Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2025-26



View: Probabilistic Seeding


***Click on team names for re-designed team pages with much more information on each team***

Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Arizona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Duke Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Michigan At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Florida At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Houston At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Connecticut At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Purdue Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Iowa St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Michigan St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
3  Illinois At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Nebraska At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  St. John's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Vanderbilt At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Arkansas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Alabama At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Wisconsin At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Texas Tech At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Tennessee At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Louisville At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  BYU At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  North Carolina At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  Kentucky At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
7  Miami (FL) At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
7  UCLA At-Large 99.2% 99.2% 99.2%
7  Georgia At-Large 97.1% 97.1% 97.1%
8  Clemson At-Large 98.3% 98.3% 98.3%
8  St. Mary's At-Large 99.3% 99.3% 99.3%
8  Utah St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
8  Ohio St. At-Large 96.2% 96.2% 96.2%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Villanova At-Large 98.2% 98.2% 98.2%
9  Iowa At-Large 93.0% 93.0% 93.0%
9  TCU At-Large 94.1% 94.1% 94.1%
9  Texas A&M At-Large 86.9% 86.9% 86.9%
10  North Carolina St. At-Large 77.6% 77.6% 77.6%
10  Central Florida At-Large 79.5% 79.5% 79.5%
10  Missouri At-Large 74.4% 74.4% 74.4%
10  Saint Louis At-Large 86.3% 86.3% 86.3%
11  Santa Clara At-Large 66.9% 66.9% 66.9%
11  Miami (OH) At-Large 67.5% 67.5% 67.5%
11  SMU At-Large 48.7% 48.7% 48.7%
11  Texas At-Large 61.0% 61.0% 61.0%
11  Virginia Commonwealth Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  South Florida Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  McNeese St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Akron Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Northern Iowa Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  High Point Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Hofstra Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  California Baptist Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Hawaii Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Troy Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  North Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Penn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Wright St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Kennesaw St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Idaho Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Tennessee St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Furman Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Siena Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Queens Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  LIU Brooklyn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Maryland Baltimore Co. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Howard Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Prairie View Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Lehigh Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Central Florida 79.5% 79.5% 79.5%
North Carolina St. 77.6% 77.6% 77.6%
Missouri 74.4% 74.4% 74.4%
Miami (OH) 67.5% 67.5% 67.5%
Santa Clara 66.9% 66.9% 66.9%
Texas 61.0% 61.0% 61.0%
SMU 48.7% 48.7% 48.7%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
San Diego St. 33.6% 33.6% 33.6%
Oklahoma 31.4% 31.4% 31.4%
Stanford 30.1% 30.1% 30.1%
Indiana 29.7% 29.7% 29.7%
Seton Hall 21.8% 21.8% 21.8%
New Mexico 19.5% 19.5% 19.5%
Auburn 17.6% 17.6% 17.6%
California 17.0% 17.0% 17.0%
Virginia Tech 13.9% 13.9% 13.9%
West Virginia 13.5% 13.5% 13.5%
Cincinnati 12.1% 12.1% 12.1%
Belmont 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
Oklahoma St. 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%
Boise St. 5.8% 5.8% 5.8%
Florida St. 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Dayton 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
Tulsa 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Arizona St. 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
Nevada 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%
USC 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
Grand Canyon 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
Colorado St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Colorado 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Yale 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Wake Forest 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Baylor 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wichita St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%