Pre-tourney Rankings
BYU
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.6#17
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#22
Pace71.6#90
Improvement-6.3#358

Offense
Total Offense+10.0#11
First Shot+7.7#22
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#46
Layup/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.4#2
Freethrows-3.0#341
Improvement-1.4#262

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#53
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#38
Layups/Dunks+5.0#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-9.1#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#86
Freethrows+4.1#10
Improvement-4.9#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 50.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round80.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen44.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.0% n/a n/a
Final Four6.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 46 - 8
Quad 25 - 211 - 10
Quad 34 - 015 - 10
Quad 48 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 357   Houston Christian W 110-63 99%     1 - 0 +28.3 +11.0 +10.8
  Nov 10, 2023 28   San Diego St. W 74-65 66%     2 - 0 +19.3 +7.9 +11.4
  Nov 15, 2023 310   SE Louisiana W 105-48 98%     3 - 0 +46.0 +25.5 +19.3
  Nov 18, 2023 333   Morgan St. W 93-50 99%     4 - 0 +28.9 +17.9 +13.2
  Nov 23, 2023 118   Arizona St. W 77-49 85%     5 - 0 +31.2 +11.1 +21.1
  Nov 24, 2023 56   North Carolina St. W 95-86 69%     6 - 0 +18.6 +16.1 +1.6
  Dec 01, 2023 213   Fresno St. W 85-56 94%     7 - 0 +26.3 +12.5 +14.4
  Dec 05, 2023 224   Evansville W 96-55 96%     8 - 0 +35.2 +21.3 +14.0
  Dec 09, 2023 47   @ Utah L 69-73 55%     8 - 1 +9.3 +3.4 +5.8
  Dec 13, 2023 276   Denver W 90-74 97%     9 - 1 +7.6 +3.6 +2.9
  Dec 16, 2023 216   Georgia St. W 86-54 96%     10 - 1 +26.5 +12.6 +15.1
  Dec 22, 2023 312   Bellarmine W 101-59 98%     11 - 1 +30.8 +26.6 +6.0
  Dec 30, 2023 151   Wyoming W 94-68 92%     12 - 1 +24.5 +18.9 +5.6
  Jan 06, 2024 34   Cincinnati L 60-71 70%     12 - 2 0 - 1 -1.8 -10.9 +9.9
  Jan 09, 2024 14   @ Baylor L 72-81 37%     12 - 3 0 - 2 +8.9 +6.7 +1.9
  Jan 13, 2024 55   @ Central Florida W 63-58 59%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +17.2 +1.8 +15.6
  Jan 16, 2024 7   Iowa St. W 87-72 46%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +30.6 +27.7 +3.2
  Jan 20, 2024 26   @ Texas Tech L 78-85 46%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +8.6 +12.8 -4.4
  Jan 23, 2024 2   Houston L 68-75 36%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +11.4 +10.7 +0.2
  Jan 27, 2024 23   Texas W 84-72 65%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +22.6 +21.5 +2.1
  Feb 03, 2024 129   @ West Virginia W 86-73 81%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +18.1 +12.9 +5.0
  Feb 06, 2024 37   @ Oklahoma L 66-82 52%     16 - 6 4 - 5 -1.9 +0.6 -2.6
  Feb 10, 2024 62   Kansas St. W 72-66 78%     17 - 6 5 - 5 +12.4 +3.6 +8.7
  Feb 13, 2024 55   Central Florida W 90-88 76%     18 - 6 6 - 5 +9.0 +16.0 -7.1
  Feb 17, 2024 106   @ Oklahoma St. L 83-93 76%     18 - 7 6 - 6 -2.8 +15.6 -18.6
  Feb 20, 2024 14   Baylor W 78-71 57%     19 - 7 7 - 6 +19.7 +17.9 +2.7
  Feb 24, 2024 62   @ Kansas St. L 74-84 61%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +1.6 +11.0 -9.6
  Feb 27, 2024 20   @ Kansas W 76-68 43%     20 - 8 8 - 7 +24.3 +11.4 +12.7
  Mar 02, 2024 31   TCU W 87-75 67%     21 - 8 9 - 7 +22.1 +16.8 +5.0
  Mar 06, 2024 7   @ Iowa St. L 63-68 27%     21 - 9 9 - 8 +15.8 +6.4 +9.3
  Mar 09, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. W 85-71 88%     22 - 9 10 - 8 +16.0 +12.7 +3.3
  Mar 13, 2024 55   Central Florida W 87-73 68%     23 - 9 +23.6 +23.1 +0.7
  Mar 14, 2024 26   Texas Tech L 67-81 56%     23 - 10 -1.0 -2.9 +2.2
  Mar 21, 2024 91   Duquesne W 76-68 78%    
Projected Record 24 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 4.5 0.0 0.2 6.6 43.3 45.8 3.8 0.1 0.2 99.8%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 4.5 0.0 0.2 6.6 43.3 45.8 3.8 0.1 0.2 99.8%