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +5 A- +10 D+ A+ C+ D -5 C C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 141 Penn W 74 - 70 79% -2  43% 19 - 4 9 - 2 C+ +2 C+ +3 D- B+ B C -1 C- A- D-
 Fri, Feb 27 162 @Cornell L 69 - 72 63% -7  0% 19 - 5 9 - 3 C +0 D -6 C+ F B- B+ +6 C- D- B-
 Sat, Feb 28 200 @Columbia W 60 - 54 71% +7  99% 20 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 D -6 A+ F F A+ +14 A+ B- B
 Sat, Mar 7 238 Princeton W 78 - 53 90% +12  96% 21 - 5 11 - 3 A- +17 C+ +3 B- F B+ A+ +16 B+ A+ B+
 Sat, Mar 14 162 Cornell W 88 - 76 73% +6  99% 22 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +19 A- A+ B D -5 B+ F+ F
 Sun, Mar 15 141 Penn L 84 - 88 OT 70% +1  55% 22 - 6 C- -3 B+ +8 C- B- A F -11 D F B-
Totals 22 - 6 11 - 3 +7 B+ +7 D+ B C+ C -1 A B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C B+ A B 42% 39% 38% C+ B B- B+ B B- C+ B B- C C- C C+ C 36% 20% 44% C C C+ C- C D+ B C B
1.19 58% 44% 40% +5 0 1.12 33% 1.1 .38 15% .31 76% .24 1.09 60% 38% 33% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .31 15% .25 73% .23
Nov
7		 Navy A+ C- D A+ A- 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% C+ C+ A+ D- A- A+ F D+ F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11		 Quinnipiac A+ B A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B- A+ A+ A A+ D+ D- A- D+ A+ F A A+ B+ 35% 23% 42% C+ B D B C A+ A+ B+ A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Stony Brook A+ C- D+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C- A A- C- B C+ A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ B- F C+ D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18		 Rhode Island B+ D+ A- D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C A A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D F F C+ D- D- C- D+ D+
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C+ C- A+ B- D+ B- C- C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B A+ F F F D F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23		 College of Charleston B- D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C A- D+ D D B A F B B+ C+ A A A- 42% 17% 42% D- B C+ A+ A+ D F A D
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24		 Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ A- A A A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F D+ F F C+ A A A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30		 Vermont A- B- B D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C+ D+ A+ C+ A+ B+ B A- F+ F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C+ F F A+ C B- F F+ F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7		 Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D- 35% 27% 38% D D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B A+ C A+ A F B- F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10		 Albany B B- F B C 60% 10% 31% A B- B F D+ C+ A+ C+ A+ D- C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A+ F F+ A+ B+
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29		 Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B+ C+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F B- D+ D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B F F A B- A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5		 Brown D+ D+ A+ D+ C 47% 19% 34% B- C+ D+ A+ B- F+ B- F D A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C A+ C+ A B+ D A A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10		 Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- A- B+ B- D F F D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% C+ F D- C- D- C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17		 Cornell A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ D- D- F+ A+ A A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B A+ A+ F B C B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19		 Columbia A+ C C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ C+ 37% 24% 39% A B- B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24		 Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B+ C+ A C- B+ D B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A- B B+ C C A+ B-
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30		 Dartmouth A- A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ D D+ C+ F C- D+ 33% 16% 51% C- C- D A+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31		 Harvard B- F A A+ C+ 48% 13% 40% B B- C- D- D A+ D A+ C- F+ D- B- F F 36% 26% 38% B+ D- B A+ A- F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6		 Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A D- C+ A+ C- C- 44% 11% 44% D C- A+ F C F A+ F B
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9		 Howard A C C- D C 49% 13% 38% B- C A+ A- A+ D A+ B- A+ D A+ F F D- 47% 16% 37% D+ D- A F D F B B+ B+
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Dartmouth B+ C+ B+ A+ A- 58% 17% 25% B+ A- F A+ C A+ A- F B- C+ D+ A+ C+ B 47% 16% 37% D- C+ C F F A A F B+
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14		 Harvard A- F F+ A C- 32% 25% 43% F+ D+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D F D A+ D+ 37% 28% 35% A- C B D C+ F A+ F+ A
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12
Feb
21		 Penn C+ C- A+ F D 27% 29% 44% F D- C A+ B+ B A- A+ A+ C A- B+ F C- 39% 25% 35% C- C- B+ A A- D- A C- A-
1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25 1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17
Feb
27		 Cornell D B- D- B- C 53% 11% 36% B+ C+ F+ F F B- F F F B+ C- F F+ C- 29% 4% 67% C C- B F D- B- A A+ A+
1.07 64% 33% 37% +4 +2 1.15 23% 0.4 .10 12% .18 60% .11 1.12 62% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.20 28% 1.5 .41 19% .19 60% .11
Feb
28		 Columbia D A+ A+ C A+ 47% 19% 33% B- A+ F F F F B+ D+ B A+ D A+ A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% C A+ C- B+ B- B A- F C+
0.99 76% 57% 33% +12 +1 1.28 19% 0.5 .10 23% .36 71% .26 0.89 63% 14% 16% -13 +1 0.78 37% 0.8 .31 23% .19 89% .17
Mar
7		 Princeton C+ A- C F+ B- 45% 20% 35% C+ B- C F F B+ A B A+ A+ F A+ A+ B 19% 23% 58% A B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A A A
1.17 70% 40% 28% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.5 .15 11% .40 75% .30 0.80 89% 27% 25% -5 -2 0.90 15% 0.4 .06 21% .23 67% .15
Mar
14		 Cornell A+ A B+ A+ A 38% 19% 44% D+ A- A+ B A+ B F+ F F D D- A- A A 42% 6% 53% D B+ F A F+ F A+ A+ A+
1.45 72% 44% 43% +12 0 1.27 52% 1.2 .61 12% .26 57% .15 1.25 68% 33% 29% 0 +2 1.06 46% 0.9 .44 10% .15 63% .09
Mar
15		 Penn B+ C D C+ C 39% 25% 37% D+ C- A- D+ B- A C+ A+ B+ F B- A+ F D 33% 24% 43% C D C- F F B- B+ F D-
1.16 59% 36% 33% -1 0 1.00 40% 0.8 .33 12% .27 76% .21 1.22 50% 15% 52% +3 -1 1.07 31% 1.3 .40 18% .27 100% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.6 100.0 0.0%