Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
139 South Dakota St. 100.0%   15   19 - 12 12 - 4 19 - 13 12 - 4 +1.7      +1.5 141 +0.3 164 69.3 143 +0.5 154 +1.7 1
157 St. Thomas 0.0%   17 - 13 9 - 7 17 - 13 9 - 7 +0.3      +0.8 154 -0.5 193 59.8 354 -2.4 210 -3.1 4
217 UMKC 0.0%   13 - 16 10 - 6 13 - 16 10 - 6 -2.9      -3.6 269 +0.7 149 66.3 245 -4.5 249 -1.1 3
232 North Dakota 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 6 15 - 14 10 - 6 -3.5      -0.3 188 -3.2 268 67.0 224 -3.9 236 -1.0 2
261 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 9 11 - 18 7 - 9 -5.1      -1.6 222 -3.5 278 68.1 183 -6.6 285 -5.4 6
266 North Dakota St. 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 8 12 - 17 8 - 8 -5.5      -1.5 220 -4.0 296 64.8 285 -4.0 238 -3.8 5
274 Oral Roberts 0.0%   9 - 19 5 - 11 9 - 19 5 - 11 -5.8      -1.7 224 -4.1 299 68.6 167 -6.4 280 -8.5 9
276 Denver 0.0%   13 - 17 6 - 10 13 - 17 6 - 10 -5.8      +0.5 163 -6.4 350 74.5 46 -4.8 256 -6.9 7
322 South Dakota 0.0%   9 - 20 5 - 11 9 - 20 5 - 11 -9.5      -1.9 230 -7.6 355 70.9 101 -8.4 308 -8.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
St. Thomas 4.0 100.0
UMKC 2.0 100.0
North Dakota 2.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 6.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 5.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 8.0 100.0
Denver 7.0 100.0
South Dakota 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 12 - 4 100.0
St. Thomas 9 - 7 100.0
UMKC 10 - 6 100.0
North Dakota 10 - 6 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 7 - 9 100.0
North Dakota St. 8 - 8 100.0
Oral Roberts 5 - 11 100.0
Denver 6 - 10 100.0
South Dakota 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
St. Thomas
UMKC
North Dakota
Nebraska Omaha
North Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
Denver
South Dakota


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.5 24.2 74.6 0.8
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 5.7% 0.1 94.3 5.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0