Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
87 Yale 0.1%   22 - 6 11 - 3 +6.5      +7.1 49 -0.6 193 62.7 327 +7.0 85 +5.0 1
141 Penn 100.0%   14   17 - 11 9 - 5 +1.1      -1.3 202 +2.4 109 71.7 94 +2.5 125 +1.7 3
149 Harvard 0.0%   16 - 12 10 - 4 +0.6      -2.3 230 +2.8 97 60.3 358 -0.4 164 +3.9 2
162 Cornell 0.0%   13 - 13 8 - 6 +0.1      +7.2 48 -7.1 344 77.5 13 -1.1 182 -0.1 4
200 Columbia 0.0%   14 - 12 5 - 9 -2.1      -0.9 192 -1.1 212 67.7 196 -1.6 190 -5.4 7
238 Princeton 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 9 -4.7      -2.3 229 -2.4 253 61.5 343 -7.0 276 -4.9 6
277 Dartmouth 0.0%   9 - 16 5 - 9 -6.8      -3.4 264 -3.4 278 72.9 65 -5.9 252 -4.6 5
292 Brown 0.0%   7 - 18 3 - 11 -7.6      -7.8 344 +0.3 165 66.9 224 -9.5 312 -8.7 8


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Mar 14 149 Harvard 60 141 Penn 62   
Sat, Mar 14 162 Cornell 76 87 Yale 88   
Sun, Mar 15 141 Penn 88 87 Yale 84   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Harvard 2.0 100.0
Penn 3.0 100.0
Cornell 4.0 100.0
Princeton 5.0 100.0
Dartmouth 5.0 100.0
Columbia 5.0 100.0
Brown 8.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 22 - 6 100.0
Harvard 10 - 4 16 - 12 100.0
Penn 9 - 5 17 - 11 100.0
Cornell 8 - 6 13 - 13 100.0
Princeton 5 - 9 8 - 20 100.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 9 - 16 100.0
Columbia 5 - 9 14 - 12 100.0
Brown 3 - 11 7 - 18 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 100.0
Harvard
Penn
Cornell
Princeton
Dartmouth
Columbia
Brown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Penn 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.3 17.9 75.6 6.2 0.0
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 3.1% 0.0 96.9 3.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%