Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#55
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#73
Pace70.2#125
Improvement+2.4#79

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#131
First Shot+1.9#128
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#187
Layup/Dunks+1.6#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#224
Freethrows+1.4#74
Improvement+2.4#62

Defense
Total Defense+7.9#15
First Shot+6.3#20
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#60
Layups/Dunks+6.4#12
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#73
Freethrows-2.9#335
Improvement+0.0#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 91 - 9
Quad 1b3 - 14 - 10
Quad 22 - 26 - 12
Quad 34 - 210 - 14
Quad 47 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 278   Florida International W 85-62 94%     1 - 0 +14.5 -0.4 +12.7
  Nov 10, 2023 94   @ Miami (FL) L 72-88 54%     1 - 1 -7.3 -4.7 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2023 225   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-44 92%     2 - 1 +22.1 +0.8 +22.3
  Nov 19, 2023 139   South Dakota St. W 83-80 77%     3 - 1 +4.7 +9.2 -4.5
  Nov 20, 2023 116   Charlotte W 74-71 OT 73%     4 - 1 +6.3 -2.7 +8.8
  Nov 26, 2023 209   Stetson L 82-85 91%     4 - 2 -8.2 -4.4 -3.5
  Dec 02, 2023 168   Lipscomb W 72-57 87%     5 - 2 +12.2 -11.4 +22.6
  Dec 06, 2023 270   Jacksonville W 94-52 94%     6 - 2 +33.8 +16.9 +16.5
  Dec 10, 2023 83   Mississippi L 68-70 70%     6 - 3 +2.2 -4.0 +6.2
  Dec 18, 2023 243   Maine W 74-51 93%     7 - 3 +16.3 +6.9 +10.8
  Dec 21, 2023 345   Florida A&M W 69-56 98%     8 - 3 -3.0 -7.3 +4.7
  Dec 29, 2023 315   Bethune-Cookman W 98-54 96%     9 - 3 +32.5 +8.0 +18.5
  Jan 06, 2024 62   @ Kansas St. L 52-77 42%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -13.4 -9.4 -5.5
  Jan 10, 2024 20   Kansas W 65-60 44%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +16.1 +6.2 +10.4
  Jan 13, 2024 17   BYU L 58-63 41%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +7.0 -9.3 +16.1
  Jan 17, 2024 23   @ Texas W 77-71 28%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +21.8 +13.3 +8.7
  Jan 20, 2024 2   @ Houston L 42-57 10%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +8.6 -13.1 +20.2
  Jan 23, 2024 129   West Virginia W 72-59 82%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +12.9 -1.0 +14.1
  Jan 27, 2024 34   @ Cincinnati L 57-68 32%     12 - 7 3 - 4 +3.4 -1.0 +3.2
  Jan 31, 2024 14   Baylor L 69-77 38%     12 - 8 3 - 5 +4.7 +7.2 -3.4
  Feb 03, 2024 37   Oklahoma W 74-63 53%     13 - 8 4 - 5 +19.9 +8.6 +11.6
  Feb 10, 2024 26   @ Texas Tech L 59-66 28%     13 - 9 4 - 6 +8.6 -2.3 +10.2
  Feb 13, 2024 17   @ BYU L 88-90 24%     13 - 10 4 - 7 +15.1 +13.4 +1.9
  Feb 17, 2024 34   Cincinnati L 74-76 52%     13 - 11 4 - 8 +7.2 +7.9 -0.7
  Feb 20, 2024 129   @ West Virginia L 67-77 67%     13 - 12 4 - 9 -4.9 -6.4 +1.9
  Feb 24, 2024 26   Texas Tech W 75-61 47%     14 - 12 5 - 9 +24.4 +9.1 +16.0
  Feb 28, 2024 106   @ Oklahoma St. W 77-71 59%     15 - 12 6 - 9 +13.2 +5.9 +7.2
  Mar 02, 2024 7   Iowa St. L 52-60 28%     15 - 13 6 - 10 +7.6 -6.1 +13.2
  Mar 06, 2024 2   Houston L 59-67 20%     15 - 14 6 - 11 +10.4 +5.0 +4.3
  Mar 09, 2024 31   @ TCU W 79-77 29%     16 - 14 7 - 11 +17.3 +13.6 +3.7
  Mar 12, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. W 77-62 69%     17 - 14 +19.6 +7.7 +12.2
  Mar 13, 2024 17   BYU L 73-87 32%     17 - 15 +0.6 +5.6 -5.2
Projected Record 17 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%