Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
237 Merrimack 0.0%   19 - 12 13 - 3 19 - 12 13 - 3 -3.8      -7.0 331 +3.2 86 67.9 190 -3.6 235 -1.9 2
277 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   18 - 11 13 - 3 18 - 11 13 - 3 -5.9      -3.7 272 -2.1 241 66.8 237 -4.2 242 -1.5 1
298 Sacred Heart 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 6 14 - 16 10 - 6 -7.5      -3.0 257 -4.6 314 72.3 73 -8.8 311 -7.0 3
300 Wagner 100.0%   16   14 - 15 7 - 9 14 - 16 7 - 9 -7.7      -7.4 337 -0.3 184 57.0 361 -7.5 295 -11.9 6
308 Le Moyne 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 7 12 - 17 9 - 7 -8.3      -4.8 295 -3.4 276 67.9 193 -9.5 317 -8.6 5
326 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 7 13 - 17 9 - 7 -11.0      -6.1 318 -4.9 328 78.3 16 -9.0 312 -8.2 4
350 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 10 7 - 22 6 - 10 -13.9      -9.3 351 -4.6 321 74.5 45 -13.0 340 -12.6 7
355 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 13 6 - 22 3 - 13 -15.4      -7.9 343 -7.5 354 64.7 288 -14.9 351 -18.2 8
358 Stonehill 0.0%   3 - 27 2 - 14 3 - 27 2 - 14 -16.4      -10.3 357 -6.1 346 69.4 139 -19.7 358 -20.8 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Merrimack 1.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 1.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 3.0 100.0
Wagner 6.0 100.0
Le Moyne 4.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 7.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 8.0 100.0
Stonehill 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Merrimack 13 - 3 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 13 - 3 100.0
Sacred Heart 10 - 6 100.0
Wagner 7 - 9 100.0
Le Moyne 9 - 7 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 7 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 6 - 10 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 3 - 13 100.0
Stonehill 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Merrimack 100.0% 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 100.0% 100.0
Sacred Heart
Wagner
Le Moyne
Fairleigh Dickinson
LIU Brooklyn
St. Francis (PA)
Stonehill


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 100.0% 100.0% 42.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 42.5% 0.4 57.5 42.5
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0