Pre-tourney Rankings
Hawaii
Big West
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +3.3 113
Results Rating +3.8 114
Consistency 0.18 317
Pace 72.7 66
Improvement -4.1 317

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 206 C C D B B
Defense B 57 B B- C- C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 43 C+ 60% 115 +4.1 44
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 264 D+ 36% 261 -2.6 300
Three Pointers 41% 171 D 31% 291 -1.5 230
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 42 C- -1.0 215
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 165
Second Chance C 30.3% 181 C+ 1.05 142 C 0.32 156
Opponents' Steals D 10.7% 301
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 268
Turnovers D 18.6% 309
Freethrows B 0.35 47 C+ 74% 153 B 0.26 47
Total Offense C- -1.5 206

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 291 B- 9.6% 107
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 186 C 5.3% 208
Three Pointers C 84% 198 B 0.4% 69
Total D+ 52% 258 C+ 5.2% 140


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 74 B+ 51% 34 -0.5 158
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 117 C+ 37% 119 +0.3 214
Three Pointers 35% 338 B 31% 63 -4.3 19
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 189 B+ -4.5 33
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 42
Second Chance B 26.7% 57 C- 1.06 246 B- 0.28 101
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 239
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 162
Turnovers C- 16.0% 220
Freethrows C 0.31 204 B 70% 40 C 0.22 170
Total Defense B +4.8 57

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 37% 14 C+ 11.8% 133
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 10% 2 C- 4.0% 227
Three Pointers A 72% 8 C+ 1.2% 106
Total A 41% 3 C+ 6.3% 123

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 109 17.1 132
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 188 0.18 197
Consistency 0.13 214 0.14 276
Improvement +1.4 119 -5.5 355

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Auto Bid
Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 113 113 113
Results Rating Rank 114 114 114
Conference Record 14 - 6 14 - 6 14 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 14 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round100% n/a n/a
Second Round6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 38 - 28 - 6
Quad 414 - 222 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 86 @Oregon L 59 - 60 27% -3  18% 0 - 1 B +9 F -15 F C+ F A+ +24 A+ C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 303 East Texas A&M W 100 - 74 91% +17  92% 1 - 1 B+ +14 A- +11 A A+ D+ C+ +1 C- C+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 88 - 56 99% +18  99% 2 - 1 B- +6 B +7 A- B- C C+ +1 B B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 329 Manhattan W 86 - 56 94% +15  96% 3 - 1 A- +16 C- -1 D- B B- A+ +16 B- A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 198 Utah Tech W 68 - 62 79% +6  98% 4 - 1 C +1 F -12 D- A+ F A+ +13 A A+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 66 Arizona St. L 76 - 83 39% +2  68% 4 - 2 C -1 C- -2 B- B- D- C+ +1 C+ A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 280 North Dakota W 92 - 55 89% +14  77% 5 - 2 A+ +27 C +1 B+ D+ D A+ +22 A+ B A+
 Thu, Dec 4 174 UC Davis W 75 - 69 76% +6  95% 6 - 2 1 - 0 C+ +2 D+ -2 B+ C D B +4 A- B D
 Sat, Dec 6 179 Cal St. Fullerton W 69 - 59 76% +9  95% 7 - 2 2 - 0 B- +6 F -11 F+ C- D A+ +16 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 261 UTEP W 66 - 61 86% -2  34% 8 - 2 C- -4 D -5 D- F+ A+ B- +2 A- F D-
 Thu, Jan 1 271 @UC Riverside W 88 - 45 73% +21  99% 9 - 2 3 - 0 A+ +40 A+ +21 A+ A+ F+ A+ +23 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 137 @UC San Diego L 73 - 83 45% -7  16% 9 - 3 3 - 1 D+ -6 B- +5 C A- C F -11 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 110 UC Irvine W 67 - 66 61% +2  60% 10 - 3 4 - 1 C +2 D+ -4 C+ D D B+ +6 A+ D B+
 Thu, Jan 15 219 @Cal Poly W 86 - 66 63% +8  89% 11 - 3 5 - 1 A +20 C +0 B- C- F+ A+ +17 B C A+
 Sat, Jan 17 144 @UC Santa Barbara L 62 - 77 48% -12  0% 11 - 4 5 - 2 D -11 D -5 D C F D- -8 F+ D C+
 Thu, Jan 22 332 Cal St. Bakersfield W 98 - 71 94% +18  98% 12 - 4 6 - 2 B+ +13 B +6 F+ A+ C B +4 A A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 178 Cal St. Northridge W 89 - 68 76% +9  88% 13 - 4 7 - 2 A- +17 C+ +3 A F+ F A+ +12 B+ A+ C+
 Thu, Jan 29 110 @UC Irvine L 76 - 87 OT 38% -2  16% 13 - 5 7 - 3 C- -4 D -5 C- F C B- +2 C+ C C+
 Sat, Jan 31 250 @Long Beach St. W 89 - 82 70% +4  63% 14 - 5 8 - 3 C+ +5 A- +11 A+ C- D+ D -6 A- F D
 Sat, Feb 7 137 UC San Diego W 72 - 67 68% +4  75% 15 - 5 9 - 3 C+ +3 D -5 C- C- D- A +9 B+ A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 12 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 89 - 74 86% +10  88% 16 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 B +6 C A- C- C -0 D B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 178 @Cal St. Northridge L 60 - 84 55% -14  0% 16 - 6 10 - 4 F -22 F -16 F+ F F D -6 F B C-
 Thu, Feb 19 219 Cal Poly L 75 - 86 81% -6  0% 16 - 7 10 - 5 F+ -17 F -16 F D F C+ +1 C A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 144 UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 75 OT 70% -0  42% 17 - 7 11 - 5 C +1 D -5 F A+ A- B +5 B- A+ D
 Thu, Feb 26 174 @UC Davis W 77 - 73 55% +5  83% 18 - 7 12 - 5 B- +6 B- +5 A+ F C C+ +1 C+ F+ A+
 Sat, Feb 28 179 @Cal St. Fullerton W 87 - 85 55% -3  11% 19 - 7 13 - 5 C+ +4 A- +10 B+ D- C+ D- -7 C F F
 Thu, Mar 5 271 UC Riverside W 93 - 74 88% +6  93% 20 - 7 14 - 5 B +10 A +12 A+ A+ C+ C- -3 A F F
 Sat, Mar 7 250 Long Beach St. L 75 - 84 86% -4  23% 20 - 8 14 - 6 F+ -17 F -10 D- F A D -6 F F C+
 Fri, Mar 13 179 Cal St. Fullerton W 78 - 63 66% +6  92% 21 - 8 B+ +14 C- -1 F A+ F A+ +15 A+ B D+
 Sat, Mar 14 110 UC Irvine W 71 - 64 49% +2  75% 22 - 8 B +11 C+ +2 B C- D A +9 A C+ B+
Totals 22 - 8 14 - 6 +3 C- -2 A+ C- B B +5 D C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ D+ D C- 44% 30% 41% B C C C+ C D B C+ B B B+ C+ B B+ 43% 22% 35% C B B C- B- C- C B C
1.06 60% 36% 31% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.0 .32 19% .35 74% .26 1.02 51% 37% 31% -4 0 0.93 27% 1.1 .28 16% .31 70% .24
Nov
4		 Oregon F D- F F F 35% 22% 44% B- F B- C- C+ F A- F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 59% 13% 28% F A+ D- A C+ A+ F A+ D-
0.78 47% 25% 21% -15 0 0.71 33% 0.9 .29 24% .33 63% .21 0.79 48% 17% 15% -17 +2 0.74 40% 0.9 .37 28% .48 62% .29
Nov
9		 East Texas A&M A- A D A+ A 56% 13% 31% B A B A+ A+ D+ A+ D A+ C+ C A+ D+ C+ 46% 11% 43% F C- C+ C+ C+ C F D+ F
1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58 0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35
Nov
12		 Mississippi Valley B A F A+ A- 40% 13% 47% B- A- A F B- C A+ C+ A+ C+ C A C- C+ 20% 52% 28% A+ B C+ B B- F C+ D+ C+
1.32 74% 17% 45% +12 +1 1.28 48% 1.1 .52 17% .52 76% .40 0.84 55% 29% 33% -6 -5 0.80 23% 0.8 .18 14% .26 73% .19
Nov
14		 Manhattan C- F+ F A+ F 55% 13% 32% A- D- C+ B B B- A+ C- A+ A+ B- A+ F B+ 57% 25% 19% F+ B- A+ A+ A+ C+ D A+ A
1.19 52% 0% 47% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .47 14% .42 73% .30 0.77 50% 15% 40% -8 +1 0.87 15% 0.2 .03 17% .33 50% .17
Nov
15		 Utah Tech F B A+ F F+ 50% 17% 33% B- D- C A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B- A+ A 35% 26% 39% A- A A+ B+ A+ B D+ C D+
0.96 67% 57% 7% -6 +1 0.93 32% 1.7 .54 27% .49 84% .41 0.88 63% 36% 24% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 18% .26 73% .19
Nov
20		 Arizona St. C- A D F C 45% 6% 49% A+ B- D+ A+ B- D- A+ B A+ C+ A- D F C 42% 27% 31% B C+ C A+ A+ F F A+ F
1.01 67% 33% 26% -2 +2 1.02 28% 1.3 .34 23% .44 77% .34 1.10 50% 43% 44% +2 -1 1.06 32% 0.7 .22 11% .55 65% .36
Nov
28		 North Dakota C A+ D- F B 60% 6% 34% A B+ C- D D+ D A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 50% 8% 42% F A+ A+ F B A+ F A+ D-
1.19 80% 33% 24% +8 +3 1.24 33% 1.0 .33 22% .51 68% .35 0.71 38% 25% 20% -20 +2 0.67 16% 1.3 .22 21% .46 61% .28
Dec
4		 UC Davis D+ A F A- B+ 49% 15% 37% B- B+ F A+ C D A+ F A B A- D- A+ A- 42% 30% 28% B A- B+ C B D C- B C
1.05 70% 17% 40% +6 +2 1.17 17% 1.8 .31 21% .55 58% .32 0.97 50% 44% 27% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.0 .21 15% .35 71% .25
Dec
6		 Cal St. Fullerton F C+ F D F 30% 8% 62% B- F+ B- F+ C- D C- F D A+ A C A+ A+ 54% 14% 32% F A+ A A+ A+ D- B- B+ B
0.95 63% 0% 30% -5 +1 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 21% .29 65% .19 0.81 45% 38% 17% -15 +2 0.75 18% 0.5 .09 12% .28 67% .19
Dec
13		 UTEP D F A C- F 52% 9% 39% A+ D- F B F+ A+ B- A+ A- B- A+ B+ B- A 35% 27% 37% D A- C+ F F D- A A+ A+
1.03 42% 50% 33% -8 +3 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 12% .39 82% .32 0.95 44% 29% 32% -9 -1 0.82 24% 1.8 .43 14% .18 50% .09
Jan
1		 UC Riverside A+ B- A A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% A- A+ A+ C A+ F+ F F F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 56% 16% 29% F A+ A+ D- B+ D+ C+ A B
1.39 63% 50% 48% +12 +2 1.31 47% 1.0 .47 19% .27 50% .14 0.71 44% 14% 15% -20 +2 0.67 17% 1.0 .17 17% .29 67% .19
Jan
3		 UC San Diego B- C A+ F C- 46% 9% 46% A C D A+ A- C A A+ A+ F A F B C+ 45% 13% 42% D+ C F+ F F F C+ F D
1.08 57% 75% 24% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 16% .34 84% .28 1.23 48% 86% 30% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.3 .41 12% .25 87% .22
Jan
10		 UC Irvine D+ D+ A+ F C 48% 13% 38% A C+ C F D D C- C- C- B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 68% 20% 12% F A+ F A- D B+ B- F C-
0.94 48% 71% 25% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.7 .23 20% .23 69% .16 0.93 41% 40% 17% -14 +2 0.78 44% 0.9 .39 21% .27 80% .21
Jan
15		 Cal Poly C A- A+ F B- 40% 21% 39% C- B- C D+ C- F+ F+ A+ D+ A+ B- F A B+ 40% 8% 52% C B F+ A- C A+ C- A+ A-
1.10 70% 58% 27% +5 0 1.12 31% 1.0 .31 19% .22 86% .19 0.85 55% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.94 36% 0.9 .31 30% .31 59% .18
Jan
17		 UC Santa Barbara D F A+ C+ D 39% 16% 45% B- D B F C F F B+ D- D- F D+ F F 36% 27% 38% B+ F+ D D+ D C+ C+ D+ C
1.00 41% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 21% .26 77% .20 1.24 75% 42% 41% +11 -1 1.22 35% 1.1 .38 19% .30 80% .24
Jan
22		 Cal St. Bakersfield B A+ F F F 38% 14% 48% B- F+ A- A+ A+ C A+ A A+ B A+ B A- A 43% 36% 21% C- A A+ F A+ F F B- F
1.27 74% 29% 21% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.5 .68 17% .53 79% .42 0.92 39% 32% 27% -13 -2 0.74 12% 1.2 .15 9% .55 72% .40
Jan
24		 Cal St. Northridge C+ B- A+ A A 30% 19% 51% C- A B+ F F+ F A+ D+ A+ A+ A F+ B- B 45% 28% 28% A B+ D A+ A+ C+ C A+ A-
1.15 63% 50% 41% +9 0 1.19 34% 0.6 .21 22% .48 72% .35 0.88 46% 44% 31% -5 0 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 18% .30 47% .14
Jan
29		 UC Irvine D F F A+ D+ 40% 10% 50% A C- F F F C B- A+ A B- A F A+ C+ 53% 31% 17% D+ C+ C- C+ C C+ F B F
0.90 32% 0% 42% -8 +2 0.89 19% 0.4 .09 18% .27 89% .24 1.02 45% 61% 20% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 19% .42 66% .28
Jan
31		 Long Beach St. A- C- A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% D- A+ F+ A+ C- D+ A+ B+ A+ D C+ B+ A A- 31% 36% 33% B A- F F F D D- F F
1.23 58% 57% 57% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.6 .32 18% .49 79% .39 1.14 59% 30% 28% -6 -3 0.85 40% 1.6 .63 15% .33 80% .26
Feb
7		 UC San Diego D A- A F D+ 42% 8% 50% A C- B F C- D- A+ F+ A A C+ D+ A B+ 38% 18% 45% B B+ A+ F A+ D+ C- A+ B-
0.97 67% 50% 20% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.8 .28 19% .38 65% .25 0.90 57% 40% 28% -4 0 0.95 5% 2.0 .11 15% .28 56% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Cal St. Bakersfield B A+ F B- B- 30% 30% 40% F C C A+ A- C- A+ A- A+ C D- F A+ F 25% 55% 20% A+ D B+ B- B+ F+ B- C- B-
1.23 86% 21% 37% +5 -2 1.09 38% 1.3 .50 18% .54 78% .42 1.02 64% 53% 9% +2 -5 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 15% .33 75% .24
Feb
14		 Cal St. Northridge F F B F F 35% 14% 51% B- F+ C+ F F F A F B- D B C F F 48% 21% 31% B- F A+ F B C- D- D- F+
0.84 47% 43% 28% -8 +1 0.88 29% 0.7 .20 25% .37 65% .24 1.17 52% 36% 56% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.3 .27 17% .35 71% .25
Feb
19		 Cal Poly F B+ F F F 49% 10% 41% A- F C F D F A+ D A+ C+ F A+ A C 47% 8% 44% D+ C A+ A+ A+ F+ F D+ F
0.91 68% 0% 14% -11 +2 0.84 31% 0.8 .26 21% .58 68% .40 1.04 71% 0% 27% -2 +2 1.03 14% 0.6 .08 16% .39 81% .32
Feb
21		 UC Santa Barbara D F+ F F F 47% 18% 35% B F D+ A+ A+ A- A+ D- A+ B B+ F C B+ 47% 15% 38% F+ B- A+ A A+ D F+ C- F+
1.05 50% 22% 28% -10 +1 0.84 24% 1.9 .46 12% .52 68% .35 1.01 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 16% .37 78% .29
Feb
26		 UC Davis B- C+ D A+ A+ 54% 6% 40% A A+ F F F C F A+ D- C+ A+ F C B 36% 11% 52% F+ C+ F C F+ A+ F F+ F
1.12 59% 33% 50% +10 +3 1.28 22% 0.3 .07 19% .23 85% .20 1.06 44% 60% 35% -2 +1 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 25% .50 81% .41
Feb
28		 Cal St. Fullerton A- A+ A+ C+ A- 19% 10% 71% C- B+ D+ F D- C+ B A+ A D- D- A F+ D+ 28% 28% 43% A C B- F F F F B- F+
1.21 90% 60% 35% +10 0 1.21 26% 0.8 .21 18% .34 85% .29 1.18 67% 27% 39% +3 -2 1.04 22% 1.6 .36 10% .40 69% .28
Mar
5		 UC Riverside A C A+ A A 64% 16% 20% A A+ C- A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ D A+ 48% 17% 35% D- A C+ F F F D F+ D-
1.30 59% 88% 40% +11 +2 1.28 29% 2.3 .67 14% .57 77% .44 1.03 38% 11% 37% -12 +1 0.80 26% 1.7 .44 13% .33 81% .27
Mar
7		 Long Beach St. F B- F F F 43% 14% 43% B D- F C- F A D D+ D- D F C F F 32% 34% 34% B- F A+ F F C+ F A+ F
0.98 64% 25% 24% -6 +1 0.93 13% 1.2 .15 12% .31 71% .22 1.10 73% 38% 44% +10 -2 1.17 15% 2.5 .38 18% .48 63% .30
Mar
13		 Cal St. Fullerton C- D+ C F F 50% 10% 40% A F A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B A+ 28% 17% 55% C+ A+ A+ F B D+ A+ B- A+
1.06 58% 40% 11% -14 +2 0.79 44% 1.1 .50 23% .46 96% .44 0.86 50% 10% 31% -9 0 0.83 14% 1.3 .19 14% .16 70% .11
Mar
14		 UC Irvine C+ C C+ D+ C+ 41% 10% 49% A B B+ F C- D B- F C- A A+ A+ F A 46% 33% 21% C+ A C- B+ C+ B+ C- F F
1.01 52% 40% 32% -4 +2 0.98 40% 0.7 .28 20% .27 60% .16 0.91 36% 25% 50% -9 -1 0.81 33% 0.9 .31 21% .31 88% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.2 9.3 63.8 26.8 0.1
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.2