Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#323
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#329
Pace67.9#192
Improvement-4.8#337

Offense
Total Offense-9.8#354
First Shot-10.8#360
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#110
Layup/Dunks-7.8#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#274
Freethrows-2.2#318
Improvement-2.6#311

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#183
First Shot-0.8#193
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#129
Layups/Dunks+3.2#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#332
Freethrows-2.8#331
Improvement-2.2#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 410 - 1110 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 83   @ Mississippi L 59-69 5%     0 - 1 -0.6 -11.6 +11.1
  Nov 10, 2023 49   @ Iowa L 67-98 3%     0 - 2 -18.0 -8.2 -7.6
  Nov 17, 2023 70   @ Memphis L 75-92 4%     0 - 3 -6.8 +0.6 -6.1
  Nov 22, 2023 90   @ Samford L 67-99 5%     0 - 4 -23.0 -7.5 -13.1
  Nov 24, 2023 347   N.C. A&T W 88-73 63%     1 - 4 +1.6 +8.7 -7.2
  Nov 25, 2023 237   Merrimack W 66-60 OT 27%     2 - 4 +2.2 -9.1 +10.8
  Dec 13, 2023 87   @ LSU L 56-74 5%     2 - 5 -8.8 -8.7 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2023 76   USC L 59-79 9%     2 - 6 -15.3 -12.9 -1.8
  Dec 22, 2023 3   @ Auburn L 62-82 1%     2 - 7 +3.6 -3.9 +9.0
  Dec 29, 2023 89   @ South Florida L 70-73 5%     2 - 8 +6.0 +10.5 -4.8
  Jan 06, 2024 362   @ Mississippi Valley W 54-51 78%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -15.3 -17.2 +2.3
  Jan 08, 2024 340   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-72 50%     4 - 8 2 - 0 +0.8 -9.4 +8.6
  Jan 11, 2024 317   Jackson St. L 63-73 56%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -21.7 -19.3 -1.8
  Jan 13, 2024 303   Alcorn St. W 55-53 52%     5 - 9 3 - 1 -8.5 -20.6 +12.3
  Jan 15, 2024 328   Alabama A&M W 72-55 55%     6 - 9 4 - 1 +5.8 +2.3 +4.6
  Jan 27, 2024 342   @ Prairie View W 74-67 52%     7 - 9 5 - 1 -3.5 -4.8 +1.0
  Jan 29, 2024 281   @ Texas Southern L 55-56 27%     7 - 10 5 - 2 -4.5 -11.5 +6.9
  Feb 03, 2024 315   Bethune-Cookman L 68-79 56%     7 - 11 5 - 3 -22.5 -14.8 -6.8
  Feb 05, 2024 345   Florida A&M W 62-53 72%     8 - 11 6 - 3 -7.0 -14.3 +7.6
  Feb 10, 2024 282   @ Grambling St. L 68-74 27%     8 - 12 6 - 4 -9.6 -5.1 -4.4
  Feb 12, 2024 288   @ Southern L 62-73 28%     8 - 13 6 - 5 -15.0 -5.7 -10.0
  Feb 17, 2024 340   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 74-80 70%     8 - 14 6 - 6 -21.4 -13.3 -7.8
  Feb 19, 2024 362   Mississippi Valley W 61-46 89%     9 - 14 7 - 6 -8.5 -15.1 +7.9
  Feb 24, 2024 345   @ Florida A&M L 65-73 53%     9 - 15 7 - 7 -18.8 -11.9 -6.8
  Feb 26, 2024 315   @ Bethune-Cookman L 84-90 OT 36%     9 - 16 7 - 8 -12.3 +2.4 -14.1
  Mar 02, 2024 328   @ Alabama A&M L 53-58 44%     9 - 17 7 - 9 -13.6 -15.9 +1.9
  Mar 07, 2024 288   Southern L 57-65 47%     9 - 18 7 - 10 -17.2 -7.8 -10.7
  Mar 09, 2024 282   Grambling St. W 87-84 2OT 45%     10 - 18 8 - 10 -5.8 -0.5 -5.7
  Mar 13, 2024 282   Grambling St. L 50-56 35%     10 - 19 -12.2 -15.4 +2.2
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%