Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#186
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#170
Pace67.3#215
Improvement+4.5#26

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#240
First Shot-4.6#298
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#47
Layup/Dunks-4.3#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
Freethrows+1.1#89
Improvement+1.3#115

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#139
First Shot+2.0#113
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#258
Layups/Dunks+1.2#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-1.7#294
Improvement+3.2#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 37 - 77 - 15
Quad 410 - 117 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 318   @ Elon L 76-79 70%     0 - 1 -9.6 -5.0 -4.5
  Nov 13, 2023 63   @ Butler L 47-81 12%     0 - 2 -22.4 -22.0 +0.7
  Nov 17, 2023 126   Davidson W 70-68 46%     1 - 2 +2.0 -0.7 +2.7
  Nov 22, 2023 197   @ Cleveland St. L 70-72 44%     1 - 3 -1.5 -2.0 +0.5
  Nov 24, 2023 328   Alabama A&M W 82-71 83%     2 - 3 -0.2 +9.9 -9.8
  Nov 29, 2023 86   @ Appalachian St. L 61-72 17%     2 - 4 -1.7 +0.1 -2.8
  Dec 03, 2023 207   @ Jacksonville St. W 61-59 45%     3 - 4 +2.2 -1.3 +3.7
  Dec 10, 2023 334   Tennessee Tech W 73-72 88%     4 - 4 -13.1 -4.3 -8.7
  Dec 20, 2023 217   UMKC W 70-57 67%     5 - 4 +7.5 -2.1 +9.8
  Dec 22, 2023 52   @ Utah St. L 65-80 10%     5 - 5 -2.3 -5.5 +3.8
  Dec 29, 2023 177   @ East Carolina W 86-70 39%     6 - 5 +17.7 +13.1 +4.4
  Jan 03, 2024 211   Mercer W 80-69 66%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +5.8 +6.5 -0.4
  Jan 06, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro L 54-70 34%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -12.7 -19.3 +6.9
  Jan 10, 2024 121   Western Carolina L 66-80 44%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -13.5 -8.0 -5.2
  Jan 13, 2024 144   @ Furman L 73-82 31%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -5.0 +3.8 -9.2
  Jan 17, 2024 199   @ Wofford L 73-75 44%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -1.5 +12.0 -13.9
  Jan 21, 2024 147   Chattanooga L 74-81 51%     7 - 10 1 - 5 -8.4 +1.5 -10.1
  Jan 24, 2024 359   @ VMI W 74-73 89%     8 - 10 2 - 5 -13.2 -7.5 -5.7
  Jan 27, 2024 90   Samford L 72-75 32%     8 - 11 2 - 6 +0.8 +4.0 -3.3
  Jan 31, 2024 211   @ Mercer W 54-49 46%     9 - 11 3 - 6 +5.0 -9.5 +15.3
  Feb 03, 2024 267   The Citadel W 62-60 75%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -6.1 -13.5 +7.5
  Feb 07, 2024 199   Wofford W 57-50 64%     11 - 11 5 - 6 +2.3 -9.5 +13.0
  Feb 10, 2024 144   Furman L 63-65 51%     11 - 12 5 - 7 -3.2 -3.9 +0.4
  Feb 14, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga L 71-84 32%     11 - 13 5 - 8 -9.2 +4.1 -14.4
  Feb 17, 2024 121   @ Western Carolina L 65-70 26%     11 - 14 5 - 9 +0.7 +2.3 -2.3
  Feb 21, 2024 359   VMI W 82-69 95%     12 - 14 6 - 9 -6.4 -2.2 -5.1
  Feb 24, 2024 90   @ Samford L 71-87 17%     12 - 15 6 - 10 -7.0 -1.3 -5.2
  Feb 28, 2024 267   @ The Citadel W 81-63 57%     13 - 15 7 - 10 +15.1 +10.8 +5.2
  Mar 02, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro W 66-65 53%     14 - 15 8 - 10 -0.9 -1.7 +0.9
  Mar 08, 2024 359   VMI W 98-66 92%     15 - 15 +15.2 +6.9 +3.8
  Mar 09, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro W 73-62 43%     16 - 15 +11.7 +5.0 +7.5
  Mar 10, 2024 147   Chattanooga W 85-84 OT 41%     17 - 15 +2.2 +0.1 +2.0
  Mar 11, 2024 90   Samford L 69-76 24%     17 - 16 -0.6 -8.3 +8.3
Projected Record 17 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%