Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
4 Florida 100.0%   1   26 - 7 16 - 2 +24.7      +12.1 9 +12.6 4 74.5 31 +21.4 7 +25.8 1
11 Vanderbilt 100.0%   4   26 - 8 11 - 7 +19.2      +12.4 7 +6.7 30 71.8 92 +19.5 14 +16.8 7
14 Arkansas 100.0%   4   26 - 8 13 - 5 +18.6      +13.2 4 +5.5 45 75.6 24 +20.3 13 +19.5 3
17 Alabama 100.0%   5   23 - 9 13 - 5 +18.5      +14.0 3 +4.4 65 80.9 4 +19.2 17 +20.0 2
18 Tennessee 100.0%   6   22 - 11 11 - 7 +18.4      +8.3 36 +10.1 13 64.2 294 +17.0 22 +17.4 4
25 Kentucky 99.6%   7   21 - 13 10 - 8 +16.0      +8.4 34 +7.6 25 70.1 129 +16.2 26 +16.8 6
29 Georgia 97.1%   7   22 - 10 10 - 8 +15.2      +11.3 12 +3.9 76 78.1 10 +15.2 33 +15.6 8
32 Oklahoma 31.4%   19 - 15 7 - 11 +14.0      +10.9 16 +3.1 90 66.2 243 +12.3 46 +11.2 12
35 Texas A&M 86.9%   9   21 - 11 11 - 7 +13.9      +7.8 40 +6.1 38 75.5 26 +14.4 37 +17.3 5
37 Texas 61.0%   11   17 - 14 9 - 9 +13.8      +11.1 14 +2.7 104 67.5 204 +12.7 44 +14.6 10
39 Auburn 17.6%   17 - 16 7 - 11 +13.7      +10.9 17 +2.9 96 68.4 182 +13.0 41 +11.4 11
49 Missouri 74.4%   10   20 - 12 10 - 8 +11.6      +7.6 43 +4.0 74 66.6 228 +13.9 39 +15.6 9
59 LSU 0.0%   15 - 17 3 - 15 +9.7      +7.4 46 +2.2 117 67.1 217 +7.5 78 +3.7 16
62 Mississippi 0.0%   15 - 20 4 - 14 +9.4      +3.6 90 +5.7 42 66.0 247 +8.4 73 +6.1 15
94 South Carolina 0.0%   13 - 19 4 - 14 +5.7      +2.5 106 +3.2 85 66.1 246 +5.1 101 +7.1 14
95 Mississippi St. 0.0%   13 - 19 5 - 13 +5.6      +2.9 100 +2.8 101 72.3 77 +6.9 86 +8.7 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 12 39 Auburn 62 18 Tennessee 72   
Thu, Mar 12 25 Kentucky 78 49 Missouri 72   
Thu, Mar 12 29 Georgia 72 62 Mississippi 76   
Thu, Mar 12 32 Oklahoma 83 35 Texas A&M 63   
Fri, Mar 13 18 Tennessee 68 11 Vanderbilt 75   
Fri, Mar 13 14 Arkansas 82 32 Oklahoma 79   
Fri, Mar 13 4 Florida 71 25 Kentucky 63   
Fri, Mar 13 17 Alabama 79 62 Mississippi 80   
Sat, Mar 14 14 Arkansas 93 62 Mississippi 90   
Sat, Mar 14 4 Florida 74 11 Vanderbilt 91   
Sun, Mar 15 14 Arkansas 86 11 Vanderbilt 75   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 100.0
Alabama 2.0 100.0
Arkansas 2.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 4.0 100.0
Texas A&M 4.0 100.0
Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Georgia 7.0 100.0
Missouri 7.0 100.0
Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Texas 10.0 100.0
Oklahoma 11.0 100.0
Auburn 11.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 13.0 100.0
Mississippi 14.0 100.0
South Carolina 14.0 100.0
LSU 16.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 16 - 2 26 - 7 100.0
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 9 100.0
Arkansas 13 - 5 26 - 8 100.0
Vanderbilt 11 - 7 26 - 8 100.0
Texas A&M 11 - 7 21 - 11 100.0
Tennessee 11 - 7 22 - 11 100.0
Georgia 10 - 8 22 - 10 100.0
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 12 100.0
Kentucky 10 - 8 21 - 13 100.0
Texas 9 - 9 17 - 14 100.0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 19 - 15 100.0
Auburn 7 - 11 17 - 16 100.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 13 - 19 100.0
Mississippi 4 - 14 15 - 20 100.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 13 - 19 100.0
LSU 3 - 15 15 - 17 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 100.0% 100.0
Alabama
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
Tennessee
Georgia
Missouri
Kentucky
Texas
Oklahoma
Auburn
Mississippi St.
Mississippi
South Carolina
LSU


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   38.0 55.8 6.0 0.3 100.0%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.1 3.3 18.5 39.5 34.1 4.5 0.0 100.0%
Arkansas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4   0.3 4.0 16.0 34.6 36.1 8.8 0.3
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.2 3.1 16.8 34.5 36.8 8.5 0.2 100.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.0 1.4 6.3 28.1 48.2 15.1 0.9 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 7   0.0 0.3 4.0 24.4 45.5 20.7 4.5 0.2 0.4 99.6%
Georgia 97.1% 0.0% 97.1% 7   0.0 0.8 9.7 35.3 35.7 14.4 1.2 0.0 2.9 97.1%
Oklahoma 31.4% 0.0% 31.4% 0.0 0.1 2.7 25.8 2.7 68.6 31.4%
Texas A&M 86.9% 0.0% 86.9% 9   0.0 0.6 5.5 20.4 38.2 20.2 2.1 13.1 86.9%
Texas 61.0% 0.0% 61.0% 11   0.0 0.0 0.4 4.4 20.0 35.6 0.7 39.0 61.0%
Auburn 17.6% 0.0% 17.6% 8.7 8.5 0.5 82.4 17.6%
Missouri 74.4% 0.0% 74.4% 10   0.0 0.1 2.3 15.8 37.6 18.4 0.1 25.6 74.4%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.7 0.0 0.4 7.3 33.2 43.5 14.5 1.2
1st Round 100.0% 9.3 0.0 0.9 13.5 43.1 35.1 7.2 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 6.7 0.0 0.3 2.6 12.1 28.4 33.8 18.3 4.1 0.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.3 0.3 4.1 20.0 35.1 27.7 10.5 2.0 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 87.6% 1.5 12.4 41.6 33.6 10.5 1.7 0.1
Final Four 59.0% 0.7 41.0 47.2 11.0 0.8 0.0
Final Game 32.1% 0.3 67.9 30.5 1.6
Champion 16.0% 0.2 84.0 16.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.4% 83.9% 60.3% 38.6% 22.3% 12.3%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 92.1% 53.6% 19.9% 8.9% 3.4% 1.2%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 90.4% 50.0% 17.4% 7.1% 2.6% 0.9%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.7% 49.0% 17.0% 7.1% 2.5% 0.8%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 79.0% 37.3% 15.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Kentucky 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 62.6% 19.5% 7.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Georgia 97.1% 0.0% 97.1% 55.7% 13.2% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Oklahoma 31.4% 26.9% 21.7% 8.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 86.9% 1.0% 86.5% 40.7% 6.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Texas 61.0% 29.5% 49.4% 20.0% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 17.6% 17.6% 12.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 74.4% 12.1% 68.5% 23.8% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%