Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#34
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#63
Pace68.2#180
Improvement-1.1#240

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#70
First Shot-0.3#183
After Offensive Rebound+4.9#6
Layup/Dunks+4.4#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows-2.1#312
Improvement-2.3#302

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#19
First Shot+4.8#38
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#22
Layups/Dunks+1.4#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#41
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement+1.2#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.8% n/a n/a
First Round9.1% n/a n/a
Second Round4.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 44 - 11
Quad 23 - 17 - 12
Quad 34 - 211 - 14
Quad 49 - 020 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 205   Illinois-Chicago W 69-58 93%     1 - 0 +6.1 -5.8 +11.5
  Nov 10, 2023 349   Detroit Mercy W 93-61 99%     2 - 0 +15.5 +6.7 +7.4
  Nov 12, 2023 152   Eastern Washington W 85-73 89%     3 - 0 +10.3 +1.5 +7.9
  Nov 19, 2023 194   Northern Kentucky W 90-66 93%     4 - 0 +19.7 +20.8 +0.0
  Nov 22, 2023 115   Georgia Tech W 89-54 85%     5 - 0 +35.7 +15.0 +20.4
  Nov 28, 2023 275   @ Howard W 86-81 OT 91%     6 - 0 +1.8 +8.2 -6.5
  Dec 03, 2023 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 99-62 94%     7 - 0 +31.0 +24.5 +6.9
  Dec 09, 2023 57   @ Xavier L 79-84 49%     7 - 1 +7.1 +6.4 +1.0
  Dec 12, 2023 183   Bryant W 85-53 92%     8 - 1 +28.4 +4.3 +20.6
  Dec 16, 2023 44   Dayton L 68-82 54%     8 - 2 -3.1 +2.8 -6.9
  Dec 19, 2023 237   Merrimack W 65-49 94%     9 - 2 +9.6 -3.9 +14.0
  Dec 22, 2023 209   Stetson W 83-75 93%     10 - 2 +2.8 +10.8 -7.2
  Dec 29, 2023 224   Evansville W 76-58 94%     11 - 2 +12.2 +1.0 +11.2
  Jan 06, 2024 17   @ BYU W 71-60 30%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +28.1 -0.8 +28.2
  Jan 09, 2024 23   Texas L 73-74 55%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +9.6 +3.2 +6.4
  Jan 13, 2024 14   @ Baylor L 59-62 28%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +14.9 -2.0 +16.6
  Jan 16, 2024 31   TCU W 81-77 OT 57%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +14.1 +4.6 +9.1
  Jan 20, 2024 37   Oklahoma L 65-69 61%     13 - 5 2 - 3 +4.9 +2.2 +2.3
  Jan 22, 2024 20   @ Kansas L 69-74 33%     13 - 6 2 - 4 +11.3 +5.0 +6.4
  Jan 27, 2024 55   Central Florida W 68-57 68%     14 - 6 3 - 4 +18.0 +9.2 +10.0
  Jan 31, 2024 129   @ West Virginia L 65-69 74%     14 - 7 3 - 5 +1.1 -1.7 +2.6
  Feb 03, 2024 26   @ Texas Tech W 75-72 36%     15 - 7 4 - 5 +18.6 +13.1 +5.7
  Feb 10, 2024 2   Houston L 62-67 26%     15 - 8 4 - 6 +13.4 +7.2 +5.6
  Feb 13, 2024 7   Iowa St. L 59-68 36%     15 - 9 4 - 7 +6.6 +0.7 +5.5
  Feb 17, 2024 55   @ Central Florida W 76-74 48%     16 - 9 5 - 7 +14.2 +13.2 +1.1
  Feb 21, 2024 106   Oklahoma St. L 77-82 82%     16 - 10 5 - 8 -3.0 +7.0 -10.0
  Feb 24, 2024 31   @ TCU L 57-75 37%     16 - 11 5 - 9 -2.7 -7.7 +4.7
  Feb 27, 2024 2   @ Houston L 59-67 14%     16 - 12 5 - 10 +15.6 +4.3 +10.7
  Mar 02, 2024 62   Kansas St. W 74-72 70%     17 - 12 6 - 10 +8.4 +9.9 -1.4
  Mar 05, 2024 37   @ Oklahoma L 71-74 OT 41%     17 - 13 6 - 11 +11.1 -0.9 +12.2
  Mar 09, 2024 129   West Virginia W 92-56 86%     18 - 13 7 - 11 +35.9 +24.3 +14.0
  Mar 12, 2024 129   West Virginia W 90-85 81%     19 - 13 +7.5 +19.9 -12.2
  Mar 13, 2024 20   Kansas W 72-52 43%     20 - 13 +33.7 +6.7 +26.7
  Mar 14, 2024 14   Baylor L 56-68 37%     20 - 14 +3.3 -9.2 +11.8
Projected Record 20 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 15.6% 15.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 2.4 12.9 0.1 84.4 15.6%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.6% 0.0% 15.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 2.4 12.9 0.1 84.4 15.6%