Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
3 Auburn 100.0%   2   27 - 7 13 - 5 28 - 7 13 - 5 +21.0      +10.5 9 +10.5 4 72.9 63 +16.1 10 +15.5 5
6 Tennessee 100.0%   2   24 - 8 14 - 4 25 - 8 14 - 4 +18.5      +7.8 27 +10.6 3 71.9 85 +16.8 7 +18.1 1
13 Alabama 99.7%   4   21 - 11 13 - 5 22 - 11 13 - 5 +16.1      +13.5 3 +2.6 99 79.6 11 +14.3 15 +17.8 2
16 Kentucky 99.7%   4   23 - 9 13 - 5 24 - 9 13 - 5 +14.8      +12.3 5 +2.5 103 79.0 14 +14.0 19 +16.8 4
22 Florida 98.9%   5   24 - 11 11 - 7 24 - 11 11 - 7 +13.4      +9.6 14 +3.8 73 76.8 21 +13.6 21 +12.8 6
30 Mississippi St. 74.8%   10   21 - 13 8 - 10 21 - 14 8 - 10 +12.8      +5.7 49 +7.1 21 67.7 205 +11.6 40 +9.8 8
42 Texas A&M 79.9%   10   20 - 14 9 - 9 20 - 15 9 - 9 +11.3      +6.8 34 +4.4 56 65.2 272 +10.9 51 +9.2 9
51 South Carolina 96.4%   6   26 - 7 13 - 5 27 - 7 13 - 5 +10.2      +5.6 51 +4.6 51 60.2 352 +16.4 9 +16.8 3
83 Mississippi 0.0%   20 - 12 7 - 11 20 - 12 7 - 11 +6.8      +5.6 52 +1.3 137 67.1 221 +10.3 59 +7.8 10
84 Georgia 0.0%   17 - 16 6 - 12 17 - 16 6 - 12 +6.7      +2.6 108 +4.2 61 70.3 122 +7.2 85 +6.1 11
87 LSU 0.0%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 +6.6      +2.9 99 +3.7 75 72.8 68 +7.5 79 +9.8 7
104 Arkansas 0.0%   16 - 17 6 - 12 16 - 17 6 - 12 +5.0      +3.2 95 +1.8 124 74.6 42 +6.2 92 +5.5 12
135 Missouri 0.0%   8 - 24 0 - 18 8 - 24 0 - 18 +2.1      +2.1 117 0.0 173 67.0 227 -2.9 224 -10.2 14
167 Vanderbilt 0.0%   9 - 23 4 - 14 9 - 23 4 - 14 -0.2      +0.1 174 -0.3 182 65.4 267 -0.8 177 +4.0 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Auburn 2.0 100.0
Tennessee 1.0 100.0
Alabama 2.0 100.0
Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Florida 6.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 9.0 100.0
Texas A&M 7.0 100.0
South Carolina 2.0 100.0
Mississippi 10.0 100.0
Georgia 11.0 100.0
LSU 7.0 100.0
Arkansas 11.0 100.0
Missouri 14.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Auburn 13 - 5 100.0
Tennessee 14 - 4 100.0
Alabama 13 - 5 100.0
Kentucky 13 - 5 100.0
Florida 11 - 7 100.0
Mississippi St. 8 - 10 100.0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 100.0
South Carolina 13 - 5 100.0
Mississippi 7 - 11 100.0
Georgia 6 - 12 100.0
LSU 9 - 9 100.0
Arkansas 6 - 12 100.0
Missouri 0 - 18 100.0
Vanderbilt 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Auburn
Tennessee 100.0% 100.0
Alabama
Kentucky
Florida
Mississippi St.
Texas A&M
South Carolina
Mississippi
Georgia
LSU
Arkansas
Missouri
Vanderbilt


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Auburn 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   14.2 37.2 30.8 16.8 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   25.0 56.0 17.7 1.3 0.0 100.0%
Alabama 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 4   1.7 9.8 31.4 48.6 8.1 0.2 0.3 99.7%
Kentucky 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 4   0.0 0.6 9.7 50.6 36.5 2.2 0.0 0.3 99.7%
Florida 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 5   0.1 2.0 34.0 38.9 19.0 4.3 0.5 0.0 1.1 98.9%
Mississippi St. 74.8% 0.0% 74.8% 10   0.1 0.4 1.3 5.9 16.2 36.4 14.8 0.0 25.2 74.8%
Texas A&M 79.9% 0.0% 79.9% 10   0.0 0.8 11.2 33.9 31.6 2.4 20.1 79.9%
South Carolina 96.4% 0.0% 96.4% 6   0.4 23.6 43.3 25.0 3.8 0.3 0.0 3.6 96.4%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.9% 79.4% 54.4% 33.9% 20.6% 12.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.3% 70.9% 44.4% 22.9% 11.5% 5.5%
Alabama 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 88.1% 58.2% 25.6% 12.2% 5.0% 1.9%
Kentucky 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 81.4% 47.3% 16.6% 7.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Florida 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 65.4% 26.1% 9.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Mississippi St. 74.8% 30.3% 61.2% 32.0% 9.6% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Texas A&M 79.9% 8.7% 75.4% 36.5% 8.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
South Carolina 96.4% 0.0% 96.4% 49.6% 14.6% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.5 0.1 6.0 38.1 55.7 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 7.3 0.3 10.2 47.5 42.1 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 5.5 0.3 3.0 14.9 32.2 33.0 14.6 1.9
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.1 0.3 5.2 20.9 37.4 26.9 8.2 1.0 0.1
Elite Eight 90.0% 1.6 10.0 36.9 36.9 14.1 1.9 0.1
Final Four 64.3% 0.8 35.7 47.4 15.4 1.4 0.0
Final Game 38.4% 0.4 61.6 35.3 3.1
Champion 20.7% 0.2 79.3 20.7