Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
172 Quinnipiac 0.0%   23 - 9 15 - 5 23 - 9 15 - 5 -0.6      -0.1 183 -0.5 191 76.7 23 +0.8 145 +1.1 1
175 Fairfield 0.0%   21 - 12 14 - 6 21 - 12 14 - 6 -0.8      +1.6 136 -2.4 244 69.9 132 -0.9 181 -0.3 2
201 St. Peter's 100.0%   16   18 - 13 12 - 8 18 - 14 12 - 8 -2.2      -5.5 310 +3.3 84 61.5 343 -1.8 199 -2.8 4
221 Rider 0.0%   14 - 17 12 - 8 14 - 17 12 - 8 -3.0      -2.0 233 -1.0 207 69.3 145 -3.9 237 -2.8 3
233 Marist 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 8 18 - 13 11 - 8 -3.6      -6.8 327 +3.2 88 63.0 324 -3.2 228 -3.5 5
239 Iona 0.0%   16 - 17 10 - 9 16 - 17 10 - 9 -3.8      -2.1 237 -1.7 226 67.3 216 -4.5 248 -4.5 7
251 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   13 - 19 9 - 11 13 - 19 9 - 11 -4.6      -2.8 252 -1.8 230 71.4 93 -7.7 300 -6.4 8
272 Niagara 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 9 15 - 16 11 - 9 -5.8      -2.4 245 -3.4 275 67.7 201 -5.3 268 -3.7 6
284 Canisius 0.0%   13 - 18 8 - 12 13 - 18 8 - 12 -6.3      -4.6 293 -1.7 227 67.2 218 -5.0 261 -7.5 9
339 Manhattan 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 16 6 - 23 4 - 16 -12.3      -7.4 338 -4.9 327 69.6 135 -12.1 335 -12.9 10
354 Siena 0.0%   4 - 28 3 - 17 4 - 28 3 - 17 -15.1      -10.3 358 -4.8 326 65.7 261 -15.3 352 -14.5 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Quinnipiac 1.0 100.0
Fairfield 2.0 100.0
St. Peter's 3.0 100.0
Rider 3.0 100.0
Marist 5.0 100.0
Iona 7.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 8.0 100.0
Niagara 5.0 100.0
Canisius 9.0 100.0
Manhattan 10.0 100.0
Siena 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Quinnipiac 15 - 5 100.0
Fairfield 14 - 6 100.0
St. Peter's 12 - 8 100.0
Rider 12 - 8 100.0
Marist 11 - 9 100.0
Iona 10 - 10 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 9 - 11 100.0
Niagara 11 - 9 100.0
Canisius 8 - 12 100.0
Manhattan 4 - 16 100.0
Siena 3 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Quinnipiac 100.0% 100.0
Fairfield
St. Peter's
Rider
Marist
Iona
Mount St. Mary's
Niagara
Canisius
Manhattan
Siena


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 12.0 88.0
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0