Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
9 Connecticut 100.0%   2   29 - 5 17 - 3 +19.6      +9.5 27 +10.1 12 63.0 320 +22.3 5 +20.1 2
13 St. John's 100.0%   4   28 - 6 18 - 2 +18.9      +7.8 41 +11.1 8 73.3 56 +19.4 15 +23.0 1
38 Villanova 98.2%   9   24 - 8 15 - 5 +13.7      +7.5 45 +6.2 37 63.8 305 +16.1 27 +17.1 3
52 Seton Hall 21.8%   21 - 12 10 - 10 +11.1      +1.1 140 +10.0 14 64.0 299 +11.4 50 +10.2 4
69 Providence 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 13 +8.7      +8.3 35 +0.3 161 76.4 18 +7.0 84 +6.6 9
71 Creighton 0.0%   15 - 17 9 - 11 +8.5      +5.3 69 +3.2 88 68.3 185 +8.0 75 +9.2 5
72 Georgetown 0.0%   16 - 18 6 - 14 +8.3      +4.0 86 +4.3 69 66.3 240 +7.5 81 +5.2 11
76 Marquette 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 13 +8.0      +2.5 108 +5.5 44 71.8 90 +4.5 107 +6.6 8
83 Butler 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 13 +7.1      +5.0 74 +2.1 118 71.3 103 +7.9 76 +6.8 7
88 Xavier 0.0%   15 - 18 6 - 14 +6.3      +6.1 58 +0.2 166 74.3 36 +7.4 83 +5.4 10
93 DePaul 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 12 +5.7      -0.9 189 +6.6 33 66.4 233 +6.7 89 +8.2 6


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 12 71 Creighton 61 52 Seton Hall 72   
Thu, Mar 12 72 Georgetown 78 38 Villanova 64   
Thu, Mar 12 69 Providence 72 13 St. John's 85   
Thu, Mar 12 9 Connecticut 93 88 Xavier 68   
Fri, Mar 13 72 Georgetown 51 9 Connecticut 67   
Fri, Mar 13 52 Seton Hall 68 13 St. John's 78   
Sat, Mar 14 13 St. John's 72 9 Connecticut 52   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
St. John's 1.0 100.0
Connecticut 2.0 100.0
Villanova 3.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.0 100.0
Creighton 5.0 100.0
DePaul 6.0 100.0
Providence 7.0 100.0
Butler 7.0 100.0
Marquette 7.0 100.0
Xavier 10.0 100.0
Georgetown 10.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
St. John's 18 - 2 28 - 6 100.0
Connecticut 17 - 3 29 - 5 100.0
Villanova 15 - 5 24 - 8 100.0
Seton Hall 10 - 10 21 - 12 100.0
Creighton 9 - 11 15 - 17 100.0
DePaul 8 - 12 16 - 16 100.0
Providence 7 - 13 15 - 18 100.0
Butler 7 - 13 16 - 16 100.0
Marquette 7 - 13 12 - 20 100.0
Xavier 6 - 14 15 - 18 100.0
Georgetown 6 - 14 16 - 18 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. John's 100.0% 100.0
Connecticut
Villanova
Seton Hall
Creighton
DePaul
Providence
Butler
Marquette
Xavier
Georgetown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   11.1 49.0 28.4 10.5 1.0 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4   0.8 8.8 22.7 35.8 25.9 5.8 0.2
Villanova 98.2% 0.0% 98.2% 9   0.1 2.8 14.2 34.0 36.7 10.0 0.3 1.8 98.2%
Seton Hall 21.8% 0.0% 21.8% 0.1 2.2 18.3 1.3 78.2 21.8%
Providence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Creighton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Xavier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.2 1.3 77.4 21.3
1st Round 100.0% 3.1 1.5 85.2 13.3
2nd Round 99.9% 2.4 0.1 5.3 50.6 42.5 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 85.4% 1.3 14.6 46.6 36.2 2.6 0.0
Elite Eight 48.9% 0.6 51.1 41.7 7.0 0.1
Final Four 21.1% 0.2 78.9 20.3 0.8 0.0
Final Game 7.7% 0.1 92.3 7.6 0.1
Champion 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.3% 65.4% 33.6% 13.2% 4.8% 1.7%
St. John's 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.7% 53.3% 20.0% 8.0% 2.8% 0.9%
Villanova 98.2% 0.1% 98.2% 47.3% 7.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 21.8% 17.7% 13.6% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Creighton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%