Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
141 Youngstown St. 0.0%   18 - 10 13 - 6 18 - 10 13 - 6 +1.7      +1.6 133 +0.1 167 71.1 96 +0.7 148 +0.8 3
142 Oakland 100.0%   14   23 - 11 14 - 5 23 - 12 14 - 5 +1.5      +1.5 140 0.0 171 67.1 222 +4.1 112 +2.7 1
156 Wright St. 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 7 16 - 14 12 - 7 +0.4      +6.5 39 -6.1 348 76.6 25 -1.4 188 -0.1 4
164 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   19 - 12 10 - 9 19 - 12 10 - 9 -0.1      -1.0 209 +0.9 145 74.3 47 -1.5 191 -3.3 8
194 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 8 16 - 15 11 - 8 -1.7      -2.2 239 +0.4 156 69.2 149 -1.6 196 -1.4 6
197 Cleveland St. 0.0%   19 - 14 11 - 8 19 - 14 11 - 8 -2.1      +1.0 152 -3.0 261 67.9 191 -0.9 180 -2.3 7
219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   18 - 15 12 - 8 18 - 15 12 - 8 -3.0      +1.1 150 -4.1 297 73.2 58 -1.5 190 -1.1 5
242 Green Bay 0.0%   16 - 14 13 - 6 16 - 14 13 - 6 -4.1      -1.7 225 -2.3 243 61.1 347 -1.8 201 +1.0 2
305 Robert Morris 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 13 8 - 22 6 - 13 -8.1      -3.2 259 -4.9 329 67.5 210 -10.0 322 -9.1 9
349 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   1 - 31 1 - 18 1 - 31 1 - 18 -13.9      -5.6 312 -8.3 359 67.6 207 -24.1 361 -22.4 11
361 IUPUI 0.0%   3 - 26 2 - 17 3 - 26 2 - 17 -17.4      -9.7 353 -7.7 358 68.3 179 -17.5 357 -16.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Youngstown St. 2.0 100.0
Oakland 1.0 100.0
Wright St. 4.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 8.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 6.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 6.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 4.0 100.0
Green Bay 2.0 100.0
Robert Morris 9.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 11.0 100.0
IUPUI 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 100.0
Oakland 14 - 6 100.0
Wright St. 12 - 8 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 10 - 10 100.0
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 100.0
Cleveland St. 11 - 9 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 12 - 8 100.0
Green Bay 13 - 7 100.0
Robert Morris 6 - 14 100.0
Detroit Mercy 1 - 19 100.0
IUPUI 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Youngstown St.
Oakland 100.0% 100.0
Wright St.
Purdue Fort Wayne
Northern Kentucky
Cleveland St.
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Green Bay
Robert Morris
Detroit Mercy
IUPUI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.2 21.8 72.1 6.0
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 6.5% 0.1 93.5 6.5
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0