Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
1 Connecticut 100.0%   1   31 - 3 18 - 2 32 - 3 18 - 2 +22.7      +14.3 1 +8.3 11 63.1 323 +23.9 1 +23.3 1
11 Creighton 100.0%   3   23 - 9 14 - 6 24 - 9 14 - 6 +16.4      +9.8 12 +6.6 24 67.5 211 +15.0 14 +16.0 3
12 Marquette 100.0%   2   25 - 9 14 - 6 26 - 9 14 - 6 +16.3      +8.8 19 +7.5 17 71.5 91 +17.2 5 +16.0 2
25 St. John's 63.7%   10   20 - 13 11 - 9 20 - 13 11 - 9 +13.1      +8.8 20 +4.3 58 71.9 84 +10.9 52 +11.8 5
35 Villanova 20.3%   18 - 15 10 - 10 18 - 15 10 - 10 +11.8      +3.7 86 +8.1 14 60.6 350 +9.6 64 +10.4 7
50 Providence 31.1%   21 - 13 10 - 10 21 - 13 10 - 10 +10.3      +2.7 104 +7.6 16 68.7 164 +11.4 45 +10.6 6
57 Xavier 0.0%   16 - 17 9 - 11 16 - 17 9 - 11 +9.5      +4.8 66 +4.6 47 76.0 28 +8.4 72 +9.2 9
58 Seton Hall 40.8%   20 - 12 13 - 7 20 - 12 13 - 7 +9.4      +4.2 77 +5.2 37 65.8 260 +11.7 38 +15.3 4
63 Butler 2.3%   17 - 14 9 - 11 17 - 14 9 - 11 +9.0      +4.9 64 +4.1 65 70.3 123 +10.0 62 +9.3 8
176 Georgetown 0.0%   9 - 23 2 - 18 9 - 23 2 - 18 -0.8      +3.7 88 -4.5 311 67.0 226 -2.6 214 -4.7 10
294 DePaul 0.0%   3 - 29 0 - 20 3 - 29 0 - 20 -7.2      -3.5 266 -3.6 282 68.4 171 -10.2 323 -11.2 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Connecticut 1.0 100.0
Creighton 2.0 100.0
Marquette 2.0 100.0
St. John's 5.0 100.0
Villanova 6.0 100.0
Providence 6.0 100.0
Xavier 8.0 100.0
Seton Hall 4.0 100.0
Butler 8.0 100.0
Georgetown 10.0 100.0
DePaul 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Connecticut 18 - 2 100.0
Creighton 14 - 6 100.0
Marquette 14 - 6 100.0
St. John's 11 - 9 100.0
Villanova 10 - 10 100.0
Providence 10 - 10 100.0
Xavier 9 - 11 100.0
Seton Hall 13 - 7 100.0
Butler 9 - 11 100.0
Georgetown 2 - 18 100.0
DePaul 0 - 20 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Connecticut 100.0% 100.0
Creighton
Marquette
St. John's
Villanova
Providence
Xavier
Seton Hall
Butler
Georgetown
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   93.6 6.4
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.8 23.4 50.8 22.2 0.8 100.0%
Marquette 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   7.5 48.1 38.7 5.7 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 63.7% 0.0% 63.7% 10   0.0 0.1 1.1 6.7 16.4 30.4 9.0 36.3 63.7%
Villanova 20.3% 0.0% 20.3% 0.0 0.3 3.7 16.2 0.1 79.7 20.3%
Providence 31.1% 0.0% 31.1% 0.0 0.4 2.9 14.1 13.6 0.0 68.9 31.1%
Xavier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seton Hall 40.8% 0.0% 40.8% 0.1 1.4 7.2 19.0 13.0 0.0 59.2 40.8%
Butler 2.3% 0.0% 2.3% 0.1 2.1 0.1 97.7 2.3%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.5% 84.8% 67.4% 48.6% 32.7% 21.3%
Creighton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.0% 61.5% 30.5% 13.6% 5.8% 2.2%
Marquette 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.0% 62.4% 32.2% 13.8% 6.1% 2.3%
St. John's 63.7% 20.7% 54.6% 29.5% 8.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Villanova 20.3% 19.0% 11.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 31.1% 21.7% 19.4% 8.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Xavier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seton Hall 40.8% 22.8% 27.6% 10.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Butler 2.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.6 9.4 38.2 38.4 12.8 1.1 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 4.1 21.0 48.6 26.0 4.2 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 3.4 0.4 8.2 51.2 34.0 5.8 0.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 98.4% 2.2 1.6 16.3 42.9 35.0 4.1 0.1
Elite Eight 86.7% 1.4 13.3 44.9 34.8 6.9 0.2
Final Four 65.1% 0.8 34.9 53.0 11.6 0.5
Final Game 42.6% 0.5 57.4 40.1 2.5
Champion 26.0% 0.3 74.0 26.0