Pre-tourney Rankings
College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#100
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#90
Pace74.0#50
Improvement+6.0#14

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#59
First Shot+3.7#75
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#84
Layup/Dunks+1.2#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#38
Freethrows+1.2#85
Improvement+5.2#9

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#169
First Shot-3.1#281
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#8
Layups/Dunks-2.2#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#138
Freethrows-0.2#211
Improvement+0.8#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round14.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 311 - 312 - 7
Quad 414 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 239   Iona W 71-69 86%     1 - 0 -4.4 -7.4 +2.9
  Nov 10, 2023 91   Duquesne L 72-90 46%     1 - 1 -11.7 -1.6 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2023 109   Vermont L 64-73 55%     1 - 2 -5.0 -2.2 -3.2
  Nov 17, 2023 151   Wyoming L 60-67 65%     1 - 3 -5.9 -12.7 +6.7
  Nov 19, 2023 307   @ Coastal Carolina W 80-72 84%     2 - 3 +2.3 +1.7 +0.4
  Nov 26, 2023 173   @ Kent St. W 84-78 62%     3 - 3 +8.0 +10.9 -3.0
  Dec 01, 2023 148   Liberty W 76-67 65%     4 - 3 +10.2 +6.3 +4.3
  Dec 02, 2023 43   @ Florida Atlantic L 74-90 21%     4 - 4 -2.2 +2.2 -3.9
  Dec 10, 2023 210   Rhode Island W 85-70 83%     5 - 4 +9.8 +4.0 +5.1
  Dec 14, 2023 267   The Citadel W 86-71 89%     6 - 4 +6.9 +8.9 -2.0
  Dec 18, 2023 307   Coastal Carolina W 84-81 92%     7 - 4 -7.9 -3.4 -4.8
  Dec 21, 2023 105   Saint Joseph's W 89-82 61%     8 - 4 +9.2 +7.4 +1.1
  Jan 04, 2024 122   @ Hofstra W 73-61 49%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +17.5 +2.7 +14.8
  Jan 06, 2024 174   @ Stony Brook W 93-87 62%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +7.9 +24.1 -15.9
  Jan 11, 2024 318   Elon W 80-62 93%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +6.2 -1.5 +7.4
  Jan 13, 2024 200   Monmouth W 94-83 82%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +6.3 +10.1 -4.8
  Jan 18, 2024 150   Towson L 78-82 74%     12 - 5 4 - 1 -5.5 +10.1 -15.8
  Jan 20, 2024 130   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-78 50%     12 - 6 4 - 2 -3.9 -0.6 -3.9
  Jan 25, 2024 338   @ Hampton W 107-86 91%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +11.4 +28.6 -17.7
  Jan 27, 2024 309   @ Campbell W 90-67 85%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +17.3 +13.5 +3.8
  Feb 01, 2024 130   UNC Wilmington L 74-80 70%     14 - 7 6 - 3 -6.1 -1.3 -4.9
  Feb 03, 2024 313   @ William & Mary W 84-83 86%     15 - 7 7 - 3 -5.3 +7.1 -12.4
  Feb 08, 2024 347   N.C. A&T W 80-58 96%     16 - 7 8 - 3 +6.0 +1.6 +4.9
  Feb 10, 2024 136   Drexel W 80-70 71%     17 - 7 9 - 3 +9.3 +9.5 +0.2
  Feb 15, 2024 250   @ Northeastern W 77-73 75%     18 - 7 10 - 3 +2.1 +9.3 -6.8
  Feb 19, 2024 313   William & Mary W 65-57 93%     19 - 7 11 - 3 -3.5 -13.5 +10.1
  Feb 22, 2024 181   @ Delaware W 90-71 64%     20 - 7 12 - 3 +20.6 +17.7 +2.7
  Feb 24, 2024 150   @ Towson W 72-56 56%     21 - 7 13 - 3 +19.7 +14.2 +7.9
  Feb 29, 2024 309   Campbell W 96-73 93%     22 - 7 14 - 3 +12.1 +11.7 -0.9
  Mar 02, 2024 122   Hofstra W 87-76 68%     23 - 7 15 - 3 +11.3 +21.0 -8.9
  Mar 10, 2024 200   Monmouth W 83-59 76%     24 - 7 +21.9 +17.4 +7.1
  Mar 11, 2024 150   Towson W 61-56 65%     25 - 7 +6.1 -4.4 +10.8
  Mar 12, 2024 174   Stony Brook W 82-79 OT 71%     26 - 7 +2.4 +5.8 -3.5
  Mar 22, 2024 13   Alabama L 84-95 15%    
Projected Record 26 - 8 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.2 0.0 5.2 67.1 27.5 0.2
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 5.2 67.1 27.5 0.2